Tan Xinsheng:12.3黄金走势接连反弹是多头重启还是空头蛰伏

What we have walked through is time, what we have seen is the market situation, what we have tasted is gains and losses, what we have tasted is gains and losses, what we have accumulated is experience, and what we have achieved is the realm. We are filled with emotions of bitterness, spiciness, sourness, and sweetness, indifferent to the market, not worried about everything, not worried about things, not thinking about things, not greedy when encountering profits, not disorderly in times of danger, following orders according to departments, planning strategies, and operating step by step, so that we can stay in a chaotic market and steadily move forward. On the contrary, if one only craves profits, disregards risks, is aggressive and belligerent, and carries it to the end, they will inevitably fail. The market trend is constantly changing, and only by keeping up with the times and following the trend can we stand firm. In addition, the investment market is a place where miracles occur, believe in them, and create them. Profit requires a complete system. Once we master this complete system, the market will no longer be unpredictable, but will become our friend.

本周三最为显着的行情在于gold的大起大落。亚市开盘小幅走高之后震荡回落日低1807一线，之后再此基础之上逐步震荡走高连续突破1820、1830The US dollar level reached its highest point1832一线。但盘尾迅速下挫，几乎回吐日内全部涨幅低至1812一线，随后又再度上扬，一度形成短线1831一线窄幅横盘，日线录得小幅阳线。

黄金近期受消息刺激，美国出台刺激计划的押注刺激了黄金作为通胀对冲工具的吸引力，同时近期下跌速度过快幅度过大导致超跌严重，本周二以及周三黄金借助消息大幅反弹。不过这只是反弹，黄金在跌破1850关口后就已经中期转空，这波反弹正好是修正关键点位机会，1850关键支撑跌破后将变成关键压力，不出意外这波反弹后受阻将再次下跌探底，预计整个12月反弹后还将继续下跌重新考验新低。

今日周四，日线5Japan and Japan10日均线走平粘合，MACDSmooth bonding,KDJ向上运行，指标无明显方向。目前金价突破了10日均线压力1820，最高涨到了1832附近，这样看短期似乎很有机会回抽1850关口附近压力，冲击压力后受阻将开启二次大幅下跌，本轮反弹重点关注1850附近压力，接近或超出一点范围内受阻都是很好的布局中线空单机会。

4小时图看，金价延续反弹上涨，目前短期均线EMA5AndEMA10Run up,MACDRun up,KDJ走平粘合，指标看涨。金价自1764附近反弹，短期不断震荡反弹上涨，目前看还没有受阻，不过上方1840-1850将会形成密集压力区，预计短期有望冲击此压力区域。这里很关键，一旦受阻成功将展开二次大幅下跌，若强势突破并迟迟不跌，那有可能打破大的下跌格局。不过即使超出1850一定范围也不能说就一定反转，即使到1860附近受阻也还是在大的控制掌控范围内，所以仍然看好反弹后一旦真正受阻将再次转空下跌。日内压力关注1840-1850, support1820and1800，没到1840-1850前先回调企稳可以低多，但更多还是耐心等反弹到关口压力区域逐步布局空单。

综合分析今日黄金操作：黄金反弹压制位受阻空，回调企稳支撑位多；截止完稿黄金在1829附近徘徊，激进者可先轻仓空一波，等待回调支撑位附近及上方在行多单策略。

Order making principles:

1、保住本金，合理控制好仓位，有计划的进行投资，不要当成赌。博来操作；

2、在方向明朗之时再入场，宁可错过也不要做错；

3、胸怀大局，把握大势，不要为错失而懊恼，做到因势而谋，应势而动，顺势而为；

一个中心：心先正——保持正确的投资态度，下定决心要在市场长久生存而不被淘汰，不贪不急，有效发挥复利的威力；

二个特点：顺势而为严自律，长线分析重循环；

三项原则：服从规则，把握趋势；组合投资，连续一致；严格管理，控制风险；

四种素质：胆魄、忍耐、自律、舍得；

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