Tan Xinsheng:12.3黄金走势触底反转？还是大区间震荡扫盘？

What we have walked through is time, what we have seen is the market situation, what we have tasted is gains and losses, what we have tasted is gains and losses, what we have accumulated is experience, and what we have achieved is the realm. We are filled with emotions of bitterness, spiciness, sourness, and sweetness, indifferent to the market, not worried about everything, not worried about things, not thinking about things, not greedy when encountering profits, not disorderly in times of danger, following orders according to departments, planning strategies, and operating step by step, so that we can stay in a chaotic market and steadily move forward. On the contrary, if one only craves profits, disregards risks, is aggressive and belligerent, and carries it to the end, they will inevitably fail. The market trend is constantly changing, and only by keeping up with the times and following the trend can we stand firm. In addition, the investment market is a place where miracles occur, believe in them, and create them. Profit requires a complete system. Once we master this complete system, the market will no longer be unpredictable, but will become our friend.

goldMarket analysis:

从盘面走势形态上来看，黄金双阴下探1764区域并在反复确认支撑未能如愿攻破的前提下形成大阳反弹收复大部分跌幅，现在我们需要明确一点的是空头结构已经被破。那么接下来需要考虑的问题是1764是否筑底成功进入反转多头时代？还是拉大区间继续震荡扫盘？而我们从周三的走势当中可以发现一点的是金价冲高但伴随着回落，整体的走势属于震荡修整的模式。周三最高上涨至1832附近，最低到达1807附近，在黄金上涨突破200小时均线后，黄金买家已获得更多的短期控制权，当前关键是将金价维持在1800上方，只有这样黄金才能够继续吸引跟多的卖盘来上攻更高位回到多头的上升通道中。

从技术面上看，金价4小时图看，日内金价以震荡盘整为主，金价在布林中轨与布林上轨之间区域振荡整理。短期均线EMA5AndMA10双线形成多头排列，但是对于目前的黄金走势，虽然我们可以看到反弹的力度比较强，但仍然应该清晰地认识到目前黄金依旧是下破了大震荡区间后的空头趋势中，目前的反弹我们还只能是看做是对下破1850之后的反弹修正对待。周三已经破位了多个阻力位，现在就看本周还剩下的两天时间能否去攻破1850关口并站稳其上方了。谭鑫晟个人认为这种概率有点偏小，毕竟金价好不容易跌破1850形成中期转空的局面，没有理由这么快就形成了反转，所以个人认为这只是大区间内的震荡修正。

综上所得：大趋势还是空头主导，操作上主高空，在辅以低多的方式进行操作。后期黄金上方先关注1833-1835、1841的压制，其次是1848-1850关口；下方先关注1815-1812Regional support, followed by1810-1807区域附近，操作上压制位受阻高空为主，回落支撑位有效可辅以短多。

下跌行情不言底，上涨行情不言顶，要善于观察并且等待机会的降临，能看懂的市场行情总是可遇不可求的，不要交易那些你无法弄懂的市场行情，也不要以为必须每个波段都进行交易。市场多数交易者都会错过70%的行情，每个投资者所能支配的精力、掌握的市场知识、惯用的交易技巧不同，不要奢望市场每一分利润都要拿到手，不要奢求别人赚了多少我也要赚多少，总有许多的交易机会符合你的性格和你解读市场的能力。把握这些，放过其他不适合你的交易机会！

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