Li Lianying:11.26 黄金今日行情分析 现货黄金最新操作建议

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   goldMarket trend analysis

Analysis of Gold News: Wednesday(11month25day)Shanghai Gold Exchange GoldT+DClosing down1.66%to378.35element/Gram; silverT+DClosing down1.87%to4825element/千克，现货黄金在1800美元重要整数关口附近企稳，金价下跌，主要因疫苗的乐观消息支撑了市场风险偏好，避险的金价遭抛售。而川普政府开始配合拜登团队进行权力交接，改善了风险偏好。美元在创下近三个月低位后回升，但总体上也将维持下行态势，主张加码财政支出的耶伦有望接任财长，财长部和美联储有望合作支持经济。此外，全球央行更多宽松措施遭IMF质疑也对金价不利，策略师们纷纷下调金价预期。但一些大投行似乎仍然维持看多金价未来前景不变，花旗仍然力挺黄金，认为黄金的牛市周期将会继续。花旗的分析师们并不预计这一下跌趋势将持续。该行大宗商品研究主管在一份报告中表示，他预计疫苗消息将会放缓，但不会结束黄金的长期牛市周期。只要美国货币政策没有意外地转向鹰派，2021年金价将恢复到2000美元以上是“不可避免的”。

　　黄金技术面：现货黄金延续跌势，再度走弱，并触及1800整数关口，日线再次录得一根中阴线。并跌破了三角形下轨1861以来的底部趋势线支撑1818位置，连续两日的下跌，金价的空头动能一逐步显示出来。金价自1499上涨以来的斐波那契回调线显示，金价在跌破38.2Callback bit1836后，空头趋势进一步确认，后期需要关注斐波那契50%回调位即1762，若能在此位置得到支撑反弹，则预计金价将于1836reach1762进行震荡调整，日线保持震荡下行思路对待。

　　指标方面：日线MACD指标快慢线零轴附近形成死叉向下运行，绿色能量柱大幅放量，布林带三轨向下扩散，k线跌破布林带下轨后，目前小幅反弹修复支撑，需要重新回到布林通道内，MA60Moving average atMA20均线向下运行呈空头排列状态，RSI指标临近超卖区后有勾头向上运行的迹象，种种迹象表明，黄金日线呈下跌趋势，但是金价超跌有反弹修复的需求。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上李联赢建议低多为主。上方关注1830-1835One line of resistance, pay attention below1790-1795Frontline support.

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis

Analysis of crude oil news: Wednesday(11month25day)European market, US crude oilfutures价格维持涨势。油价亚市一度涨至3月初以来新高45.72dollar/桶，有望连续第四个交易日上涨。病毒疫苗将提振燃料需求的希望持续推动油价上涨，尽管美国石油协会(API)报告显示美国原油库存意外增加。阿斯利康(11month23day)表示，其病毒疫苗在临床试验中的有效性为70%，最高可达90%，为控制疫情提供了另一种方案。此前其他主要制药商均取得了积极结果。然而任何可行的疫苗都不太可能在未来几个月内准备好大规模使用，意味着2021年将实行封锁和旅行限制。这使得由石油输出国组织和包括俄罗斯在内的盟友(OPEC+)在本周技术会谈后定于11month30日召开会议后，可能会继续减产至2021年。在今年早些时候大规模的封锁导致需求蒸发后，OPEC和产油国一直在停止供应以支撑价格。目前他们将从明年1月开始每天增加200万桶的产量，大约是大流行前全球需求的2%。

　　原油技术面：原油日线图上布林带微幅朝上运行，MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average continues to rise with a golden cross,KLine intersection between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Above the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴上方呈金叉缓和向上红色动能有所放缓，KDJ三线交死叉向右运行，日图行情表现多头趋势列强；4小时图上：布林带三轨朝上运行，MA5On the moving averageMA10The moving average crosses the golden cross upwards,KThe line intersects with the Bolin Upper Rail LineMA5Above the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴上方交金叉向上红色动能小幅放量，KDJ三线呈金叉向上发散运行，油价短线整体运行于多头趋势内。综合来看，今日原油短线操作思路上李联赢个人建议以低多为主。上方短期重点关注46.5-47.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below43.0-43.5Frontline support.

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This article is written by Li Lianyingyy57564As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Li Lianying provides online solutions, loss recovery, and one-on-one real-time guidance. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.