Li Lianying:11.14黄金下周分析走势预测 白银黄金行情多空操...

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  goldMessage surface analysis

Friday（11month13Japanese gold and silverT+D双双走高！现货黄金有所走高，回到1880关口附近，但整体仍未摆脱区间震荡模式。美元涨势暂歇，且美债收益率回落，同时全球疫情加速恶化，这重新带给黄金一定避险需求。美国大选仍陷困境，不过特朗普政府据称将退出新刺激谈判。 美联储主席鲍威尔表示，随着新冠病毒的传播，美国经济未来几个月可能面临挑战——尽管最近有疫苗开发的积极消息。美联储和国会很可能需要采取更多的行动，采取进一步的财政刺激措施。周一下跌幅度巨大，在回到1900上方之前，修复性行情还不足以改变投资者情绪。中期来看，1850的分水岭位置非常关键，如果失守的话，将导致显着的下行空间被打开。中长期而言，黄金或受益于通胀回升，联赢表示，看好黄金前景，预计金价将升至1900dollar/ounce,2021年的通货再膨胀将对黄金构成支撑。

Analysis of Gold Market Trend:

　　黄金日线级别上短期已然呈现单边下跌行情，4小时级别上金价下一个下方重要支撑在1850美元一线，而黄金目前反弹力度偏弱。日线录得阴线，随着短线金价再度跌至1870下方，带来金价短期偏底部区间逐步企稳表现，整体日线移动平均线呈粘合向下交叉偏空排列形态，短期底部区间维持，金价短线反弹仍面临较为密集技术指标及整理区间压力位价格影响。小时线显示，短期金价震荡区间小幅下移，进一步跌至底部区间偏中间压力位价格1870下方，整体金价自1957较为强劲下行延续偏底部区间空头延续形态得到进一步巩固概率上升。黄金短期多空都不会有太大的突破空间，综合分析操作上李联赢建议回调做多为主，上方关注1893-1900One line of resistance, pay attention below1860-1865一线支撑；对行情把握没有方向或亏损的朋友可以找到李联赢（yy57564）Solve it, even small funds have the conditions for profitability. Large funds make big profits, small funds make small profits, and act within our capabilities!

　　crude oilMessage surface parsing:

Friday(11month13day)European market, US crude oilfutures收窄跌幅至约1.4%。早盘一度跌逾2.3%to40.16美元，有望连续第三个交易日下跌，因市场担心全球经济复苏缓慢，以及新冠病毒感染病例加速增加导致燃料需求复苏进一步放缓，但在疫苗希望的推动下，油价仍有望连续第二周上涨，本周截止目前，美国原油期货及布伦特原油期货价格的涨幅都已达到约8%。在全球经济前景黯淡，新冠病毒感染病例大幅增加，且新的社会限制措施出台打压市场人气的情况下，如果疫情在全球多个地区继续加速蔓延，预计下周油价将继续承压。李联赢认为，由于新冠病毒传染担忧盖过主要产油国考虑推迟增产的报导，导致油价持续走软。美国和其他地区新增新冠病毒感染病例达到创纪录水平，为遏制疫情蔓延而收紧的经济限制措施降低了全球卫生危机短期内结束的前景。

Analysis of crude oil market trend:

　　原油技术面来看，MA均线当前是多头排列，但是价格K线出现连续性回调，且在技术指标上开始缩减，若形成空头趋势，则将加大回调的幅度，昨日文章也提及过，目前原油价格受到根本影响的是经济大环境，需求方面的因素，因此中长期来看原油的回暖还是较为模糊，反弹上涨延续性较差，短线4小时走势来看，油价再度失守41.30支持带的支撑，这令油价重返38.0-43.0美元区间修整概率增加。短期内需关注39.3-39.8美元区域支持，若有望能有效企稳于39.30美元上方，则自11月以来反弹的涨势有望延续，后市将有望再度反弹挑战43.0USD or even45.0水平。尽管油价中期走势倾向进一步上行，但若短期内失守39.30-39.8美元区域支持，仍需警惕回落考验大型区间底部36美元附近的可能。综合来看原油短线操作思路上李联赢个人建议以高空为主，低多为辅。上方短期重点关注41.5-42.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below39.5-39.0Frontline support

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  This article is provided by Li Lianying. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Li Lianying provides online solutions, loss recovery, and one-on-one real-time guidance. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.