夏颜瞳：10.20黄金能否再创辉煌？黄金走势预测？

     关注最新消息动态，解读国际经济要闻，追踪市场动态,剖析突发事件：


Tuesday(10month20day)Asian period, spotgold窄幅震荡于1900Near the gate, the US stock market fell by more than1.5%创逾一周新低，对金价形成拖累；不过，新冠疫情使得全球多数央行偏向维持货币宽松政策，甚至是进一步扩大宽松；有迹象显示，拜登赢得大选的可能性增加，令美元承压，都给金价提供一些支撑。


　　美联储货币宽松持续，欧洲疫情引发扩大宽松预期，黄金魅力不减，周一美联储副主席称，经济复苏可能漫长且充满不确定性，需政策持续支持，前美联储主席耶伦也表示财政支持对经济至关重要；欧洲疫情持续恶化，欧洲央行进一步扩大宽松的需求激增。新西兰联储和澳洲联储也释放鸽派信号，市场更是预期澳洲联储将在11Monthly interest rate reduction.


　　这使得大量投资者仍逢低买入黄金，一方面是低利率环境使得持有黄金的机会成本较低，另一方面，投资者买入黄金以规避扩大刺激引发的货币贬值。

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　　黄金走势分析操作建议：


　　黄金技术面分析：黄金日线三角尾端区域震荡，黄金在上周遇阻下跌趋势线回调后在三角上行支撑线位置开始上涨，目前徘徊在1890-1920Interval oscillation. Technical aspect:KDJDead cross down, index hovering around50Nearby,MACDGold fork, insufficient red energy column, slightly downward three tracks of the Bollinger Belt, interweaving moving averages, indicating that the rise and fall of gold cannot be effectively continued, and it is expected to continue to fluctuate in the tail in the future. Let's take a look at the short term at the beginning of the week1890-1920The interval of; Break through and consider following up on the trend.


　　4Hour analysis shows that gold fluctuates after a sharp rise and fall, and currently the overall gold market is centered around1900Nearby the checkpoint, it is shaking and waiting for further guidance; Technically,KDJDead cross, index below50Below,MACDDouble line bonding, no obvious state of the energy column, and the cloth belt begins to close,5Daily moving average underpass10The daily moving average has become a dead cross, indicating that gold is still a volatile and weak market, and it is expected to test it next1892Nearby support; Due to the lack of good continuity in recent market fluctuations, do not follow the trend of rising or falling, and try to choose a high altitude and low altitude position with more support and resistance. Pay attention to the intraday range1890-1920的区间。综合来看，黄金今日短线操作思路上夏颜瞳个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1915-1920Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1885-1890Frontline support.


Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Gold rebound1915-1920Nearby not breaking short (buy down) two tenths of the position, stop loss1925, Objective1905-1895-1885Near.


Gold rebound1925-1930Nearby not breaking short (buy down) three-tenths position, stop loss1935, Objective1915-1905-1890Near.


Multi order strategy:


Gold Fall1895-1885Nearby not breaking short (buying up) two tenths of the position, stop loss1880, Objective1915-1905Near.


Gold Fall1880-1875Nearby not breaking short (buying up) two tenths of the position, stop loss1870, Objective1910-1900-1890Near.


　　crude oilFundamental and technical analysis:


　　原油技术面来看，原油上周四下探回升，又是一波洗盘式的下探，出现VThe reversal and upward trend are becoming increasingly fierce, and the main intention is to wash away unstable investors. In the washing process, the first step is to establish the trend. Relatively speaking, the weekly and daily lines are still biased, with the lowest retracement yesterday39.2Approaching the previous low point, holding on in the late trading session and rebounding again to recover lost ground, reaching its highest point41.0，整体走势还是看震荡区间，日线保持在布林收口的区间内，大范围只要不拉开布林，基本看不到大跌大涨的形态，所以，上周最后一个交易日也需要维持震荡空间内的交易不变。夏颜瞳认为4Second exploration in the hour39.0-39.20区域启稳回升，短线稳固了支撑，但是均线指标依旧凌乱发散，结构上仍缺少一定量能，当然趋势既然偏空一些，在洗盘的过程中就尽量选择高空。


　　综合来看，今日短线操作思路上夏颜瞳建议以回调低多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期重点关注41.5-41.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below39.0-39.5Frontline support.

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　　原油操作策略参考：


Empty order strategy:


Above the rebound of crude oil41.5-41.8Short selling nearby(Buy down), two tenths of a position, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target40.5-39.5Nearby; Dislocation39.0Near.


Multi order strategy:


Below the crude oil correction39.0-39.5Nearby long (buy up), 2/10 positions, stop loss0.5USD, target40.0-40.5Nearby; Dislocation41.0附近。　　


　　本文作者：夏颜瞳

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