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看似简单的买涨买跌,但还是很多投资者为之苦恼,甚至付出惨痛的代价,内行看门道,外行看热闹。在投资市场上多空快速的转换总是令人措手不及,面对市场剧烈的波动,我们一定要懂得及时的调整策略,兵无常势,水无常形,唯有顺势而为才能游刃有余,立于不败。悲观者抱怨风向,乐观者期待转向,聪明者调整风帆,交易当中没有目标、没有期待,哪来的劲头。有句话说:有规划的人生叫蓝图,没规划的人生叫拼图。交易也是一样,震荡的时候少一些浮躁、多一点冷静,单边的时候少一些冲动、多一点坚定。一个人在市场里的输赢结果,实际上是对他人性优劣的奖惩,有不少人自进入这个市场就从来没有坚定过,只是因为他们从来就没有认真思考过。常说只有退潮的时候,你才看到谁在裸泳,投资当中不少人还没有退潮,早就站在岸边裸晒了。
goldnews flash:
Goldfutures周三收盘上涨,收复此前一天的大部分跌幅。昨日金价跌至每盎司1900美元的重要心理关口以下。王今博认为,受美元下跌以及美国大选前不会通过刺激经济措施的预期推动,黄金期货挽回了近期的部分亏损,市场行情,目前金价在很大程度上属于区间波动,这就使美元汇率的变化具有相对较大的影响力,在大选临近和有关刺激计划的谈判陷入僵局的情况下,投资者不太可能建立大规模仓位。
纽市尾盘,随着美元指数大幅回升,现货黄金回落至1900美元关口附近,围绕下一轮经济刺激方案的磋商陷入停滞,继续令黄金等资产承压。美国众议院议长佩洛西与参议院多数党领袖麦康奈尔在疫情纾困方案上进一步坚持相反立场,实际上扼杀了大选前达成协议的可能性。佩洛西与财政部长姆努钦周三上午继续通过电话交换意见,但姆努钦称难以在11month3An agreement was reached recently. He will visit the Middle East next week, which means it may be difficult to reach a plan that can be passed by Congress immediately after the election.
Analysis of Gold Market Trend:
黄金昨日高位回落收低,受前一日高点1933The radiation pressure in the area cannot break through high levels, and ultimately falls behind under pressure1910Afterwards, it returned to a weak downward trend and briefly fell below1900。最低至1886。日线双阳上升伴随双阴回吐。多空切换频繁。短线单边延续不足,前一日的KThe line structure may seem strong, but it has never broken through1933。隔日只要伴随中阴回落,K线结构就会转为弱势,阴吞阳的走法,在拉锯震荡中常常出现,也是洗盘的常见手法。直接跌破1900,美指的一波强势反弹打压金价回落。黄金亚盘一波下探回升,基本符合预期,惯性摔低后快速回升收复,重新回到起跌点,短线依旧是震荡格调,虽然昨日下挫空间大,但是技术面而言。在震荡行情中,未进行修正难走出单边,除非有持续的利空消息。
小周期图均线指标依旧凌乱发散,暂时还是看震荡思路。延续性是一个问题,空间也是边走边看的。上方压力则要留意1920一带。反弹力度大一些会收复昨日部分失地。支撑则上移至1888-1890, lower rupture1882再调整思路。后市操作上王今博建议:上方靠近1915-1920间反手空一次。大方向本周还是需要以震荡的思路来对待,但凡有单边行情的时候王今博会提示中长线布局的。目前手上有低位空单和高位多单不知道如何处理或者近期出现严重亏损可添加今博老师微信:王今博寻求帮助,我会抽空给予我粉丝最大的帮助。
crude oilnews flash:
Thursday Beijing Time(10month15day)In the early morning, the American Petroleum Institute(API)According to published data, as of10month9Day and WeekAPIReduction in crude oil inventory542.1Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease338.7Ten thousand barrels; Reduced gasoline inventory151.3Ten thousand barrels; Reduced inventory of refined oil393Ten thousand barrels; After the data was released, the US oil company rose in the short term and closed higher41.11dollar/Barrel, increase2.26%. American Petroleum Institute(API)According to the released data, the decline in US crude oil inventories last week exceeded expectations, with gasoline and refined oil inventories falling more than expected.APIAnnouncement, as of10month9Last week, crude oil inventories in the United States decreased542.110000 barrels to4.954Billion barrels; Increase in inventory of Cushing crude oil219.9Ten thousand barrels.APIAnnounced a decrease in gasoline inventory last week151.3Ten thousand barrels; Refined oil inventory decreased last week393Ten thousand barrels.APIData also shows that US crude oil imports increased last week2.310000 barrels/Day.
Analysis of the trend of crude oil market;
周线震荡初步参考36.13-41.49Regional situation, further reference34.27-43.78Regional breakthrough situation. at presentMACDThe adhesive has a slight tendency towards dead forks,KDJThere is a slight golden cross trend in the adhesive, and a clear conclusion cannot be drawn yet. In the middle track of the lost Bollinger Line37.03Previously, there was a slight upward oscillation. Daily oscillation; Interleaving of moving averages,MACDSlight golden cross,KDJThere is a dead cross trend, with significant short-term fluctuations. Due to the bearish signals of last Friday and Monday's two bearish lines still present, oil prices are still affected by55Daily moving average41.68Nearby resistance is being suppressed, and there is still a risk of downward volatility in the future, with initial support in the10Daily moving average39.62Nearby, this week's low point support is at39.04Nearby,200The daily moving average is supported by38.40Nearby, if the support is breached, increase the bearish signal on the midline. If the oil price breaks through55Daily moving average41.68Nearby resistance is expected to re test last week's high point42Nearby resistance. Yesterday, crude oil opened and fell back39.8Bounce up and explore nearby41.1Nearby, morning data is bullish, crude oil rebounds directly to close41附近,综合来看操作上王今博建议区间震荡为主,可上方需要关41.6Resistance, attention from below39.2一线支撑。行情瞬息万变,想获得更多解套策略添加“王今博官微"wjb9393
We are always making choices and waiting for results. The road cannot always be smooth, there will always be obstacles, and mediocrity is definitely not our goal. The same goes for the investment market. It is impossible to have a smooth sailing, and making huge profits is everyone's dream, but there will always be various temptations and traps along the way. Accustomed to fluctuations, one is always stifled by unilateral market washing, which is the law of the market. In the face of life, we are making choices. Difficulties cannot be overcome, detours can be made, and rivers cannot be crossed. We always need to rely on other methods, and the market is the same. Don't blindly pursue operations. Some market trends may see profits, but you may not necessarily be able to obtain profits.
对于交易来讲,我们不能做到极致,但我们永远需要总结和进化,在实盘操作和分析当中,我们永远有可能陷入一个误区,就是我们总喜欢将自己的想法和预测附加到盘面上,之后总是期望着盘面走势和我们预期的一样,这一点在理性于非理性之间是很难区分的,导致我们总是会有侥幸心理,结果交易失败。
本文由王今博(官微:wjb9393 公众号——王今博)供稿,多年黄金、原油、foreign exchange实战经验,各大财经网站撰稿人,专注投资理念、趋势研判、风险控制等领域,对行情的把握有独到的见解。操作建议仅供参考,不作为下单依据,具体操作以实盘为准
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