Monday(10month12Japanese goldT+D创一周半新高,白银T+D暴涨近5%!现货黄金触及三周高点1933.26dollar/Ounces, but as the US dollar index bottoms out and rebounds, spot gold falls back10USD to1920Nearby, the market is quite concerned about the trend of the US election, and Biden's victory may boost inflation expectations and put pressure on the US dollar, which is beneficial for gold to rise. In addition, the market's focus is still on the new round of fiscal stimulus negotiations in the United States, in order to evaluate the impact of11month3日选举日之前能否爆发全面或部分刺激措施。据新华网报道,原定于15日举行的美国第二场总统候选人辩论取消,委员会将专注于筹备本月22日的最后一场辩论。黄金市场波动的一大原因是市场缺乏流动性。之前那种黄金市场吸引大量兴趣的情况已经消失了。如果重仓等待市场起飞,那市场的反应会很不好,所以目前日内上下震荡范围在30reach40美元间。黄金ETF的投资需求会继续主宰市场,推高金价。9月金价虽然走低,但黄金的投资需求却仍然相当强劲。投资者们、基金经理们和养老金基金会继续因避险以及对冲通胀而转向黄金。正因此今年以来黄金ETF持有量创下了新纪录。
本周的市场值得我们关注的:
1、英国与欧元区的脱欧进程在10month15Daily progress.
2、美国原定的10month15日大选第二次次辩论活动改为22日,第三次维持在10month29The day remains unchanged.
目前虽大趋势看多,也是震荡多头。但日内短线上更偏向空头,早盘先在1925—1926先空一次,欧美盘回踩启稳后再考虑反手做多。波动基数大。回踩的空间可大可小,得结合盘中的形态临盘确认启稳支撑点,首个支撑在1918Secondly1913。
Specific operational suggestions: