High normal operation10.11伦敦金下周价格走势分析；美原油下周一开盘中长线操作建议

Article Summary:10.11goldupper周五为何大涨？10.11黄金多头是否只是昙花一现？10.11黄金本周能否迎来暴跌？10.11黄金避险大涨怎么看？后续黄金能否迎大反弹？10.11黄金目前怎么看？避险情绪持续发酵能否助力迎大爆发？10.11黄金周收线怎么看？今日黄金能否迎进一步走低？10.11Analysis of gold trends and operational strategies;10.11黄金投资理念。
　　
　　时间真的很奇怪，有时候很难熬，有时候却稍纵即逝，就跟黄金走势一样，有时候盘整许久，有时候暴涨暴跌，根本把握不住机会。也许你也有这种感觉，也许你总是抓不住最佳入场点位，这并不是你的错，因为没有最好，只有更好，我们来这个市场做投资，并不是追求的什么完美，而是能够稳健盈利，然后在赚钱的同时也能学到东西。如果你还有其他的想法，欢迎与高常运讨论，合作最重要的是什么?就是沟通。我依稀记得很久以前，那时候高常运学习成绩特别棒，但是交际能力很差，同学们都不和我玩，而我也总是在角落里看书做作业，而现在想起来，当初如果我主动一点，或许我能获得更多快乐。后来我明白，与人交往最重要的就是沟通，沟通最重要的就是诚信，能在这个市场能让人对你诚信，最基本就是实力，实力让所有人无话可说。
　　
　　常运只专注于黄金和crude oil行情，指导不在于多，在于精。十单对九单很正常，随时可验证，跟单请直接联系本人。合作就是为了盈利，所以我希望能严格按操作指示下单，自己喜欢私下操作的，我不能保证其账户收益，请不要联系我。做单宗旨，宁可踏空，不要做错，这是保证成功率的一个前提，喜欢催单的，静不下来的，不要联系我。高常运没有华丽的盈利，策略准不准，行情来验证。有好多加上了高常运的朋友，对于高常运的策略总是将信将疑，常运的策略准不准？我跟不跟？亏了怎么办？我还是再看看。然后行情来了，别人赚了，你亏了。你总是在将信将疑的观望中错过一次次机会，而悔恨的叹息中再错过下一次机会，如此反复到你全盘皆输。作为一个投资者，要记得自己来到这个市场的初衷，不要让自己所有的努力都白费了。
　　
Gold Message:
　　
Friday(10month9day)美市盘中，因市场对拜登将赢得美国总统大选并在大选后推出财政刺激措施的预期升温，美元指数延续跌势，刷新日低至93.11，人民币涨势迅猛，大涨1.4%；现货黄金也大幅上涨，直逼1930dollar/盎司关口；美g三大g指齐涨，其中道指上扬逾200点。据最新消息，美国国家经济顾问库德洛最新表示，TLP总统希望就刺激方案达成协议，已经批准了修订后的经济刺激方案。TLP也表示，经济刺激谈判正在继续，将有一个大方案。
　　
　　美国已经重启刺激计划谈判，同时在美国大选来临之际，黄金投资需求继续上升。美国总统TLP表示，已经重启美国刺激计划谈判。若没有更全面的救助协议，就不存在单独的航空业救助计划。不过此后重现转机，佩洛西和美财长讨论了全面的刺激协议。美国上周首申失业数据虽是连续第六周不足100万人的整数位心理关口，但也持续徘徊在疫情前四倍的高位水平。分析称，近期裁员潮对首申数据的影响可能会在未来几周内出现。美国大选越来越近，也成为了一个越来越重要的影响因素。高常运认为，如果拜登获胜，那么通胀将被推高，金价也将因此走高。
　　
　　黄金周一行情走势分析：
　　
　　黄金周K线连续两周连阳，金价在周图20日均线附近获得支持后连续上周上扬，是对前期下修的修正，还是整体上对7月大涨后修正结束的确认，需要重点关注1940/50区域的阻力，该区域如果再次上破，那么黄金将冲击2000美元的概率增加，反之，黄金将再度延续跌势向下。日线来看MACDThere is a tendency to regroup into golden forks,KDJ重新向上发散，短线偏向多头，从结构来看黄金在底部形成双底后宽幅震荡上涨。短周期黄金还是延续多头，大周期黄金高位盘整的走势依然存在，只有在大周期黄金走出多重背离，黄金的空头才会来临。短线4小时走势来看价格上方刺破上涨通道下沿的压力，KDJThe third line continues to rise,MACDGolden fork, Bollinger strap opening upwards,K线价格收在上轨上方，短线黄金价格强势上涨，指标显示金价有进一步上行空间，综合来看，下周黄金短线操作上高常运建议回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方关注1935/40One line of resistance, pay attention below1920一线支撑。套单的朋友，文章只能给您一个暂时的方向和想法，至于具体的进场点和解套时机，请关注高常运（レ信：gcy85271）Will be provided in real-time.
　　
Crude Oil Message:
　　
Friday（10month9日）美原油触及近三周高点，最高41.4美元。上海原油价格上涨。主力合约2011To264.5element/Bucket closing, up6.3element/Barrel, increase2.44%。由于川普表示已经重启刺激谈判，这提振了市场风险偏好，这提振了油市需求前景。OPEC乐观看待油市前景，认为最坏的时候已经过去了，且疫情可能助自身市场份额上升。沙特考虑撤销原定的提高欧佩克产量计划，部分沙特顾问表示市场并未为原定20010000 barrels/Prepare for increasing production in Japan, OPEC and its allies will11month30Rihe12month1Make the final decision on the day. Hurricanes continue to ravage the United States, and according to The Washington Post, Hurricane Delta has strengthened to3A Category I hurricane, located in the Gulf of Mexico, USA91.53%The closure of oil production capacity is equivalent to16910000 barrels/日。欧佩克秘书长巴尔金都表示，欧佩克将继续做我们最清楚的事情，我们相信最坏的时候已经过去了。这里我们理解为OPEC+The joint production reduction action taken in response to the epidemic not only boosted oil prices but also helpedOPEC市场份额上升，因美国产量仍难复苏。欧佩克研究负责人表示，欧佩克希望第四季度的石油市场是非常稳健的，然后希望能够在明年年中解决供应过剩的问题。我们认为，届时，油价可能恢复到60dollar/桶的各方满意价格水平。高常运认为在肺炎疫情后损害竞争对手后，欧佩克的市场份额增加。这意味着美国页岩油已经遭遇重创，尚未且难以完全复苏。这对需求复苏背景下的油价较为有利。
　　
Analysis of crude oil market trend:
　　
　　原油日线来看，布林带三轨朝上运行，MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average turns upward with a golden cross,KLine intersection between the middle and lower tracks in BolinMA5Above the moving average,MACDThe fast and slow lines appear as a golden cross above the zero axis, flattening to the right, and the red kinetic energy gradually decreases,KDJ三线交死叉向上发散运行，日图行情表现一定的多头趋势；高常运从4From the hour chart, it can be seen that the opening of the Bollinger belt runs upwards,MA5Under the moving averageMA10均线交死叉上行，KLine intersection at Bolin Lower Rail LineMA5Above the moving average,MACD快慢线交死叉缓和向上运行，绿色动能逐步放量，KDJ三线呈死叉向上发散，油价短线还有一定上行动能。原油日K线以破位中阳收盘，在连续围绕箱体平台震荡近两周后再度出现多头快速上冲走势，短线价格走强。综合来看，下周一原油短线操作思路上高常运个人建议以低多为主，高空为辅。上方短期重点关注42.5-43.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below38.5-39.0Frontline support. 目前仓位有套单的朋友，由于笔者高常运不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的具体情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的朋友可gcy8527obtain.
　　
　　=====投资解套策略指南=====
　　
　　（1）Stop the loss by cutting through the chaos with a sharp knife. We are about to sell all of our spot gold holdings to avoid further losses due to the continued decline in gold prices. Adopting this hedging strategy is mainly suitable for short-term investors who aim for speculation. Because in a bearish market that is in a downward trend, the longer short-term investors hold it, the greater the losses it will bring to investors.
　　
　　（2）Operate by shifting gears. That is, first stop the loss and settle it, and then make up for it at a lower price to reduce or flatten the losses caused by the upper gear unwinding.
　　
　　（3）Adopt the operation method of spreading downwards. That is, as the decline in gold prices increases, it increases the buying price and averages the cost, waiting for the gold price to rebound and make a profit. However, adopting this approach must be based on the premise of confirming that the overall investment environment has not deteriorated and that the market has not shifted from a long market to a short market. Otherwise, it is easy to fall into more and more difficult situations.
　　
　　（4）Adopting a "no sell no compensate" approach that responds to changes with immutability. After the order is tied up, as long as it has not been sold, it cannot be considered that the investor has lost money.
　　
If the order in hand has development prospects, and the overall investment environment has not deteriorated, and the market trend has not yet deviated from the unknown market, there is no need to panic for a temporary hold up. At this time, the method to be adopted is not to sell the hold up order and the market, but to remain unchanged and respond to changes, waiting for the gold price to rebound and unwind. Different situations have different ways of unwinding.
　　
　　=====高常运寄语=====
　　
Don't fantasize that investment can be smooth sailing. The journey of investment is full of difficulties and challenges, and one mistake can lead to numerous injuries. The road of investment is also full of forks, and wrong choices may lead you to failure. Although there are many exciting things ahead, they have already missed you. Mistakes are not shameful, but it is shameful that mistakes are already obvious but not corrected. Along the way, having a guide always keeps people calm, And I hope to be your guide, believe me, take me with you, let me lead you on your journey. The flame of victory needs to be ignited by you, let me guide you, insight into the future, grasp the present, overcome difficulties, and ignite the flame of victory.
　　This article is written by Gao Changyun (WeChat:gcy8527 公众号——高常运）供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资大趋势，对原油、黄金、 We have conducted in-depth research on commodities such as silver and others. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is personal advice. Due to the timeliness of online posts, it is for reference only and at our own risk. Please indicate the source of the reprint.