Zhou Hongjin:10.8黄金冲高回落，原油前景低迷；黄金、原油走势分析

Summary:goldTrend analysis, gold trading strategy, gold market analysiscrude oilTrend analysis and crude oil operation suggestions
　　
Trading is a process of patiently waiting for opportunities to emerge, not because one is at a loss, but because one has a plan in mind,95%The profit always comes from5%的交易，守株待兔是一种交易策略，有时候主动出击只会将兔子吓跑，耐心等待确定信号的出现，避免模糊不清阶段的盲目投资。市场是一个有经验的人获得更多金钱，有金钱的人获得更多经验的地方，每个新手都会从失败的教训中汲取经验，聪明的人则从专业团队的帮助中获利。市场就是一个放大镜，会无限的放大你的缺点，真正的亏损来源于错误已经显而易见还不去修正或者认错，并将错误延续，投资市场有一个怪现象，就是赚钱的永远在赚钱，深套的永远在深套，不知道自身的承受极限是多少，也不知道盈利目标是多少，不是被套就是在被套的路上。
　　
Message Interpretation
　　
　　10month7日美元指数走低，因特朗普发布了一系列推文呼吁分批次实施刺激计划，投资者对于刺激协议仍报希望，提振了市场的风险偏好。现货黄金冲高回落，收于1887.42dollar/盎司，美债收益率攀升至四个月高位令金价反弹受限，美股大涨也削弱了避险黄金吸引力。油价尾盘收窄跌幅，美油收复40美元关口，特朗普支持单项援助方法提振了依旧，美国股市上涨也支持了油市。
　　
　　【现货黄金走势分析】
　　
　　黄金昨日下探回升收平，日图十字小阴K线收盘，多空延续不足，前一日高位回落后，隔日惯性摔低后伴随反弹后收敛整理。日图继续在局部中性位置拉锯，美元短期时强时弱延续不足，也加大了黄金震荡反复的频率。周线和月线目前来看，结构上处于高位有调整迹象，只是短线拉锯的时间较长。等待进一步的形态转换。
　　
Short line4小时三连阴下挫后。昨日几乎是星KHorizontal consolidation of the line, although accompanied by a strong rebound, ultimately closed at a neutral low position, relative to4小时结构而言。处于中性偏低的位置，而此前的慢性台阶上扬通道也被破坏。隔日一直处在1890下方运行。短线相对整理偏空一些，看今日能否压制进一步的下行破低，而昨日的反弹高点1898就是今日强弱临界点，短线反弹只要不再收复此位，相对还是偏弱，反之上破的话，则回归震荡。会再次去探高。但震荡还是主格调，目前还看不出有单边的量能及空间。震荡行情，点位比方向更重要，卡点操作是关键。亚盘强弱不明。保守的等待走出1898-1878区间后再跟时。激进则在1898下方择机空，突破1898再调整思路，初步计划阻力点在1892-1893一带。若是整理后提前下破1878则盘中临盘跟进。重点留意上下1898、1878两个临界点的破位。行情实时变化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及中长线布局咨询周鸿金（微：zh66646）获取！
　　
　　【美原油走势分析】
　　
　　原油昨日小区间整理，最高40.33承压，回测39.26.尾盘时段再反弹收盘在39.90附近，空间走得小，拉锯震荡是主格调。上方接近区间上轨处有所承压，未能突破继续在收敛震荡。日线连阳收盘，周初初步的止跌回升，会伴随反复的摸高，但至于能否突破。决定这波趋势的延续性。突破才能进一步打开空间，不破上轨继续震荡，此前震荡的时间本身就较长，不排除继续横向整理一周。就目前的形态的量能来看，暂时也看不出有突破的迹象。由于空间开始收缩，稳健点空仓观望等待走出区间，上方强弱临界点40.80.行情实时变化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及中长线布局咨询周鸿金（微：zh66646）获取！
　　
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
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