Xu Bohong:10.8黄金震荡起伏难破位，日内实时价格布局多空解套

Wednesday(10month7day)随着美元下跌，以及美国总统特朗普表示他愿意批准一项有限的疫情纾困方案，金价有所反弹，现货gold一度大涨1%to1898.10dollar/Ounces; However, due to10The yield of one-year US Treasury bonds has once again risen to a four month high, limiting the upward trend of gold prices. Spot gold is currently falling back to1886美元附近，美股大幅飙升也削弱了避险黄金吸引力
　　
　　====现货黄金、贵金属行情走势分析====
　　
　　欧洲时段，现货黄金走高至1887dollar/盎司，但未能冲击1900大关，美元指数重心下移，但特朗普在叫停刺激方案谈判几小时后，发推文概述了一系列他愿意签署的刺激措施，前提是它们独立于更广泛的讨论并单独通过。据徐博鸿了解，全球低利率环境外加美国大选带来了巨大不确定性都会支撑黄金。但如果美元进一步走强，那么就将限制金价上行，接下去市场将等待美联储会议纪要。美国总统特朗普拒绝新一轮刺激后，到大选之前整个市场都会充满波动性；10月通常来说本就是股市波动的时段，而在过去两次大选即2012Year and2016年大选时，美股在10月都有下跌。到大选之前市场将波动不断，这种情况已经开始了，从8月开始到就一直如此；美国下一轮刺激项目要到大选之后才会出现了。大选之后会有新的财政政策，美联储主席鲍威尔之前也表示过，美国需要财政政策。大选之后会有更多空间；一旦如此，那么对美股是利好的，利率也可能上涨；通胀会开始显现，看看上周的PCE数据，一旦通胀接近2%后，那么美联储可能在2023年之前就会加息。
　　
　　经过昨日的暴跌，今日黄金整体都是在震荡修复，截至发稿，亚欧盘最高反弹到1898附近开始继续下跌，但是这次却没有跌破日内的低点，因此操作上不宜过分的追空。从日线来看：宽幅震荡；布林带收口，金价盘中震荡于中轨与下轨之间，承压1900Gateway;MACDAdhesion, weak kinetic energy,KDJThere are signs of adhesion and the index is located at50Nearby. from4小时来看：宽幅震荡；金价走势相对疲软，MACDThe kinetic energy of dead forks and green columns increases,KDJDead cross, index at40附近。从技术面看，下方支撑先留意日内低点1872.58；进一步支撑位下看8month12Daily low point1863.16。强支撑下看上周四触及的逾两个月低点1848.89，一旦该防线失守，料打开新的下跌风险。上行方面，阻力位先留意1900.00关口，进一步阻力位上看布林带中轨1916.18附近。若继续走高，料测试50Daily moving average1938.00附近。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上徐博鸿个人建议回调低多为主，高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1900-1905Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1875-1870Frontline support. Friends who want to learn more gold investment techniques can add WeChat:xbh768Every morning7From midnight to early morning2Click on real-time online guidance.

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Wen/Xu Bohong (WeChat:xbh768）

　　以上文章由金融分析师徐博鸿独家编撰，更多黄金crude oilInvestment experience, trading operation strategy, technical interpretation of detailed news, reminders for position building and closing positions, with online guidance from Professor Xu Bohong!