High normal operation10.6美原油晚间行情走势分析及外汇黄金午夜短线操作建议解套

　　投资是长期与短期的平衡，也是自己与市场间的平衡，还是预期与现实的平衡。从微观一点讲，投资亦是数据与感知的平衡，是绝对和相对的平衡。当然，投资还是多头与空头的平衡，是风险与收益的平衡，更是坚守与放弃之间的平衡。投资是一门平衡的艺术，懂得了权衡与取舍，才算成熟，才不为固执所累。投资不是一朝一夕的事，前期的亏损，不代表后期的亏损；前期的获利，不代表后期的获利。所以，亏损的朋友不要气馁，获利的朋友不要自满，让自己以平和的心态理性的投资。在这个千变万化的市场中，行情的涨跌不是靠个人主观意志所决定的，而是充斥着多于空的搏杀，胜利与失败则时刻伴随左右，但有一点，行情的趋势将会决定未来走向，定势，选位，控仓，成功三部曲，所以，选择远远大于努力，则良师，将会获益匪浅，而我，一直都在。
　　
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　　Gold News:
　　
　　在疫情大流行的冲击下，货币的季节性模式在2020年发生了变化，今年又是大选年，这种相关性可能会进一步遭到打破。刺激措施可能会提振经济乐观情绪，抑制对美元等避险资产的需求。美联储宽松的货币政策降低了收益率，削弱美元套利交易的吸引力。如果由于美联储的鸽派立场和刺激措施的增加而导致通货膨胀率上升，那么随着实际收益率下降以及股票可能上涨，美元将蒙受损失。如果即将举行的美国总统大选打断了第四季度的股市涨势，这种关系也可能会逆转。特朗普总统感染新冠病毒，可能的封锁以及对大选结果难分难解的担忧，都可能增加不确定性。“蓝色浪潮”所带来的积极的方面是，美国财政政策可能会更加持续性的宽松，贸易紧张局势再度升级的风险降低，以及全球经济增速前景展望更加稳固。消极的方面是，企业所得税将增加大幅增加。预计长期主权债券收益率将得到实质性支撑，对大宗商品价格走高和美元走软有一定影响。
　　
　　现货黄金价格走势解析：
　　
　　上方关注在1918~1919是市场的三重阻力区间，首先是日线的二次均线阻力，其次是周线的5日均线阻力，此外还是1973-1948The Golden Section of0.5~0.618区间。那么市场目前的主要阻力就在1918~1919，日内触及该位置关注做空机会。市场目前下方的主要支撑是在1900位置附近，行情多次在该区间进行顶底转换。同样也是1848~1886形成的趋势线连线支撑。
　　
　　4小时低位整理后形成W底，随后破高延续上行，那么从小时图来看，行情突破1900后收盘在此位之上，短线结构看似偏多，那么昨日市场避险情绪再次激发，从整体的技术形态而言日线依然主张于以回调做多的思路为主导，但需谨防美指离重要的支撑区域非常接近，因此日内回调多需重视它的回撤力度，综合来看：今日操作思路上高常运个人建议，回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1916-1920Frontline resistance, focus on below1880-1885Frontline support.
　　
　　crude oilreal-time info
　　
　　特朗普出院，但全球疫情依旧严峻，美油仍承压于40大关；虽然特朗普已经出院，但美国大选仍旧充满不确定性，拜登胜选的概率进一步加大；全球疫情形势依旧严峻，这令油价反弹有限，欧洲正在加强对公众的限制措施，以控制又在加重的新冠疫情。德国新增确诊人数创四月以来的新高，巴黎将关闭酒吧，意大利和爱尔兰或许也将采取新的限制措施；新冠肺炎再次在美国大部分地区蔓延，重击了美国农村和小城市，并加剧了纽约的焦虑。专家警告说，学校重新开放和天气转凉可能会使局势迅速恶化。已有34个州的7日平均新增病例数量超过一个月前；亚洲在经济复苏方面的准备最好，因为其在控制疫情蔓延方面表现最佳。但总体而言，需求复苏至少正在放缓。
　　
　　国际原油价格走势解析：
　　
Crude oil counterattacked sharply on Monday, rising directly at the opening without any adjustment and continuing to weaken. The daily trend was bullish, and for the daily cycle, crude oil returned to the mid range of the Bollinger Bands36.5A double bottom is formed here, and the overall closing trend of the Bollinger Belt is as follows. Crude oil started to rise from the morning opening yesterday, with a very strong upward momentum. At midnight39.6Due to obstruction above, crude oil still maintains a bullish trend in the short term. Today's pullback can continue to be bullish, and the short cycle moving average also has an upward trend. Therefore, crude oil may revolve around this week36.5-37.0Support to be bullish, short-term39.8-40.6It's a hurdle, if we can break through this week, then we can go up and see the daily track above42.8附近。综合来看，原油今日晚间短线操作短线思路上高常运个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注40.5-41.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below38.5-38.0Frontline support.
　　
　　===Investment always loses more and earns less?Four key tips for sustained and stable profitability===
　　
Patience! Patience is an important skill, and being impatient or having distractions can easily lead to wrong decisions. Livermore once pointed out, "A successful trader must be like a successful businessman, able to correctly anticipate future demand, enter the market at the right time, and patiently wait for the moment of profitability.". This sentence has always been regarded as my professional code!
　　
Balance! There has always been a saying in the industry that a good trader is a trader without opinions. The meaning of this statement is that good traders can give up their preference for the current bullish and bearish direction of the market, not be dominated by one side, and can objectively follow the market to trade. A successful trader is the one who "can't bear to see, but can be ruthless to see" and perfectly controls the balance of ups and downs. After a short-term failure, they can still have confidence in subsequent signals and execute them decisively without missing out. There is no absolute market, and there is no fixed trend of ups and downs. Therefore, judging the balance of market trends is your winning weapon.
　　
Desire! There is an Italian proverb: Let money be our loyal servant, otherwise it will become a domineering master. Both bears and bulls can make money, but greed cannot make it. Are you controlling desires or do desires control you? The ancients said: Without accumulating silicon, one cannot walk a thousand miles; without accumulating small streams, one cannot form rivers and seas. I hope this sentence becomes a mutual encouragement between us.
　　
Self aware! People value themselves, and it makes sense to put the big principles in any field, just like in the financial industry. Not knowing oneself will make mistakes, making mistakes will make you sad. People need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing, maintaining resilience, not having to trade in every band. The secret to trading profits is to follow simple rules, do simple things repeatedly, and strictly enforce them in the long run!
　　This article is written byHigh normal operation(Guidance letter:gcy8527）As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publication, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source of the reprint.