孙奕臣10.6黄金原油走势分析及白银操作思路及解套

Preface

　　对于想学习投资技术和知识的朋友，我很赞同。孙奕臣个人认为投资朋友在投资的过程中提高自身能力，用自己所掌握的技术知识来分析及操作，并乐在其中，爱上这个投资而不是恐惧。恐惧是因为没有实力没有判断力。孙奕臣一直推崇的就是在指导的过程中去慢慢学习掌握常用的技术指标（均线、MACD、KDJ、支撑位、阻力位等）结合基本面来进行分析行情走势及具体的操作点位，逐步地提高自己的综合分析能力，并锻炼自己的心态。慢慢一步步成长起来，毕竟投资是一个长期的过程。所以孙奕臣带投资朋友也遵循这一原则：授之以鱼不如授之以渔，我会教你从最基本的做起。

Investment friends who have poor performance or want to learn can add their own WeChat account; 【syc475】与孙奕臣老师进行交流探讨。还可以获取每日crude oilOperational recommendations,goldMarket,TDgold,Silver Daily Analysis, Latest Strategies

Gold market analysis:

Last Friday（10month2Spot gold in Japan1900The US dollar fluctuated in a narrow range near the beginning of the fourth quarter, falling to a one week low last Thursday due to expectations of a bipartisan agreement in the United States continuing to rise. It is reported that the Republican Party will increase the scale of the stimulus to1.6万亿美元。同时美国失业金数据显示就业复苏放缓叠加制造业数据表现不及预期，强化了美联储进一步维持宽松的预期，因此也对美元构成压力。受美元走低的影响，现货黄金上周四刷新逾一周高点。不过孙奕臣认为，当前全球经济通缩的风险更高，因此短期内黄金大幅走高的可能性不大，预计年底交投于1920-1950美元区间，通胀的缺乏将使实际收益率和金价受到约束。黄金想要大幅上涨必须看到央行向市场注入更多的流动性。

Gold from4After hours of consolidation, the breaking high continued to rise, with Lianyang hitting the short-term moving average and fluctuating upwards. Hour chart breakthrough1900After closing above this level, the short-term structure may appear to be biased, but there is still uncertainty about whether it can continue strongly. We have reached the threshold of releasing important data again. There is also some room for a sustained rebound at the beginning of the week, as the previous weak downward trend has been broken. But the rhythm is slowly rising. This trend. For the time being, the small cycle may seem strong, which is the common trend of broken yang rising. It cannot be said that it is not a bull trend, but a chronic rise. Affected by the news, it is easy to change the current pace, which is a small level trend. It is not ruled out that there is a risk of rising and falling at the end of the week. Start with the short term and focus on the present. At present, the critical point of multiple steps in the hourly chart is1881.50.This position has already moved a certain distance away. If the trend continues, the pullback cannot be too deep, as it is easy to weaken. The conversion of time and space is also in a moment of thought. Upper resistance1918一带，目前还是一步一回头的走法。探高后伴随回踩确认。综合来看今日短线操作思路上孙奕臣个人建议以回调低多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期重点关注1925-1935Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1885-1880一线支撑。行情千变万化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及每日策略分析指导可以咨询本人孙奕臣（微信：syc475）获取！

Analysis of crude oil market:

　　周一国际油价涨逾3%；因美国总统特朗普的医师暗示特朗普最快周一就可出院，这距离他新冠病毒检测呈阳性、引发普遍恐慌后不过才几天。特朗普健康的最新状况缓解了全球市场的政治不确定性，孙奕臣个人认为因为美国总统健康状况改善....周末期间对他的健康有许多相互冲突的报导，不过概括说来他正在改善”。挪威石油工人罢工的消息，也给油价提供支撑。挪威国家石油公司周一称，罢工导致北海4个油田停工。

　　原油技术面来看，原油周线图显示，周线收盘大阴线，高价没有破前高，低价破新低，出现落尾走势，周线级别出现二连阴，再次触及前期支撑位置36Near the quotation. The daily level chart shows that the closing entity of the daily line is a large negative line, with signs of closing in the Bollinger band. The oil price is running below the lower track, and the moving average is sticking above the oil price, forming a dead cross. On the attached indicators, it is shown that the oil price is running below the zero axis, with bearish momentum increasing. After the high end of the oscillation indicator, it diverges downwards and immediately hits the oversold area. Today, we will focus on the further willingness and direction of oil prices. If we further break the support of last month36.1Horizontal, there may be a downward trendABCDownward wave trend, focus on34.0Position support. Focus first on the upward resistance level of oil prices37.8dollar/The bucket position will be tested after breaking38.8dollar/桶位置阻力。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上孙奕臣建议以回调低多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期重点关注39.5-40.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below37.0-36.5一线支撑，行情千变万化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及每日策略分析指导可以咨询本人孙奕臣（微信：syc475）获取！

Analysis of Silver Market:

Last Friday20:30Investors will welcome the United States9月非农就业报告，这将是11月美国总统大选前的最后一次月度就业报告。另外，特朗普确诊新冠肺炎增加了市场的不确定性。分析人士指出，美国大选选情的不确定性正因此进一步加深，这将推动避险情绪重新升温。近期的失业金申请人数显示，随着政府援助资金减少，美国经济从新冠疫情中的复苏正失去动能。分析师的预估中值显示，美国9Monthly non farm employment is expected to increase85Ten thousand people, far below8Of137.1Ten thousand, the unemployment rate changes from8.4%Slightly fall back to8.2%

　　白银的走势继续弱于黄金，在黄金已经创出新高的前提下，白银只是稍微向上挪了挪地方就回吐了大部分涨幅，也可以说是下降通道产生了压制作用。目前辅助的参考对象美元指数已经回落到了关键支撑，并且出现了下跌抵抗形态，既然美元指数有反弹向上的需求，那么今日银价理应会出现一波回落走势，因此建议日内逢高卖出。结构上出现了双顶的疑似形态，目前还是认为处于Cwave4的反弹周期末端。下方支撑位于23.20and23.00The upper pressure is located at24.5and24.85。具体操作建议需要根据具体走势来定给出。行情千变万化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及每日策略分析指导可以咨询本人孙奕臣（微信：syc475）获取！

　　投资寄语

　　机会就在你承受的压力达到极限时来临，机会往往出现在你绝望的下一分钟。成功者并没有什么超凡的能力，只是在关键的时候做出了能改变局面的正确决策而已。抓住机会力挽狂澜，并能坚守让成功如期而至，这是成功的交易者必须具备的气质及气度。投资注定是一次惊险刺激的旅程，处在逆境不丧其志，登上绝顶不炫其目，未雨绸缪，防微杜渐，风雨来临才会安如磐石，机会来临才不会失之交臂！不是每一次进场都能凯旋而归，也不是每一个点位都能进行交易。理念是战略，点位是战术，操作是战斗。

Wen/孙奕臣