Monday(10month5day)亚市盘初,国际油价反弹逾1%。但上周两市重挫逾7%,布伦特原油录得6month15Recently, it has reached a new low38.79dollar/桶。美国总统新冠检测呈阳性的消息加剧了投资者的不安情绪,且全球原油产量上升可能击垮市场疲弱的复苏。而围绕美国总统健康状况的不确定性加剧了一系列的不安情绪,其中包括美国疲弱的就业报告、国会和白宫之间缺乏进展的谈判和世界主要产油国增加石油供应。供应增加也给市场带来压力。据能源服务公司贝克休斯称,美国能源公司最近一周增加了石油和天然气活跃钻机数,预示着供应还将增加。这是连续第三周增加活跃钻机,而最近几个月油价上涨促使一些生产商重新开始钻探。
原油技术面来看,原油周线图显示,周线收盘大阴线,高价没有破前高,低价破新低,出现落尾走势,周线级别出现二连阴,再次触及前期支撑位置36Near the quotation. The daily level chart shows that the closing entity of the daily line is a large negative line, with signs of closing in the Bollinger band. The oil price is running below the lower track, and the moving average is sticking above the oil price, forming a dead cross. On the attached indicators, it is shown that the oil price is running below the zero axis, with bearish momentum increasing. After the high end of the oscillation indicator, it diverges downwards and immediately hits the oversold area. Today, we will focus on the further willingness and direction of oil prices. If we further break the support of last month36.1Horizontal, there may be a downward trendABCDownward wave trend, focus on34.0Position support. Focus first on the upward resistance level of oil prices37.8dollar/The bucket position will be tested after breaking38.8dollar/桶位置阻力。综合来看,今日短线操作思路上秦泽冉建议以回调低多为主,反弹做空为辅,上方短期重点关注38.5-39Frontline resistance, short-term focus below36.5-36Frontline support.