尽管全球多地疫情重新抬头,美国总统大选首场辩论堪称闹剧,提振美元避险属性,但美国9月非农报告突显出经济复苏面临的挑战,以及美国国会新推刺激措施的紧迫性,美元指数本周收跌0.81%to93.817, and recorded8月末以来最大单周跌幅。受美元疲软提振,主要非美货币纷纷收高。不过欧洲疫情重新抬头迹象明显,英欧谈判面临的障碍迟迟无法逾越。英国央行官员表示,保留考虑使用负利率可能性。
Spot gold closed higher this week2%to1898.38dollar/Ounces, the largest increase in nearly eight weeks, as the US dollar index closed lower9月就业增长放缓幅度超过预期,美国总统特朗普新冠病毒检测结果呈阳性,打击了风险情绪。人们重新燃起了对美国将出台旨在缓解疫情经济影响的刺激计划的希望。稍早公布的美国9月制造业活动意外放缓,上周美国初请失业金人数仍高于大衰退期间的水平,已经支撑黄金的避险吸引力。就业市场复苏放缓是迄今为止表明美国经济进入第四季挂上低速档的最强劲信号。如果投资者越发担心选举结果推迟的前景,那政治不确定性持续更长时间,可能会在未来几周推动金价上涨。
从日线来看:宽幅震荡;布林带三轨相对趋平,金价区间1880-1920震荡,MACDThe adhesive and green column have weak kinetic energy,KDJThe golden cross and index are located at40附近。从技术面看,黄金看涨押注激增,但仍需美国非农数据利多的影响。从4小时来看:震荡回升;布林带三轨整体向上,金价逼近上轨处;MACD金叉、红柱动能相对有限,KDJPreliminary Golden Cross, Index at70附近。从技术面看,黄金短线看多。随着金价回升1900关口上方,整体看多。上行方面,阻力位先留意布林带中轨1925.43附近,若需走高料测试50Daily moving average1945.00附近。近期强阻力关注布林带上轨1992.00Nearby, and9month16Daily high point1973.56也建议投资者予以留意。下方支撑先留意1900.00关口,只要该关口坚守,金价就仍维持看多观点。而一旦失守,先下看10Daily moving average1888.00附近,进一步支撑位下看8month12Daily low point1863.16。强支撑下看上周四触及的逾两个月低点1848.89,一旦该防线失守,料打开新的下跌风险;此外,布林带下轨1858.90的支撑性也相对较强。综合来看,黄金短线操作思路上王铭鑫建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅。金价上方短期重点关注1915-1920Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1885-1880一线支撑。盘间行情实时变化具体操作黄金、原油、走势分析、操作建议以【王铭鑫 kdj0866】The actual offer shall prevail.
美原油、国际原油行情走势解析:
原油日线收阴;MACDSlight golden cross,KDJ重新结成死叉,均线交织,短线走势变数较大;在1Hour level,MACD动能由下转上,RSI上探超卖区,短线上有偏上行的风险。从盘面上看,美原油即40关口附近上穿下行,小时线张口向上有不错的反弹趋势,呈收敛区间震荡形态,多空延续性不足,在市场无重大消息面刺激下,在未能破前高41之前,短线价格将大概率在此区间继续宽幅震荡以时间换空间运行。上方留意55Daily moving average41.01附近阻力;下方留意200Daily moving average39.62and100Daily moving average39.17附近支撑。相对而言,震荡行情KDJ指标的参考意义更强,在顶破55Daily moving average41.01前,油价面临重回跌势的风险;若跌破100Daily moving average39.17附近支撑,则增加短线看空信号;进一步支撑在9month9Daily high point38.45Nearby;9month11Daily low point support at36.67附近。若油价能够顶破55Daily moving average41.01附近阻力,则增加短线看涨信号;9month4Resistance to daily highs41.87Nearby,8month27Resistance to daily highs42.36附近。综合来看,原油短线操作思路上王铭鑫个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹做空为辅,上方短期重点关注40.0-39.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below36.5-36.0Frontline support.
作者寄语:顺势而为,取财有道!请记住永远不要和趋势作对。服务天天进步,责任常在心中,王铭鑫团队的指导服务从早上7spot-before dawn2Point provides comprehensive analysis, tracking, and tracking services; Our cooperative clients can easily engage in trading, which is the ultimate goal of our services; We know that in order to have a harmonious relationship with customers like friends, we strive to achieve mutual benefit in the process of cooperation. Only when customers improve their technology and positions on our side, we take responsibility and patiently teach them to fish. Only in this way can we achieve a win-win situation in cooperation. This is our pursuit based on the financial industry!
本文由王铭鑫(官微:kdj0866)分析.Exclusive original by Shi, I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online posts, it is for reference only and I bear the risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting