孙奕臣10.4=10.5黄金开盘会涨吗？黄金原油走势分析策略

Preface


　　市场永远在多空相互博奕中进行，行情时儿强势上攻，时而急速下跌；晚间gold如何布局？对于你而言虽然无法控制市场的走向，但是你一样得学会保持清醒，别被利益的诱惑磨灭了自己的心智。行情是上还是下？最重要的是我们如何去规避风险，控制利润，而不是盲从的进行追涨杀跌。


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　　黄金分析


Spot gold closed higher this week2%to1898.38dollar/Ounces, the largest increase in nearly eight weeks, as the US dollar index closed lower9The monthly employment growth slowed more than expected, and the US President Trump tested positive for COVID-19, which hit the risk sentiment. The highly anticipated employment report released by the US Department of Labor on Friday shows that,9The slowdown in employment growth in the month exceeded expectations,30More than ten million Americans have permanently lost their jobs11month3Before the fierce competition in the Japanese presidential election, it may cause a blow to President Trump. More fiscal stimulus measures are urgently needed to help the economy recover from the recession caused by the COVID-19 epidemic. The slowdown in the job market recovery is the strongest signal so far that the US economy has entered the fourth quarter and shifted to low gear. If investors become increasingly concerned about the prospect of delayed election results, political uncertainty may persist for a longer period of time and drive gold prices higher in the coming weeks.


Technically speaking, the weekly gold price rebounded from the support position of the mid rail and closed positive,MACDThe fast and slow lines are still operating with a dead fork downward, the green kinetic energy column is also continuously expanding, and gold prices are still under the trend pressure of high point retreat, indicating that downward pressure is still there. Below, attention is still focused on the support of the medium rail, and preliminary resistance will be paid next week1917USD and1940dollar/ounce.


On the daily line, gold prices have hit since then100Continuous rebound after daily moving average support, approaching1920Gateway;MACDDead forks and green pillars reduce kinetic energy,KDJUpward Breakthrough of Golden Cross and Random Index50The moving average is arranged in a long position, with the opening of the Bollinger band pointing upwards, indicating a bullish signal on the technical side of gold. It is expected to continue to rise in the future, but the rebound is currently encountering a medium track and30Daily moving average pressure. But fortunately, in terms of indicators,MACDThe green bar continues to decrease, while the bearish signal weakens,KDJAlso, keep the golden fork emitting upwards, indicating a further rebound and a trend of breaking through resistance. Follow Below1890USD support, further focus on1877USD. Follow Above1916US dollar resistance and1925US dollar resistance.4On the hour chart: low rebound; Bling's band closed, and gold prices rose to1916Nearby began to fall, but failed to break through1920upper;MACDThe Golden Fork and Red Energy Pillar are reduced,KDJHigh dead cross, random index down, index below50The interweaving of moving averages indicates that there is insufficient momentum for gold's rise, and there is a possibility of a pullback in the future. The initial support below is1890Nearby, this position is also supported by the mid rail. If it breaks the support at this position, then gold will continue to decline.


　　原油分析


This week, international oil prices fell for the second consecutive week, with Brent crude oil plummeting nearly8%, breaking a new low in over three and a half months. The news that President COVID-19 of the United States tested positive shocked risky assets, and the rise in global crude oil production may break the weak recovery momentum of the energy market. According to energy service company Baker Hughes, the US energy company has increased the number of active oil and gas drilling rigs in the past week, indicating an increase in supply. This is the third consecutive week of increasing active drilling rigs, and the rise in oil prices in recent months has prompted some producers to resume drilling. An investigation has found that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)9月石油产量连续第三个月增加，因利比亚一些设施重启和伊朗出口增加抵消了其他成员国对检减产协议的有力执行。全球最大几间贸易商的主管预言，未来几个月、甚至未来数年受到新冠疫情影响，石油需求复苏乏力，油价料将持平，他们指出石油需求高峰恐怕要到下个十年才会出现。


From the perspective of crude oil technology, on a daily basis, crude oil continued to decline again on the previous trading day on Friday, with a nearly daily decline20Exceeding the point, recording a heavy overcast, on the daily line, with various technical indicators arranged in short positions, without conducting too much analysis, but considering the following36.1In the early stage of low point storage and support, it is necessary to pay attention to the effect. If there is a double bottom support at the bottom, crude oil is expected to rebound. If it effectively falls below, crude oil may continue to open up a downward trend;4On Friday, crude oil showed a fluctuating downward trend and continued to decline. Currently, the Bollinger Belt is in an opening period,MAThe moving average is arranged in short positions,KDJRandom indicator three line forward, reaching oversold,MACD指标绿色动能柱持续放量，快慢线死叉向下，孙奕臣综合来看，原油目前短期内有反弹需求，但下行依在，下周一操作建议反弹做空，上方关注37.5-38.0First line resistance, followed by a focus on the early low points of the daily line36.1Support effect: If the support is effective, multiple single game can be played. If the level is broken, continue to short according to the trend.


　　投资寄语


　　听了很多大道理，可依然做不好交易，学习了很多理论知识，可仍然不能游刃有余，如果我们不贪婪，我们不会被打败，如果我们不恐惧，我们将获得胜利，有时候想证明给一万个人看，但发现最后能懂的只有自己，市场的生存法则就是弱肉强食，注定有一批人将被市场所淘汰，战争不会给军人解释的机会，大浪淘沙，沉者为金，我愿和您共同前行！


Wen/孙奕臣
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