High normal operation10.3-10.4伦敦金、美原油下周多空操作策略精准布局及操作指南

　　朋友们，早上好，周末愉快！周末到，过滤心灵的杂质，卸掉生活的负担，投入自己的兴趣，度过快乐的今天。打开窗户，赏一朵云的慵懒；睁开眼睛，触碰一片爱的视线；踏青在乐土，感受自然的风范;The trajectory of time has turned towards happiness. Weekend, may you be filled with joy!
　　
Do you still have a set of orders in your warehouse? Have you grasped the profit? The market has always understood that people earn money for those who are confused. In a market economy, as long as you participate in the economy, you are an economic person. Economic people naturally aim for profit, especially in the capital market where there are no philanthropists, only winners and losers. No matter how successful you are in other areas, winning or losing is the only criterion in the market. To survive in the market, one should be like a stream of water, not impatient or impatient, living in a narrow gap, and seeking the simplest and purest state. My philosophy is to do it as soon as the point is reached, and as soon as the point is not reached, we will watch. I am Gao Changyun, whether you are a beginner or an experienced player. If you are lost or incur losses in investment, you can consult the author. In the face of opportunities: Smart people always prefer to make mistakes and never let them go.
　　
　　聚焦市场gold&crude oilreal-time info
　　
　　现货黄金尾盘失守1900关口，收盘1898.70dollar/盎司；现货白银报23.70dollar/ounce.COMEX 12Monthly goldfuturesClosing down8.7USD, decline0.45%Report1907.6dollar/Ounces;12Monthly silver futures prices fall23Cents, decline0.9%, closing per ounce24.029美元。本周黄金期货价格累计上涨2.2%，白银期货上涨近4.1%。现货黄金欧市盘前一度触及1917.15dollar/Ounces, for9month22The highest level in recent days.
　　
Friday(10month2day)纽市盘中，金价在震荡交投中微跌，但守在1900美元上方，美元走强令其上涨受限，但截至目前金价本周大涨2.2%，周线将创下近二个月来最大涨幅，此前美国总统特朗普新冠病毒检测结果呈阳性，打击了风险情绪。黄金市场交易商仍在评估特朗普夫妇罹患新冠肺炎并将接受隔离的消息。一些策略师称，该消息迫使投资者考虑民主党候选人拜登的领先地位，拜登在大多数民调中已经领先于特朗普。据高常运了解：距离美国大选还有33天，还有太多的未知因素，更多投资者买入黄金避险。
　　
　　市场对新一轮刺激的期望也提振了金价。美国众议院议长佩洛西周五表示，与白宫围绕新一轮刺激方案的谈判将继续进行，特朗普确诊感染新冠病毒，可能会彰显疫情的严重性，进而改变会谈态势。她表示对两党共同发起一份刺激法案的前景感到乐观。美国国家经济顾问库德洛称，共和党人接近达成规模为1.5万亿美元的刺激计划。特朗普确诊的消息刚报道出来时，金价一度上涨，但随即转跌，因为该消息显然并未造成股市的恐慌性抛售，投资者没有急忙转向黄金等避险资产。
　　
　　预计金价在8Month reached2075-2080美元的基本预期目标后，扩大了回调幅度，随后跌至略高于支撑位1837美元的水平，这是2020Annual level23.6%回撤位。我们预计，在最终升穿1993美元并看向2075美元之前，这一水平将继续保持并维持在横向震荡区间，在明年之前都不太可能出现新的高点。如果最终突破这一点位，将看到核心牛市趋势的恢复，阻力位将在2175美元，之后看向2300USD.
　　
　　油价大跌逾4%，因特朗普确诊感染新冠，且市场担忧经济复苏进程；油价周五大跌逾4%，并录得连续第二周周线跌幅，美国总统新冠检测呈阳性的消息震撼了高风险资产，且全球原油产量上升可能击垮市场疲弱的复苏；美油和布油均连续第二周下跌；围绕美国总统健康状况的不确定性加剧了一系列的不安情绪，其中包括美国疲弱的就业报告和世界主要产油国增加石油供应；这是艰难的一周，现在总统的确诊令市场不寒而颤，新冠疫情对石油市场的影响超过了其他任何资产类别；美国劳工部公布，9Non-agricultural employment increased in the month66.1Ten thousand people,8Monthly increase149万人，美国就业市场复苏放缓；供瑛增加也给市场带来压力；据能源服务公司贝克休斯称，美国能源公司最近一周增加了石油和天然气活跃钻机数，预示着供应还将增加；这是连续第三周增加活跃钻机，而最近几个月油价上涨促使一些生产商重新开始钻探；媒体调查显示，9Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)原油日产量较上月增加16Ten thousand barrels.
　　
Analysis of the price trend of spot gold:
　　
　　从日线来看：宽幅震荡；布林带三轨相对趋平，金价区间1880-1920震荡，MACDThe adhesive and green column have weak kinetic energy,KDJThe golden cross and index are located at40附近。从技术面看，黄金看涨押注激增，但仍需美国非农数据利多的影响。从4小时来看：震荡回升；布林带三轨整体向上，金价逼近上轨处；MACD金叉、红柱动能相对有限，KDJPreliminary Golden Cross, Index at70附近。从技术面看，黄金短线看多。随着金价回升1900关口上方，整体看多。上行方面，阻力位先留意布林带中轨1925.43附近，若需走高料测试50Daily moving average1945.00附近。近期强阻力关注布林带上轨1992.00Nearby, and9month16Daily high point1973.56也建议投资者予以留意。下方支撑先留意1900.00关口，只要该关口坚守，金价就仍维持看多观点。而一旦失守，先下看10Daily moving average1888.00附近，进一步支撑位下看8month12Daily low point1863.16。强支撑下看上周四触及的逾两个月低点1848.89，一旦该防线失守，料打开新的下跌风险；此外，布林带下轨1858.90的支撑性也相对较强。综合来看，黄金短线操作思路上高常运建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅。金价上方短期重点关注1915-1920Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1885-1880一线支撑。盘间行情实时变化具体操作黄金、原油、走势分析、操作建议以【高常运gcy8527】The actual offer shall prevail.
　　
Analysis of International Crude Oil Price Trends:
　　
　　原油日线收阴；MACDSlight golden cross,KDJ重新结成死叉，均线交织，短线走势变数较大；在1Hour level,MACD动能由下转上，RSI上探超卖区，短线上有偏上行的风险。从盘面上看，美原油即40关口附近上穿下行，小时线张口向上有不错的反弹趋势，呈收敛区间震荡形态，多空延续性不足，在市场无重大消息面刺激下，在未能破前高41之前，短线价格将大概率在此区间继续宽幅震荡以时间换空间运行。上方留意55Daily moving average41.01附近阻力；下方留意200Daily moving average39.62and100Daily moving average39.17附近支撑。相对而言，震荡行情KDJ指标的参考意义更强，在顶破55Daily moving average41.01前，油价面临重回跌势的风险；若跌破100Daily moving average39.17附近支撑，则增加短线看空信号；进一步支撑在9month9Daily high point38.45Nearby;9month11Daily low point support at36.67附近。若油价能够顶破55Daily moving average41.01附近阻力，则增加短线看涨信号；9month4Resistance to daily highs41.87Nearby,8month27Resistance to daily highs42.36附近。综合来看，原油短线操作思路上高常运个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期重点关注40.0-39.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below36.5-36.0Frontline support.
　　
Principle of high normal operation:
　　
　　1Maintain principal, reasonably control positions, and invest in a planned manner.
　　
　　2Enter when the direction is clear, it's better to miss than make a mistake.
　　
　　3Be mindful of the overall situation, grasp the situation, and do not regret for mistakes. Be mindful of the situation, move according to it, and take advantage of it!
　　
One Center: Focus First - Maintain a correct investment attitude, make up your mind to survive in the market for a long time without being eliminated, be not greedy or hasty, and effectively leverage the power of compound interest.
　　
Two characteristics: following the trend with strict self-discipline, long-term analysis with a heavy cycle
　　
Three principles: obey rules and grasp trends; Portfolio investment, continuous consistency; Strictly manage and control risks.
　　
Four qualities: courage, patience, self-discipline, and willingness.
　　
Message from Gao Changyun: For some people, this market may already be physically and mentally exhausted, from being hopeful about investing in gold, to being afraid of entering with heavy losses, losing even the confidence to encourage oneself. At one point, they sought a teacher who could help them, but ended up losing money. They continued to stay unhappy in the gold market and were unwilling to leave, which may be the current situation faced by many investors. Even though the current situation may be unbearable, please remember that there is no path to a black market, let alone investments that have been losing money. The market keeps going back and forth, with losses and profits made through operations. No one makes a complete profit, but it is all a result of trial and error, steady progress, and step-by-step management. In this mixed market, there are many people who are losing money, but to some extent, there are major trading problems. Whether it is a bad mentality, indecisiveness, not carrying stop losses, or liking to resist orders and lock in positions, losses are not accidental, and there will always be major problems. Investing is not something that can be done overnight. The only way is to abandon these bad habits, study tirelessly, control risks, and operate steadily, It must be the time for your rebirth. Buying and selling positions should not be entered randomly. Please take responsibility for your own funds and always remember the saying: professional people do professional things, all practical actions are for profit, and cooperation is for win-win.
　　This article is written by Gao Changyun (WeChat:gcy8527——Official account: Gao Changyun), I interpret the world economic news, analyze the global investment trend We have conducted in-depth research on commodities such as silver and others. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is personal advice. Due to the timeliness of online posts, it is for reference only and at our own risk. Please indicate the source of the reprint.