Zhou Jinrui9.29黄金还会涨吗？白银TD还会跌吗？期货黄金原油趋势分析独家策略

Article Summary:goldcrude oiltechnical analysis.How to stir fry gold for beginnersTDcrude oil.goldTDWhat to do with losses on crude oil investment?Analysis of the Trend of Gold and Crude Oil.Recommendations for Operation of Gold Crude Oil.Gold crude oil strategy.Investing in international gold, crude oil, and silverTDHow to analyze the market situation? Today's Gold, Crude Oil, SilverTDWhat do you think when you're free? How to recover losses from investing in spot gold? goldTDsilverTDHow to operate the short line? What are the current gold resistance and support levels? Novice investing in gold and silverTDHow should I make the order? Will London gold prices continue to rise today? silverTDWill it still fall? What recent news will affect gold and silverTDTrend? What is the impact of the rise and fall of the US dollar on gold? Gold, crude oil, silverTDAnalysis of today's market trend and operational suggestions, will spot gold continue to rise today? US crude oil silverTDWill it still fall? International Gold and SilverTDHow to operate today?
　　
Investment is like playing chess. Those with high chess skills can see five, seven, or even more than ten steps, while those with low chess skills can only see two or three steps. High players consider the overall situation and plan for the big picture, not focusing on one piece or one place, with the ultimate goal of winning the game. Low players compete for every inch of land, only for temporary needs, resulting in frequent difficulties. Trends must have a long-term perspective, investments must have long-term planning, and layout skills are the key to success. When investing, if your abilities are not enough to support your current situation, then you need a military strategist to help you control the overall situation. One choice is a turning point! One attempt is an opportunity!
　　
Analysis of the trend of spot gold, silver, London gold, and paper gold [Zhou Jinrui WeChat:zjr8527】Suggestions for crude oil and silver operations, gold and silver markets, daily analysis of gold and silver, latest strategies, and techniques for unwinding long and short orders!
　　
Analysis of Gold Market Trend
　　
Analysis of Gold News: Monday（9month28Japanese goldT+DClosing up0.35%to398.7element/gram;silverT+DClosing down0.29%to4839element/千克。现货黄金再度跌破1850dollar/盎司，欧洲市场盘中，欧元/美元上行，最高升至1.1677； pound/美元暴力触底反弹，最高触及1.2929； dollar/日元小幅度下探，最低跌至105.25；在风险情绪回暖，导致美元下探，现货金有所触底反弹，最高升至1876dollar/盎司，最多拉升28美元。尽管美元有所回落，但更多是英镑上涨带动，而非市场风险偏好情绪变化。贵金属下跌更多是投资者看涨情绪减弱，截止至9month15Solstice9month22日当周，投机者持有的黄金投机性净多头减少15497Hand contract, to219060手合约。近期黄金ETF持仓也有所下滑。以美元计价的黄金在过去一周下跌了约4.5%，为三周来首次周度下跌，且在非农周面临的下行风险料将加大。在财政刺激政策的争论下和主要经济体从病毒危机中复苏之后，对美元持续的避险需求继续对黄金构成下行压力。此外，各国央行对提供更多货币刺激措施的怀疑也削弱了围绕黄金的人气。但周金瑞认为，实际利率的低迷最终会影响美元的表现，推高金价。由于黄金本身不会带来收益，因此实际利率的表现意味着黄金的吸引力有多大。近几个月美国实际利率持续走低。受到实际利率走低的影响，预计金价将震荡走高。而在美联储表态将很长一段时间内不加息，这对黄金无疑也是非常利好的。 关注公众号“金油周金瑞”即可实时获得最新的操作策略。
　　
　　黄金技术面：黄金打破近期的三角震荡缩减模式，指标信号上的空头信号再度得到增强，目前虽在周线的中轨支撑位置展开止跌，但反弹动能不足，回撤的预期影响仍在，下方重点关注中轨线1848的支撑是否有效，持稳于此上方运行，则增加其震荡待涨或直接反弹的预期，并有再度冲击2000美元关口附近的空间。如跌破则进一步重点支撑关注1790dollar/盎司附近可再度看涨。

    日线级别；收取的低位十字星也增加了其止跌预期，目前也有所止跌反弹，但力度并不是很强，需突破5日均线阻力并站稳方可延续性上涨。不过根据今年3月份而起的斐波那契分割线的38.2%支撑位置和100日均线的支撑位置来看，虽有下行，但空间则有限。如果再度回落转跌至此，也将是我大胆跟进看涨的位置。短线4小时一波低位反弹收盘在10Above the daily moving average,MACD指标低位金叉。突破10日均线且收在之上，打破了周初的极弱下跌走法，转为反弹，当然目前的反弹只是针对短期下跌趋势中的修正。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上周金瑞建议低多为主，高空为辅。上方关注1895-1900One line of resistance, pay attention below1850-1855Frontline support.
　　
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Analysis of crude oil market trend
　　
Analysis of crude oil news: Monday(9month28day)，国际油价下跌，感染病例上升打乱了燃料需求平顺复苏的希望。两大futures价格继上周下跌后，可能录得多月来的首个月线下跌。荷兰国际集团（ING）最新的报告认为，需求是全球石油市场的主要不确定性，而且只要疫情继续扰乱日常生活，这种不确定性就将继续存在。显然，需求如何演变是一个巨大的未知数，因此这是石油市场的关键风险。疫情的进一步爆发和航空旅行的限制对需求和价格构成下行风险。不过，假设需求继续逐步复苏，ING认为库存将在2020Q4 and2021年之后下降，届时价格将从目前水平上升。ING认为，疫情的进一步爆发不会导致全面封锁，相反，各国政府可能会采取更具针对性和本地化的措施。然而ING仍下调了对布伦特原油的预测，现在预计油价将在2020年四季度期间平均为47dollar/桶，而之前的预测为50dollar/桶。与此同时，INGyes2021年的平均油价做了一些微小的修正，不过平均价格仍维持在58dollar/桶。除了与疫情相关的需求风险外，ING认为还有其他几个下行风险。首先是OPEC+协议，目前该协议将一直持续到2022年。如果由于某种原因，该协议告吹，这将意味着2021年市场将新增58010000 barrels/日的供应量，这将足以推动市场库存再度大幅增加。
　　
　　原油技术面：原油现在的走势属于下跌后的震荡行情，上方40.7-40.9位置既是此前盘整顶部位置，破位前是支撑，破位后转换为压力，并且是30分钟走势图上长短均线即将死叉的位置，如果今日的行情反弹不能有效突破40.7-40.9位置的压力，必然会再次下跌，而且多空转换，将会开启波段下跌走势！上方关注41.8压力位置，下方关注隔日回踩低点38.6位置的支撑！此位置是回踩的低点也是1Hour level200日均线支撑位置，没有破位前原油暂时维持38.6-40.9区域内震荡，破位的情况下将会再次下跌，形成与此前43reach36位置的下跌对应的下跌波段！综合来看，今日原油短线操作思路上周金瑞个人建议以低多为主，高空为辅，上方短期重点关注41.5-42.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below38.0-38.5Frontline support. Currently, friends who have nested orders in their positions are unable to provide corresponding unwinding strategies due to the author Zhou Jinrui's lack of knowledge about the location of your nested orders and the specific situation of your positions. Friends who need to unwind can use WeChatzjr8527obtain.
　　
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Author's Message: I hope my article can bring you valuable insights and ensure smooth sailing in future investments. If you need to learn more about spot investments, trading techniques, operational techniques, and long short solutions τ as well asKYou can contact Zhou Jinrui by phone.
　　
This article is written by Zhou Jinrui (WeChat:zjr8527）Contributing, I interpret the world economic news, analyze the global investment trends, and analyze the impact of crude oil, gold We have conducted in-depth research on commodities such as silver and others. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is personal advice. Due to the timeliness of online posts, it is for reference only and at our own risk. Please indicate the source of the reprint.
　　
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