High normal operation9.28市场将迎来重磅非农周、黄金白银TD走势分析及操作策略

　　记住别人的好处，叫感恩；忘记别人的不好，叫宽容。懂得感恩和宽容的人，才会生活得非常快乐，每天清晨要用微笑迎接崭新的一天， 其实，人要看轻自己，少一些自我，多一些换位，才能心生快乐。所谓心有多大，快乐就有多少；包容越多，得到越多。最美的风景，不在终点，而在路上， 最美的人，不在外表，而在心里， 让人生所有的遇见，都成为一种美好。
　　
　　看的是书，读的却是世界；品的是茶，尝的却是生活。走的是路，历练的却是人生；命运，一切尽在把握，改变，一切皆有可能。只有这样，我们才能决定自己未来的方向，改变人生的轨迹，拥有我们真正想要的人生……酒逢知己千杯少，话不投机半句多，你有五万还是五百万对我来说只是胜利制定策略的一个指标罢了，没有一颗虚心求教，踏实肯干的决心，高常运认为既浪费你我的时间精力也达不到我们盈利的初衷，投资路并非坦途，我们看到了太多的人初进时意气风发，到最后黯淡离场。我的文字不华丽，但是却很真诚，你能看到我写的文章，这是一种缘分，我相信缘分，缘分让我们相遇相知，每一份缘分都应该被珍惜，遇到的人不一样，载体不一样，结果就不一样了！所谓闻道有先后，术业有专攻，选择比努力更重要！选择大于努力，今天的选择或许就是明天的转折！对的时间，跟对的人，做对的事情，这就是投资成功的秘诀，合作只是起点，服务没有终点！
　　
For inbound investmentsgoldcrude oil的朋友可能会因为工作、生活等问题无法获取国际市场第一新闻或消息，这对做黄金原油来讲是很大的困扰，所以高常运（WeChat：gcy8527）Welcome investment friends to come and communicate and progress with me. Whether or not to make money depends on the timing of buying and selling. Making money depends on opportunities, investing relies on wisdom, and financial management relies on professionalism. Gaochangyun focuses on analyzing spot gold, US crude oil, and goldT+DSilverT+DPaper gold, paper silver, London goldforeign exchangeGold, international crude oil, precious metals and other financial and financial investment products. A professional team conducts online analysis and provides one-on-one real-time guidance to help investors avoid risks, expand profits, and keep you informed of international market trends anytime and anywhere, making the most robust orders.
　　
　　市场前瞻：
　　
　　接下来的一周，适逢中国长达八天的国庆假期，但经济数据则更多，包括中国PMI、各国GDP、以及重要的美国非农数据；事件方面，英国和欧盟开始新一轮脱欧贸易磋商，美国大选辩论将上演，另外欧洲央行及美联储官员都有一些重要讲话。
　　
　　9month28日（周一）
　　
　　①欧洲央行执委施纳贝尔尔参加德国经济协会的线上年会。
　　
　　②欧洲央行执委施纳贝尔在欧洲可持续金融峰会上发表讲话并参加小组讨论。
　　
　　③重点关注欧洲央行行长拉加德出席欧洲议会听证会。
　　
　　┉黄金资讯┉
　　
　　上周，现货黄金一度下挫逾百美元，现货白银大跌近15%，美元指数大幅走高，创两个月新高，全球股市遭遇抛售，这和3The global outbreak of COVID-19 in the month was very similar, which also led to a decline in gold. Considering the weakening of short-term selling pressure on precious metals, the future gold market needs to pay attention to these five points,1The performance of the US dollar;2Stagnant interest rates;3Key locations;4、ETFPosition holding;5、美国大选的不确定性。黄金futures本周录得约半年来的最大周跌幅；纽约商品交易所12The price of gold futures for monthly delivery has fallen10.60USD, decline0.6%, closing per ounce1866.30美元，为两个月来的最低收盘价，本周黄金期货价格累计下跌4.9%, for3month13日当周以来的最大周跌幅。投机者持有的黄金投机性净多头减少21917Hand contract, to219060手合约，表明投资者看多黄金的意愿降温。投机者持有的白银投机性净多头增加598Hand contract, to38947合约，表明投资者看多白银的意愿升温。
　　
　　现货黄金行情走势分析:
　　
　　金价本周自10周均线支撑位置跌破后展开大幅下挫，并最低触及中轨支撑位置，目前虽在此处止跌，但指标的空头信号仍处增强，不过，高常运认为；经历了这一周的暴跌后，黄金进入了超卖状态。中轨支撑很可能会是止跌起涨点。下方重点支撑关注中轨支撑附近的1845dollar/盎司左右，上方阻力1900dollar/盎司水平，以及1930dollar/盎司阻力。金价在触及周低点后有所止跌震荡，空头信号有所削弱，但仍然存在，不过下方空间有限，同时还存在着100日均线的强劲支撑以及38.2%回撤位的有力支撑，因此很可能就此反转回升。未来几周金价上涨的可能是大大超过下跌的，在疫情继续且利率低迷的情况下，黄金长期仍然看涨。综合来看，黄金短线操作思路上高常运个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1900-1906Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1850-1845一线支撑。盘间行情实时变化具体操作黄金、原油、走势分析、操作建议以【高常运gcy8527】Subject to firm offer
　　
　　┉原油资讯┉
　　
　　上周，国际油价有所承压，美原油和布伦特原油均下跌2%左右，全球疫情引发金融市场恐慌，对未来需求的担忧情绪有所上升，同时供应层面，利比亚将恢复出口，而伊拉克向OPEC+申请增加出口，同时美国飓风影响正在过去。美原油最低触及38.87dollar/桶，收报40.04，周线跌幅2.29%；布伦特原油最低触及40.96dollar/桶，收报42.26dollar/桶，周线跌幅1.81%。欧洲新冠疫情的复苏可能会比我们预期的更早抑制原油需求；随着美国夏季旅游旺季的过去，市场已经为短期内的供应过剩做好了准备；有趣的是，随着美油跌破43dollar/桶，国内生产重新苏醒，给市场情绪和供需平衡带来了压力。投机者持有的原油投机性净多头增加23025Hand contract, to472769Hand contracts indicate an increasing willingness among investors to be bullish on crude oil.
　　
Analysis of the international crude oil market trend:
　　
　　原油技术面来看，从整体的趋势把控来讲RSI指标目前处于中性，那就代表着会对原来的市场节奏延续，从日线走势分析可以明确的看到市场已经从超买区向超卖区过度，也就是说目前在技术面来看原油是处于下跌节奏的。原油高位量能衰竭，虽然没有明显顶背离，但是MACD量能不足是事实，布林上轨难以突破，综合来看，短线操作思路上高常运建议以回调做空为主，反弹低多为辅，上方短期重点关注41.5-41Frontline resistance, short-term focus below38.5-39一线支撑。盘间行情实时变化具体操作黄金、原油、走势分析、操作建议以【高常运gcy8527】Subject to firm offer
　　
Personal feedback on making orders:
　　
　　1Spot: The spot where the order is placed is quite important, although gold.Crude oil operates in two modes: long and short. In fact, there are four operating methods: low, low, high, and high. In a unilateral trend, these four modes are all feasible. If you are in a volatile trend, remember not to be low or high. This is equivalent to chasing gains and selling losses. Remember, many people are chasing gains and selling losses.
　　
　　2Stop loss: Before placing an order, you should think about the stop loss price and whether it is reasonable. After placing an order, you should immediately fill in the stop loss price. Why do you need to fill in the stop loss at the beginning? If the market is not the situation you want to go, then you can reduce losses in the first place. Stop loss means to stop losses. Only small losses can maintain vitality, and sometimes you need to be willing to give up, It's not that you're losing this time and won't be able to earn back next time. You need to control the risks of your investment.
　　
　　3Positions: How funds are allocated is related to the level of psychological resilience. If a position is too large or full, once the trend reverses, losses will increase, and psychological stress will also increase. Often, it is not possible to carefully analyze market trends, resulting in incorrect operations.
　　
　　4Stop profit: Many people often fail to do a good job of stopping profit, resulting in profit orders becoming loss orders. In a unilateral trend, stop profit can be increased by using the push stop loss method to increase profit space. Stop profit often requires personal thinking to close positions, not every order must earn tens of thousands or even tens of thousands. In a volatile market, sometimes a few hundred profits add up.
　　
　　5Attitude: This is the most important point that every investor must grasp. When you enter this market, it is undeniable that everyone is trying to make money, but your attitude determines how far you will go on the investment path. What you need to achieve is to rather make small profits than lose money, rather than thinking about earning more and earning less.
　　
　　个人想在市场上真正的赚钱，取决他有没有严格遵守纪律，能不能抵住诱惑，市场每天波动都有很多机会，而投资者往往只是盯住走过的行情，当一波行情走完，总是沉恋于前面的走势，而往往又浮澡于之后的行情，叹息“要是前面做个多或空多好，到现在就有多少多少的利润。”记住一点永远不要去后悔，永远向前看，如果你心里渴望赚钱必须找到与匹配赚钱的方法，而不是把注意力集中于过去盲区。这个理由是：市场有很高的机率往某个特定方向运行一段时间，至于赚多少取决于你的进场和退场的方法。
　　　　高常运——建立基本面变动模型，研判市场情绪变化，用以判断趋势。十余年锤炼的技术分析研判短线细节。中线为主，短线为辅。对汇市、金市、油市、股市、债市等全球主要金融市场都有深入而独特的见解。本文由高常运撰写，高常运用心写好每一段分析，传递有价值的投资理念。希望价有所值，值有所得；由于文章策略具有延时性；咨询“高常运”获取最新实时行情分析。