Zhang Jucheng;9,25黄金白银周线收官须小心，谨防黑天鹅降临

　　交易，不要期望人人都理解你。你做的再好，也不一定人人都喜欢你，你做的再多，不一定人人都说好，毕竟别人在乎结果，从不去看你艰辛过程。一样嘴，不一样的说法；一样的眼睛，不一样的看法；一样的心，不一样的想法。人，只能做好自我，拥有自信要明白：交易这个市场不同情弱者，更不相信眼泪，鹰，不需鼓掌，也在飞翔；小草，没人心疼，也在成长；深山的野花，没人欣赏，也在芬芳。做事无需让人理解，只需尽心尽力，交易不必讨人喜欢，只需问心无愧！交易要有“德”，对人要用“心”。(See contact information at the end of the article)

　　

　　gold延续跌势，连续第四个交易日下行。日线图来看，MACD死叉、绿柱动能绿柱动能持续放量，KDJ死叉；布林带开口，中轨向下倾斜，随着金价失守下轨并下破8月初以来的低位，短线有进一步下跌的风险；下方初步支撑关注100Daily moving average1843.74,若下破该位置，将可能引发进一步抛售，进一步支撑看向7month8Daily high point1818.02And may even test1800关口；另外，1455.06-2075.47Upward trend38.2%Retreat position1836.81也具有一定支撑；技术面来看，100日均线目前还为金价提供良好支撑，随着KDJ指标逼近超卖区域，短线仍然需要警惕金价震荡反弹的可能；上方初步阻力关注日线高点1868.8，进一步阻力看向布林带下轨1882.03，若收复该位置则削弱短线看空信号，强阻力仍然关注1900关口，该位置是近期的多空分水岭，金价需要企稳该位置上方才能有效扭转目前的跌势；综合来看，金价短线仍偏向下行，在有效收复1900关口之前，依旧保持高空为主！

　　

　　crude oil日线区间震荡；布林带相对趋平，油价承压中轨下方。MACDThe small golden cross and red pillar have weak kinetic energy,KDJAdhesion, index at60附近。从技术面来看，油价多空相对焦灼，短线走势变数较大。上行初步阻力先留意布林带中轨40.50If there is a breakthrough, it will increase the short-term bullish signal. Further resistance can be seen in ascending order6month23Daily high point41.63, and8month26Daily high point43.78. Strong resistance focuses on the Bollinger Bands on the track44.85However, oil prices have not been able to effectively break above the upper limit this year, indicating significant reference value. Pay attention to the lower support first100Daily moving average38.80Nearby, this is also similar to Monday's low point, which has some reference value. Looking under strong support9month8Daily low point36.13This coincides with the lower track of the Bollinger Belt. If the point is missed, focus on looking towards it30.00关口支撑性！

　　

　　白银和黄金一样在三连阴之后，昨日晚间出现了反抽，下方在跌至21.6位置后出现企稳现象，目前位于23.2附近震荡，日内短线关注日线五日均线23.6附近以及24位置的压力作用，下方短线则关注22.3位置的支撑作用。长周期来看，自2020year8月中旬以来，白银散户净多头持仓始终处于15%上方，表明散户多头始终占据多数；而与此所对应的，白银的价格重心却是逐渐下移的，两者之间构成了一定的反相关性。因此，未来是不是有可能，当哪天散户净多头如果真的出现大幅下降，甚至由正转变为负数，到时行情会不会同样也会出现转向，对此同样值得关注。
　　
Golden advice1873-1875Short on the front line, stop loss1881, Objective1860-1850
　　
Crude oil recommendations40.2-40.4Short on the front line, stop loss40.8, Objective39.5-38.5
　　
Silver suggestion23.4-23.6Short on the front line, stop loss24.8, Objective23.0-22.5
　　
Message from Jucheng:
　　
The answer to all questions is never unique and unchanging. Whether the market is going up or down, you cannot control it yourself. Only by keeping up with the pulse of the market can you avoid being eliminated. The market cannot always go up or down, and what is certain is that it will always go right. Risk is an objective, inevitable, and under certain conditions, it also has certain regularity, so we should pay more attention to risk control in operation.
　　This article is provided by Zhang Jucheng. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Zhang Jucheng unloads online, returns losses, and provides one-on-one real-time guidance on WeChat:zjc8393Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.