Xu Bohong:9.24Panic wreaks havoc on gold, unable to fall, cautious short selling in the European market when encountering highs!

Thursday(9month24day)In the Asian market, the US dollar index remained basically stable, with current reports94.40附近。现货gold继续承压，目前维持在1860dollar/Below the ounce. With the sharp rise of the US dollar, there has been a significant decline in gold prices recently. If the US dollar remains strong, there is a risk of further decline in gold prices. In addition, technical indicators also indicate that gold prices may continue to decline.
　　
Gold data analysis:
　　
On Wednesday, gold plummeted more than2%至两个多月来最低水平，因美元走高至8周高位。美元上涨的原因是，近期全球经济下行风险加大，M股自9月以来持续走低使得投资者抛售其他资产以获取现金以弥补损失。同时欧洲疫情蔓延，削弱了市场对于欧洲经济复苏快于美国的预期。此外美联储近期鸽派不及预期，而新西兰联储和英国央行都传达了负利率的预期，也对美元构成支撑。
　　
　　值得一提的是周三黄金ETF的持仓量下降11.09吨，减持数量为3month20日以来最大，凸显市场的买需不足。而今年黄金ETF的投机性买需占黄金需求的近70%。基于此，徐博鸿认为黄金牛市的第一阶段已经过去，随着疫苗进展以及美联储资产负债表扩张速度停滞，黄金秋季还有进一步回落的空间，即便是跌至1720美元也不奇怪。
　　
Gold Trend Analysis:
　　
　　黄金日线走势：震荡走低；布林带开口，金价承压于下轨下方，走势疲软；MACD死叉、绿柱动能小幅增加，KDJDead cross, index at30附近。从技术面看，黄金料仍有下跌风险。强支撑下100Daily moving average1845附近，一旦该防线失守，料回落至7month8Daily high point1818And may even test1800关口。若该关口失守，将为金价下跌打开新的空间，依次留意7月中旬低点1790附近、以及5month18Daily high point1765。
　　
Gold4小时走势：持续走低；布林带开口，金价徘徊下轨处；MACD死叉、绿柱动能相对强劲，KDJDead cross, index at10附近。从技术面看，黄金看空情绪仍相对强劲，恐有进一步下跌风险。下方支撑先留意布林带下轨1847，一旦该防线失守，将为金价下跌打开新的空间。短线可能下跌至7month8Daily high point1818And may even test1800关口支撑性。想要学习更多黄金投资技巧的朋友可以添加薇信：xbh768Every morning7From midnight to early morning2Click on real-time online guidance.
　　
　　黄金综合分析：
　　
　　对于当前的黄金来说，强趋势的下跌行情，操作上非常简单，顺势空即可，仓位管理好的前期下，对于点位不要太在意，一切反弹都是纸老虎，最终行情都会再次破位新低，至于有人担心行情经过100美金的下跌后会不会有反弹，个人观点不要盲目的抄底猜顶，如果出现反弹也是再次下跌的中继，给到我们更好的进场点位而已。
　　
　　今日黄金不用多说还是继续空，欧盘依托1860的压力位置继续进场空，上方防守的压力位置则是1870位置。防守位置只是为了防止行情大幅反弹造成意外，而反弹结束后依然可以继续进场做空。下方的目标要继续看新低，最终的目标可能会是在1820附近，空，继续空，操作上徐博鸿认为反弹后直接进场空。

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Wen/Xu Bohong (WeChat:xbh768）

　　以上文章由金融分析师徐博鸿独家编撰，更多黄金crude oilInvestment experience, trading operation strategy, technical interpretation of detailed news, reminders for position building and closing positions, with online guidance from Professor Xu Bohong!