Zhou Pinyuan9.23现货空头盘踞市场迎来洗礼，最新黄金走势分析

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Tuesday（9month22日）美市盘中，在美联储主席鲍威尔和美国财政努钦在国会作证期间，美元指数扩大涨势， 并一举突破94Gateway, for7month28日以来首次；现货gold短线则急跌20USD to1900dollar/盎司大关之下。鲍威尔表示，美国致力于减轻经济面临的影响；只要需要，我们仍致力于使用所有工具来做力所能及的事情。努钦称，将继续与国会合作，制定第四阶段的救济方案，认为仍需要有针对性的一揽子计划。周二，美元继续上涨，股市涨跌互现，因控制新冠肺炎蔓延的新经济限制措施引发了对第二波封锁的担忧，这可能逆转刚刚开始的经济反弹。美元指数日内上涨0.5%, to94.08高点。美元指数录得4月份以来最强劲的两日涨幅。
　　
　　值得期待的是目前市场对美国新一轮刺激法案仍抱有信心，美联储主席鲍威尔和美国财长努钦均在国会听证会上发表讲话。鲍威尔继续表达了对经济的谨慎乐观态度，但同时强调如有必要将会采取全部的可用工具。而努钦则表示将继续推进政府的财政刺激方案谈判，并需要加强对不同群体的援助以及增加新冠测试。刺激法案迟迟不落地，但自从努钦从中调停之后两党加快了谈判进程，金额也从5000亿攀升到1.52trillion

　　

　　国际黄金行情分析：黄金维持在1890-1920区域内震荡，弱势的调整震荡，往往是行情再次下跌的开始。黄金当前虽然在1880触底反弹，但是上方的阻力1920非常明显，而且当前的反弹力度越来越弱，1920成为当前难以逾越的压力，此位置下我们依然继续看跌不变，行情经过大跌之后的调整震荡是修正走势，释放动能和修复指标，但是下跌的趋势没有改变，我们早盘依然是看跌为主。
　　
　　美联储主席鲍威尔和美国财长努钦在众议院金融服务委员会上作证词陈述，努钦表示，将继续与国会合作，制定第四阶段的救济方案。鲍威尔表示，只要需要，我们仍致力于使用所有工具来做力所能及的事情。鲍威尔还表示经济复苏仍高度不确定。如果货币和财政政策共同起作用，复苏就会加速。
　　
　　美联储埃文斯表示，预计年底前通胀将达到1.5%，此后将慢慢升至2%；收益率曲线控制很可能是一份关于利率的声明，可能会是六个月或一年期的国债收益率。预计美国失业率到年底可能会下降到7%； estimate2021年底失业率为5.5％。对失业率的预测是基于更多的财政援助和疫苗进展。
　　
Analysis of the trend of spot gold:
　　
　　黄金在避险需求推动下走高，但这有点像在重演春季市场抛售时的情形，市场参与者一直在全面抛售资产。只是缺乏避险买盘，而这是在股市抛售之后发生的，美元走强是另一个疲弱因素、目前黄金的趋势有可能继续下攻1860.90dollar/ounce.

　　

　　周三开盘1898关口附近，高位开盘走弱势下跌，昨日收盘1899关口附近，目前来看黄金走弱势下跌，下方已经没有明确的支撑位置，1962前低成为短线的关键，上方1892压力，欧盘突破，实盘以反抽跟随，目前获利持有中，黄金短期内来看若无法收复1920关口，所有的反弹上涨都是做空的机会，上方关注1906And1920位置，下方关注1962位置，以下方支撑看短线反抽8美金利润左右！综合来看老师以反弹给空才是主要策略！顺势而为！
　　
　　操作策略布局：
　　
Gold rebound1890空单，进场，止损1897, Objective1877(中和以上观点，即使点位错过，反抽就空！）
　　
Recently, many investment friends have communicated with me about some small problems encountered in investment, and I have carefully summarized the following points:
　　
The first type: I don't understand anything. Many investors do things without understanding anything, only after losing a large amount of money do they begin to feel that they are not capable, need to find a teacher, and need to learn something. Why do we always wait until we go to the battlefield to discover that our weapons are broken. Only then did I realize that I was unarmed.
　　
The second type: not willing to lose money, not willing to make money. After buying it, I made the right move and earned it by removing the handling fee1A little bit, just thinking about putting the bag down for safety, rushing to sell, always keeping an eye on the market, this is not good, and the mentality will be disrupted. Looking at one's own account, the money will become more and less, how many people can afford to live with it? Selling is equivalent to making money on this order, and then rushing to sell. If there is no order, then rushing to buy. If the direction is reversed, depending on the situation, then rushing to sell. I am in a hurry to buy without a list. What is this for? All the money has been paid for the handling fee. Buffett also said, 'Don't try to make money immediately when you buy it.'.
　　
The third type: willing to lose money, unwilling to make money. After buying, there is no stop loss set. If you make a few points in the right direction, you immediately sell it. Once you make a mistake in the wrong direction, it's over, which can be said to be earning money10Single or even more orders, one order is lost. Moreover, after buying it, if the direction is reversed, it will follow the replenishment process. For each point reversed, it will be replenished with a new order20How much more money will there be in your account if you order it unilaterally? Doing so can only make small money and lose a lot of money.
　　
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