Chen Zhaoxi;9.21黄金会涨吗？原油白银TD日内交易操作建议及解套

The investment market is constantly changing, with long and short positions constantly crossing. We cannot go long when we see an increase, nor should we go short when we see a decrease. Having found the right direction and following firmly, we can only make money in the market for a long time by implementing the trading plan we have made, regardless of profit or loss. The establishment of trading plans is usually done when we are very calm and rational, and the decisions and ideas we make when the market fluctuates slightly are determined by following the fluctuations of the market. Many operations are made in an irrational and calm manner, which is often an addiction that many people cannot quit, leading to the root cause of most people's losses, just like nowgoldAfter an upward trend and a pullback, many people may be afraid. The market will not stop because you are afraid of it. Trading is nothing more than buying up and buying down. From a simple probability perspective, each occupies its own share50%Whether you are afraid or not, you will choose a direction to go, and the trading decisions we make immediately due to market fluctuations generally have a winning rate of50%The following means that most unprofitable individuals have a probability of operating below half. If we want to make money in the market, we need to increase our probability of success. The simplest way is to calmly and rationally make the trading probability before trading, and strictly execute it. Even if you flip a coin, the probability is higher than what you make due to market fluctuations, so strictly executing your trading plan is very important.


　　如果你对行情把握操作不理想或想学习的投资朋友可以添加陈召锡微信【1014611571】Communicate and discuss with the teacher. You can also obtain dailycrude oilOperational suggestions, gold market,TDgold,Daily analysis of silver, unwinding of long and short positions, latest strategies


Analysis of crude oil market trend


　　消息面分析；上周四OPEC中最具有影响力的国家沙特阿拉伯展示了捍卫石油市场的决心。沙特暗示他们已准备好进行新的减产，并猛烈抨击了在遵守产量限额方面作弊的OPEC+成员国，上周五油价一度短暂下跌了1.6％，他将允许恢复原油生产和出口。但是，这份与该国副总理达成协议排除了利比亚国家石油公司，因此是否会真正重启出口尚不清楚。押注利比亚石油供应恢复似乎是一个冒险的选择，因此交易员可能不愿在周末前对此大量下注。沙特周四的明确表态使市场参与者充满信心，相信可以“依靠OPEC将产量阀门关闭更长一段时间”陈召锡认为，油市短缺将达到30010000 barrels/日，并重申其价格预测，即布伦特原油均价到年底达到每桶49美元，到2021年第三季度到每桶65美元。也指出了供应不足的可能性，到2021年年中升至每桶55美元。一个热带低压在墨西哥湾西部形成，未来几天可能升级成为飓风，料威胁到更多的美国石油设施。


　　技术面分析；日线收盘大阳线，初步的完成了止跌反转，同时周线也收复了前一周线的失地。连续两个交易日走出中阳拉升破高走势，上周五小时线更是无任何回调下探动作，给我们参与多头增加很大难度，加上受飓风影响墨西哥湾大部分油田停产进一步拉升了原油，欧佩克+会议计划于9month17日举行，出于对该会议的憧憬，油价接连两日大涨，市场消息面全部看涨原油。从大周期级别来看目前原油价格已经再次处于多头上行区间内运行；4小时图和小时图连阳单阴运行于强势反弹节奏中，多头仍将延续，只是短线伴随回踩蓄势再上涨。短线结构有收复此前回落失地之迹象，但是突破的机率相对较小，最终上探后会进入局部停顿震荡修正，所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议回落顺势做多为主，上方关注42-42.5One line of resistance, pay attention below39-39.5一线支撑，行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略及解套策略，可直接添加本人一对一指导交流微信【1014611571】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.


Analysis of Gold Market Trend


　　消息面分析；金价上周五延续震荡，现货黄金小幅上涨，收于1949.60dollar/盎司；美元指数回升令金价承压；此外美国民主党和共和党就临时支出法案达成协议，以避免美国政府在新财年停摆，也削弱了黄金避险需求。陈召锡称：“黄金正在等待新的驱动因素，目前的市场环境和美联储的政策立场似乎已在金价中得到了充分体现。瑞银(UBS)表示对黄金继续看好，在全球各种不确定性的情况下，黄金还能进一步走高。瑞银将明年金价预期自1850Up to2100dollar/盎司。全球利率低迷甚至跌至负值，外加疫情后经济面临的不确定性，以及即将到来的美国大选等，都是推动金价上涨的原因。


　　技术面分析；黄金目前来看，KDJ金叉，指数高于50之上，MACD死叉，绿色能量柱持稳，均线交织，方向暂时不明确。整体维持一个震荡行情。黄金现在属于三角形震荡末端，所以震荡的幅度越来越窄，这也是暴风雨前的宁静，现在已经到了尾端，上周行情目前已经站稳在1940上方，那么就决定了下周黄金看涨的走势，从上周的走势来看，黄金虽然波动不大，但是属于震荡上涨的。布林线三线走平，KDJ金叉向上，指数高于50upper,MACD死叉，绿色能量柱缩小，均线走平，指示黄金陷入震荡上涨之中。所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议回落做多为主，低多为辅，上方关注1960-1965One line of resistance, pay attention below1935-1940一线支撑，行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略及解套策略，可直接添加本人一对一指导交流微信【1014611571】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.


　　陈召锡个人投资心得


　　震荡行情，追了涨，停了涨，不追涨，涨不停；做空看似逆袭，但其实能够获利，而追多看似顺势，却死在了回调当中；这就是震荡。交易的大忌，不在后悔中进行补救，既然错过就等下一次；不在方向明朗时强行交易；不在心情不佳时赌气进场。交易的最高境界就是空仓，只有空仓，才能静心，只有静心，才能理智。忍乃是调整人性的一种方式，而能忍则是控制人性的能力，忍住让自己不冲动、不追逐、不贪婪、则说明具备了控制自己的能力，人一旦能够控制自己，就能够控制一切。个人投资者，凭一己之力面对市场，很容易出现当局者迷的情况，陈召锡还是原来的话，专业的事情，请交给专业的人来做。如果每次大行情来了你还在迷茫，那就选择我们吧。我们的职责就是把握好震荡决策好单边，不管你是实仓，还是模拟，新手还是老手，套单还是锁单都可以联系‘陈召锡老师。

Wen/Chen Zhaoxi