郝承斌：黄金夜间逼近1965行情是否有所转变

    消息面分析；周一（9month14日）美国资金经理和经济学家迈克尔·彭托表示，有四个因素可能会推动gold白银出现火箭般的上涨。他将投资组合中黄金白银的占比提升至20%. Firstly, the intense competition in the US general election and the inability of any losing party to easily accept the outcome may trigger chaos in the stock market. meanwhilePeBelieving that the debt level of the United States has significantly increased, this fiscal year is almost three times that of the previous fiscal year. Although the Federal Reserve has reduced its debt burden through debt monetization, as low interest rates lower the cost of debt repayment for the United States, it will continue to expand borrowing. However, at some point in the future, an increase in interest rates may trigger a risk of default or a new round of debt monetization for the United States. In addition, the job market remains weak, and a large number of people still rely on unemployment assistance, exacerbating the financial burden. At the same time, the stock market and the real economy are disconnected, and the bond market crashes as the market loses confidence in fiat currency. This will drive capital inflows into gold and silver.


    新冠病D对经济带来冲击的疑虑迫使美联储将利率调降至近零水准，并推出多项贷款计划以援助企业及家庭。美联储在疫情期间购买了逾1.5万亿美元的短期公债，已压低短期借款成本。外界预计，美联储可能不得不增加购买长期债券以压低收益率。EdwardJones投资策略师NelaRichardson表示：“经济还没摆脱疫情影响，这些风险…或许有一小部分被这些刺激措施给掩盖，如今正开始被凸显出来，且越来越明朗化。”MUFGStrategistLeeHardman表示：“美联储面临压力，可能采取一些行动来支持新的政策目标，预计有望强化前瞻指引，当前利率水准可能维持3-4年不变。”


    周一晚，黄金短线急涨站上1950，目前逼近1965；价格短线横盘震荡反复，上方的阻力依然在1966区域，下方的支撑则要先关注1938~1936。市场多空方向不明，那么最为临近的支撑和阻力，形成了价格的运行区间。黄金在30分钟级别上维持了一个小的三角形整理，这是自1906位置涨至1966位置后回调的震荡走势！而从调整的走势上看，下方1937-40区域支撑强烈，黄金每次触及此位置必然反弹。


    综上所述回归到具体的操作策略上来，区间未能破位之前，我们依然坚守区间操作，首次触及1966附近依然是我们考虑放空的一个点位，下方1938-1940目前已经形成强有力支撑，触及此位我们依然可以做多。


    If you are unable to grasp the timing of entry or have friends who need to lock the warehouse and set orders, you can contact the author, Teacher Hao Chengbin. (Guide WeChat)hyds0002 Official account: Cheng Bin Lunjin)


    The above article was written by Hao Chengbin. If reprinted, please indicate the source. The article has a lag, and due to the delayed nature of online publishing, the intraday market is volatile. Readers are advised for reference only.