Xu Weizhong9.14Analysis of the trend of gold and crude oil and operational suggestions 黄金解套布局

　　投资最重要之一是心态的调整，一个好的心态是成功的关键。大多数投资者在亏损的时候心态自乱阵脚，无论是投资还是人生最难宁可贵的莫过于冷静，这时候自乱阵脚不知所措，盲目问老师，操作失当。成功的投资者在任何时候要保持冷静，不动如山，运筹帷幄。投资心态很重要，亏损的时候更重要。

　

　　市场不可能怜悯和同情任何人，很多时候，获利的机会近在咫尺，可愁肠百转、牵肠挂肚的却是以前不理想的画面，不要和市场谈恋爱，做错了或错过了，要懂得去总结经验和学习，而不是沉迷于过去。市场上有一句老话：趋势是你的朋友，顺势交易，是胜算最高的交易，当你逆市操作时相当于是与市场抗衡，试问一个人怎么赢得过市场。另一个是趋势的分析，当趋势越接近趋势线时，风险与收益的比率也越理想。许卫钟老师希望自己对广大投资者投资方向有所指引！
　　
Investment friends who have poor performance or want to learn can add their own WeChat account; 【xwz2535】与许卫钟老师进行交流探讨。还可以获取每日crude oilOperational recommendations,goldMarket,TDgold,Silver Daily Analysis, Latest Strategies
　　
　　黄金分析
　　
Monday（9month14日），美元指数盘中微跌，此前已录得连续两周周线收涨，预计在本周美联储决议出炉前，美元波幅不会太过剧烈。现货黄金盘中徘徊1950美元附近，不过最近几周波幅呈现逐渐收窄态势，多空焦灼。短线料维持区间震荡走势，难有持续单边行情。元指数盘中微跌，此前已录得连续两周周线收涨。从走势来看，美元相对于主要货币在年底前仍将走强，受到良好支撑。美元净空仓降至326.7亿美元。但预计在本周美联储决议出炉前，美元波幅不会太过剧烈，料维持窄幅震荡。此前，美联储暗示不会仅因劳动力市场正在改善就加息，鲍威尔暗示美联储将继续维持低利率。与此同时，美联储还承诺将设定平均通胀目标，让通胀在一段时间内略高于2%。
　　
　　黄金上周来看，价格整体走势还是处于震荡下行的趋势，周初震荡下行触底反弹，高点处于趋势压力之下，转为继续走跌，大级别月线依旧阴线，同时周线高点和低点都处于下移，暗示着黄金的调整还在继续，周线价格处于MA5Daily line and10日线交界处震荡，技术指标偏向于回落，同时上周五在收得阴线一根，处于日均线中轨压力震荡偏下，日线在冲高之后连续两日收得阴线，转为中轨下方运行，说明当前还是处于震荡区间，短线4On an hourly cycle, prices remain constant for two consecutive days1935-1940附近支撑震荡那个上行，上周五没有破位前高，同时也没有出现新低，短线没有太多方向信号，所以综合分析操作上许卫钟个人建议以反弹做空为辅，回调做多为主，上方短期重点关注1960-1965Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1935-1930一线支撑。有套单的朋友，由于本人不知道你的进场点位及仓位风险情况，所以需要解套的朋友可添加本人许卫钟（微信；xwz2535），本人会根据你的点位与仓位风险情况及时给出具体的解套策略，
　　
　　原油分析
　　
　　针对原油的跌势，许卫钟认为，全球新冠肺炎疫情形势严峻，加剧能源需求前景担忧。此外，美国原油库存意外上升，因炼厂复产缓慢，贸易商增加离岸储存空间，沙特大幅下调售价，全球供过于求的局面将持续。石油输出国组织成员国及其他产油国(OPEC+)创纪录的减产帮助支撑了原油，但由于经济表现不佳，油市需求前景依然惨淡。OPEC+市场监督小组将于9month17日召开会议。这个问题将是本周重点，尽管最近原油下滑，许卫钟认为，在目前阶段，OPEC+The leadership will continue to strive to ensure better compliance with the agreement by all parties, rather than pushing for further production cuts.
　　
Looking at the daily chart,MACD死叉、绿柱动能持稳，KDJ死叉；布林带持续开口，原油收盘在下轨附近，预计将延续跌势；下方初步支撑在本周触及的3Month low point36.0. Strong support in6month15Daily low point35.0Nearby, this position is from3月跳空以来被多次测试，参考性相对较强。整体来看，由于一些国家病例上升，需求前景仍乌云密布，美国原油库存意外上升，经贸商增加离岸储存空间，沙特大幅下调售价，全球供过于求的局面将持续。不过，随着原油在36美元关口附近获得初步支撑，且KDJ进入超卖区域，短线仍然需要警惕原油下行过程中伴随的技术性反弹，上方阻力首先关注38美元关口，该位置同时接近上周五高点，若突破，预计原油会进一步试探7month30Daily low point38.8Further resistance10Daily moving average39.5附近，若收复则削弱短线看空信号；布林带中轨阻力在41.6附近，原油需要企稳该位置上方才能有效扭转目前的跌势；所以综合分析操作上许卫钟建议反弹做空为主，上方关注38.5-39One line of resistance, pay attention below36-36.5一线支撑，行情千变万化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及每日策略分析指导可以咨询本人许卫钟（微：xwz2535）获取！
　　
　　【投资这几点做好，成功是必然的】
　　
　　1Spot: The spot where the order is placed is quite important, although gold.Crude oil operates in two modes: long and short. In fact, there are four operating methods: low, low, high, and high. In a unilateral trend, these four modes are all feasible. If you are in a volatile trend, remember not to be low or high. This is equivalent to chasing gains and selling losses. Remember, many people are chasing gains and selling losses.
　　
　　2Stop loss: Before placing an order, you should think about the stop loss price and whether it is reasonable. After placing an order, you should immediately fill in the stop loss price. Why do you need to fill in the stop loss at the beginning? If the market is not the situation you want to go, then you can reduce losses in the first place. Stop loss means to stop losses. Only small losses can maintain vitality, and sometimes you need to be willing to give up, It's not that you're losing this time and won't be able to earn back next time. You need to control the risks of your investment.
　　
　　3Positions: How funds are allocated is related to the level of psychological resilience. If a position is too large or full, once the trend reverses, losses will increase, and psychological stress will also increase. Often, it is not possible to carefully analyze market trends, resulting in incorrect operations.
　　
　　4Stop profit: Many people often fail to do a good job of stopping profit, resulting in profit orders becoming loss orders. In a unilateral trend, stop profit can be increased by using the push stop loss method to increase profit space. Stop profit often requires personal thinking to close positions, not every order must earn tens of thousands or even tens of thousands. In a volatile market, sometimes a few hundred profits add up.
　　
　　5Attitude: This is the most important point that every investor must grasp. When you enter this market, it is undeniable that everyone is trying to make money, but your attitude determines how far you will go on the investment path. What you need to achieve is to rather make small profits than lose money, rather than thinking about earning more and earning less.
　　　　本文由许卫钟老师（微信；xwz2535)独家撰写，转载请注明出处。以上内容供参考。投资有风险，入市需谨慎。套单与操作不理想可与本人沟通。