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He Qin:9.14现货黄金开盘上涨突破1950,本周美联储决议携“恐怖数据”来袭

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When encountering a dilemma, thinking from a different perspective may help you understand that there is still a road beside it.
  
1、 Fundamentals:
  
  上周五,美元指数小幅下跌,日内最低价93.05, highest price93.34,日内跌幅0.15%,不过周线上,美元指数已经连涨两周。gold与白银同时收阴线,日内均小幅震荡下跌,日内跌幅分别达到0.32%and0.65%。
  
  上周五晚间公布的数据显示,美国8Monthly consumer price index(CPI)Up from the previous month0.4%,7Monthly increase0.6%; U.S.A8Monthly and quarterly adjustment coreCPI年率实际公布1.70%, expected1.6%, Previous value1.6%; U.S.A8Monthly and quarterly adjustmentsCPI年率实际公布1.30%, expected1.2%, Previous value1.0%; U.S.A8Monthly and quarterly adjustmentsCPI指数实际公布259.92, expected259.6, Previous value259.1。这一系列的数据均为利多美元,利空黄金和白银,总的来说,有不少投资者认为美元作为避险资产且又处于当前低位仍有进一步上涨的空间。但在危机未能得到控制之前,美国经济的复苏仍是困难的,即便目前相关数据促使美指进一步上涨,也难以让黄金白银有较大的回落,毕竟基本面上长期利好金银。展望本周,美国、日本和英国的中央银行将先后公布新一期利率决议,美联储还将公布经济预期和利率点阵图。日本自民党将选出新的党魁,进而基本敲定新首相人选。数据方面,重点关注中国8月零售、工业和固定资产投资、英国失业率和CPIUS retail sales and current account, CanadaCPIAustralia's unemployment rate, etc.
  
2、 Technical aspect:
  
Gold(GOLD):
  
  2020year9month14Daily Gold Trend Chart
  
  如上图所示,上周五金价在1937to1955区间横盘整理,文中提到1941的多单第一目标也已经达到。趋势上,当前关注1930能否被触及,1930为当前1小时周期的节奏支撑点,若下跌触及1930意味着上涨趋势改变,诱多后以空为主;相反,若从1966的回撤不触及1930So1小时上涨趋势将保持延续,突破前期高点1966的概率相对较大。指标上,MA13Moving averageMA21Mean Square andMA72均线相互交织,通过均线结合趋势可判断黄金偏震荡上涨,保持低多为主。
  
Intraday trading strategy:
  
Multiple orders:1935Try to go long nearby and stop loss1930, Objective1945、1955Near.
  
[The above opinions and suggestions are for reference only, and trading risks are borne by oneself based on them. Specific orders are made according to real-time market conditions and guidance from He Qin.]
  
(In need of spot gold)foreign exchangeFor guidance, please add Teacher He Qin on WeChat:hq99937)
  
Silver(SILVER):
  
  2020year9month14Daily silver trend chart
  
  如上图所示,上周五白银在26.55-27.02震荡一个交易日,同时改变了以目前低点25.83Starting from1小时上涨趋势。当前,白银有两种概率较大的走势,一是不直接跌破26.40,形成1小时周期的诱多上涨,诱多至前期高点附近后再折返下跌修复26.40,一般来说市场这种情况居多;二是直接跌破26.40,若直接跌破26.40,存在一波小幅度拉升的概率较大。综上所述,趋势偏涨,低多为主。指标上,MA13Moving averageMA21Mean Square andMA72均线相互交织,可观察RSI指标,若RSI指标位于30附近,尝试在26.40附近买入多单。
  
Intraday trading strategy:
  
Multiple orders:26.40Try to go long nearby and stop loss26.10Goal26.90、27.20Near.
  
[The above opinions and suggestions are for reference only, and trading risks are borne by oneself based on them. Specific orders are made according to real-time market conditions and guidance from He Qin.]
  
If you need guidance on spot gold and foreign exchange, you can add Teacher He Qin on WeChat:hq99937)
  
3、 Message surface:
  
  1、09:30 中国统计局发布70Monthly Report on Residential Sales Prices in Major and Medium sized Cities
  
  2、13:00 日本自民党就党魁人选进行投票
  
  3、14:30 France8monthBOFBusiness confidence index
  
  4、17:00 eurozone7Monthly industrial output rate
  
Establishing the Correct Trading Concept to Solve the Troubles of Gold Investment Losses
  
Why do you always lose money when investing in gold among many investors? He Qin believes that among most people who lose money, the number of times they make money is greater than the number of times they lose money. However, because making money often involves making small amounts of money, losing money often involves losing large amounts of money. One loss offsets many profitable transactions, which means that the final loss is often caused by one or two large losses, which is the main reason for most people's losses. The reason for the big loss is that after the loss, they don't admit their mistakes in a timely manner, carry it on to the end, and even constantly increase and spread it out, blindly locking in positions! In the end, the loss reached an irreparable point. Therefore, not afraid of mistakes, just afraid of procrastination. Delaying and admitting mistakes is the root cause of losses, and timely admitting mistakes can help oneself get rid of passivity. This is an important aspect of successful trading psychology.
  
What is investment? What is the meaning, do you really know? Investment is the pursuit of a situation with infinite potential under controllable risk. What is controllable risk? It means that you deeply know in your heart what the maximum loss you can bear from this attempt. Understanding this truth, even if you fall behind, you can still retreat completely, and from now on, you can occupy an active position in any market, without letting the market exploit you! Always avoid the occurrence of significant losses, and when the opportunity you are waiting for truly arises, you will be able to rise up against the wind.
  He Qin (guidance)VLetter:hq99937)More than ten years of technical analysis and judgment on short-term details. The central line is the main focus, and the short line is the auxiliary. I have in-depth and unique insights into major global financial markets such as the foreign exchange market, gold market, oil market, stock market, and bond market. This article was written by He Qin, who carefully wrote every analysis and conveyed valuable investment concepts. I hope the price is worth it, and the value is worth it; Due to the delayed nature of the article strategy; Consultation with He Qin Obtain the latest real-time market analysis.
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