美联储利率决议来袭,市场看法不一
本周四凌晨2:00,美联储将公布利率决议、政策声明以及经济预期。
市场对美联储的行动看法不一。在9month4Solstice10日进行的调查中,只有39%Respondents stated that they expect Federal Reserve officials to revise their forward-looking guidance next week. Nearly one-third of the respondents expect2021It is only possible to modify the forward-looking guidelines in the year or later. They expect that the Federal Reserve's latest quarterly forecast will show interest rates until2023年都将维持在零附近。受访经济学家表示:
“美联储将采取明确的指导方针,但可能需要几年后才有这个必要,因为FOMC很可能会等到市场定价开始体现出加息预期的时候。”
此外,市场预计,美联储对中期经济前景“相当大风险”的评估可能仍会保留在声明中。经济预测摘要将把预测延长到2023年,可能上调2020yearGDP增长预期、下调失业率预期。联邦基金利率中心趋势预测可能会继续表明利率在2023年将维持在零下限,尽管从2022年开始该区间可能继续呈上升趋势。
9.14Gold trend analysis
黄金上周五小阴十字KLine flattening, highest rebound1955Under pressure again, it fell back and closed at1940Nearby. Weekly harvest crossKLine, daily chart double cross, partially entering oscillation, but crossing over two trading daysKThe upper shadow is longer than the lower shadow, and the pressure is heavier than the support. In2015And1992Running within a downward trend line formed by connecting two high points. After two trading days of horizontal consolidation, the resistance of the downward trend line has moved downward1966.This week, relying on the trend line for defensive rebound, we will first look at the high altitude and continue to look below1900附近,当然节奏还是伴随局部震荡式的反复。
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Short line chart:4The hourly chart is currently in a fluctuating rhythm,KThe line structure does not show a clear unilateral continuation, and the moving average indicator is also messy and divergent, indicating that it will continue to fluctuate in the short term without changing its style. Blindo entered a contracting state. Local convergence oscillation is expected to continue at the beginning of the week, considering the suppression of the downward trend line above. The short-term trend is relatively bearish, but it fell again after reaching higher levels last Friday,K线单阴吞两阳,阴线实体大于小阳线实体,小周期看回落一些,短线操作先在1949-1952区域先行看空一次。防守放在1955上方即可,看当日的波幅空间决定目标。
Operational1949-1952Short selling, stop loss6US dollars, stop profit view1936-1933
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