9.13How to operate the opening of gold and crude oil next Monday, and how to unwind the long positions of gold and crude oil

Preface: The busy week of the investment market has come to an end, and it can be imagined that some people are happy while others are worried. While congratulating those who have achieved great success in the market, we hope that investors who have not achieved good results will not be discouraged. Instead of pounding your feet and chest, it's better to reflect on the reasons for your failures in the market. Only by constantly identifying your own shortcomings can you continuously improve. No one is born to stand at the peak, everyone has experienced countless setbacks to succeed. The same goes for becoming a successful investor. Reflecting on your shortcomings and humbly learning can help you make continuous progress. In the spot investment market, it's not about who wins or loses, but about who can take the longer term. Only by immersing oneself in it can we understand the essence of this investment market. Hesitation and stubbornness are the biggest mistakes in investment mentality.
　　
　　goldMessage analysis: Friday（9month11The US dollar fell, but the index rose for the second consecutive week on a weekly basis; Zhou Wenjun believed that, supported by the uncertainty of the COVID-19 vaccine and the global recovery from the downturn caused by the epidemic, the US dollar as a safe haven asset still had room for further growth. Gold price slightly drops, spot gold closes1940.55dollar/Ounces, due to the lack of further stimulus measures from the European Central Bank and the US government, have limited the rise in gold prices. mainstock market indexThe closing saw mixed gains and losses, with technology stocks that had interrupted their gains for five months last week continuing to decline. S&P500The index closed relatively flat, with Nasdaq100index7The fifth decline in the day, recorded3The worst week since the beginning of the month. NASDAQ100The amplitude of the index reached on Friday3%, compared to9month2Daily record high point decline11%. Technology stocks have risen and fallen for the second consecutive day, as investors weigh whether the pullback has ended.
　　
International Gold Market Analysis: From this week's perspective, the overall price trend of gold is still in a fluctuating downward trend. At the beginning of the week, the price hit the bottom and rebounded, and the high point was under trend pressure, turning to continue to decline. The major monthly line is still bearish, and both the weekly high and low points are moving downwards, indicating that the adjustment of gold is still ongoing. The weekly price isMA5Daily line and10At the junction of the daily moving average, the technical indicators tend to fall, and at the same time, on Friday, it closed with a bearish candlestick, which is below the pressure fluctuation of the daily moving average.
　　
From a technical perspective, gold prices rebounded strongly on Thursday1966Above1970-1975It is the pressure range of the general trend rebound, where the price rebounds before it is touched and loses the daily increase, indicating that the current bearish energy is still relatively strong. After the daily line rises, it has closed at a negative line for two consecutive days, turning into a lower middle track, indicating that it is still in a volatile range and in the short term4On an hourly cycle, prices remain constant for two consecutive days1935-1940The upward trend of the nearby support oscillation did not break through the previous high on Friday, nor did it show a new low. There are not many directional signals in the short term. It is recommended to judge the trend of gold next week based on Monday's trend, and focus on a few points in the operating space. Pay attention to the upper level1955-1960Nearby pressure, followed by1958-1960Short term resistance, focus on below1930-1935Short term support, followed by1920-1925Nearby, the downward trend may touch again1900Near the checkpoint. Overall, the trading strategy for gold next Monday was mainly based on a pullback and a bullish rebound, supplemented by a high altitude rebound, as suggested by Wen Jun last week. In the short term, the focus should be on the upward trend1955-1960Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1930-1925Frontline support.
　　
Suggestions for Gold's next Monday operation:
　　
　　1The rebound above the gold does not break1953-1955Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1944-1942frontline;
　　
　　2Under the gold, it cannot be broken by stepping back1930-1932Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1943-1945frontline;
　　
　　3The strategy is for reference only, and the specific entry points for real-time changes in the intraday market can be found on Zhou Wenjun's WeChat account（zwj964646）The actual offer shall prevail;
　　
Beautycrude oilNews analysis: International oil prices are experiencing weak fluctuations and declines0.21%; The epidemic is still spreading globally, and the economies of many countries have stagnated, resulting in a persistent lack of demand for crude oil and a serious oversupply; At present, global crude oil inventories are far above normal levels in previous years. Inventory has surged again, and onshore oil storage capacity is already approaching saturation. Helpless, traders have booked oil tankers and started hoarding oil at sea again. Ship data shows that the crude oil trading company Tok has recently leased at least five oil tankers to store oil, each with a storage capacity of up to200Ten thousand barrels. Meanwhile, other major commodity traders have also booked oil tankers in the past few days to store crude oil products such as diesel and gasoline for the next few months at sea.
　　
Analysis of US crude oil market: From a daily perspective, crude oil will hit a low point the next day36.11The US dollar has rebounded and rebounded around, but still closed at5On a daily basis, crude oil was suppressed and hit an intraday high before falling back, closing with a bullish candlestick. On a daily basis, crude oil was suppressed and hovered below on Friday, and may continue to rise and fall within the day;4From an hourly perspective, the next day crude oil began to fluctuate upwards from a low level and fell back after hitting the middle track. Currently, the Bollinger Bands are in an opening period,MA5AndMA10After stepping out of the golden fork, turn your head forward,KDJThe random indicator reaches overbought on the third line, with a slight downward hook,MACDThe red kinetic energy column of the indicator continues to increase in volume, with the fast and slow lines crossing upwards. Currently, the increase in crude oil is limited, and the technical side is facing overbought, with the possibility of a decline. Overall, the short-term strategy for crude oil operations next Monday was mainly to rebound at high altitudes, supplemented by a pullback and long positions, with a focus on short-term operations above38.5-39.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below36.5-36.0Frontline support.
　　
Suggestions for crude oil operations next Monday:
　　
　　1The rebound above the crude oil does not break38.5-38.7Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target37.2-37.0frontline;
　　
　　2Unable to break under the crude oil36.0-36.2Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target37.0-37.2frontline;
　　
　　3The market is constantly changing, and the positions are for reference only. Investment is risky, and caution is required when entering the market. For more details, please follow Zhou Wenjun's official website||Wei:zwj964646；
　　
Because of professionalism, it leads! How can we talk about profitability without a perfect risk control plan?
　　
　　1Novice traders, experience cycle1Months, threshold1Ten thousand US dollars is enough: learn to master technical indicators（BOLL/MAMoving averageMACD、KDJ）And simple technical forms (such as Star of Enlightenment, Hammer Line, etc.)10Form), learn to judge trends within a month, simple control of points, risk control of gold trading, and trading precautions.
　　
　　2Experienced traders, experiencing cycles3Months, threshold2Starting from $10000: Within three months, in addition to novice investors mastering a bare metal courseKTechnically, learn to judge trends while accurately grasping entry points, possess a mature trading mindset, and have their own basic trading system.
　　
　　3Solve basic daily profit requirements, crave for larger profit traders, and experience cycles6Months, threshold5More than ten thousand US dollars: In addition to being mastered by new and old investors, one complex subject is also masteredKLine combination form, learn to judge the bottom and top of the market, master band style trading, and layout the gold and crude oil midline. The above participants will receive one-on-one guidance from Professor Liang Qiandong on trading (providing real-time entry and exit, adding and reducing positions), as well as technical guidance (training and trading practice), to achieve different levels of independent trading ability.
　　
Message from Wen Jun: There is no such thing as a winning general or a god in this market. Analysts often make mistakes, so the key issue arises. Personally, I, Zhou Wenjun, insist on a position and pace requirementVIPJinyou Trading does not involve heavy positions, and no matter how many times it is done correctly, there is no need to discuss whether risk control is good or not. Therefore, when there is an error in an order, the trend and expectations are not consistent. It is important to cut the position as soon as possible instead of waiting for a stop loss foolishly. What needs to be done is the win rate, relying on profit accumulation to earn wealth, rather than heavy position trading. If there is an error in a loss, it is necessary to repeatedly increase the position. I do not have such guidance here, nor do I agree with it. Investment trading always puts technical risk control first, mentality and technology second, only then can profits continue.
　　
This article is written by Zhou Wenjun (WeChat:zwj964646---Official account: Zhou Wenjun), I interpret the world economic news, analyze the global investment trend, and have in-depth research on crude oil, gold, silver and other bulk commodities. Due to the delay of online push, the above contents are personal suggestions, and because the online posting is timely, it is only for reference, and the risk is borne by myself. Please indicate the source for reprinting.