He Qin:9.13Analysis of spot gold and silver market, early week long and short advice for placing orders

When encountering a dilemma, thinking from a different perspective may help you understand that there is still a road beside it.
　　
The US Senate failed to advance the Republican Party's "slimming down version" of the economic stimulus plan to combat the pandemic on Thursday52yes47The vote was rejected and did not meet the requirements for moving towards procedural steps60Tickets. The scale of the "slimming version" plan is only5000Billion US dollars, compared to before1Halving the trillion dollar scale is also far below the Democratic Party's previous proposal2.2A requirement of trillions of dollars.
　　
On Thursday, the European Central Bank announced its interest rate decision, maintaining the three major interest rates and the scale of emergency bond purchases unchanged. It is expected that the main interest rates of the European Central Bank will continue to be maintained at the current or lower level until the inflation outlook stabilizes and turns sufficiently close but below2%The level of. The European Central Bank believes that there has been an increase in uncertainty, and the recovery efforts are still affected by uncertainty, so it has raised the price this yearGDPExpected growth rate, lowered expectations for the next two years. The overall inflation in the coming months will remain negative, and based on the bleak long-term inflation outlook in the market, inflation will continue to decline2021The year changes to a positive value.
　　
United States8monthPPIMonth on month increase0.3%Exceeding expectations, but with a relatively high increase7The moon has fallen slightly. Analysis suggests that,8monthPPIThe decline in growth data indicates that inflation is still at a low level, which will enable the Federal Reserve to maintain its benchmark policy interest rate at a low level for the foreseeable future. The number of Americans who applied for unemployment benefits for the first time last week still hovered at a high level, indicating that the recovery of the labor market from the COVID-19 epidemic is stagnating.
　　
Next week, we will welcome the interest rate resolutions of the three major central banks of the Federal Reserve of Australia, the Bank of Japan, and the Federal Reserve, as well as relevant press conferences for central bank governors!
　　
　　goldquotation
　　
The recent trend of gold can be said to be2075Peak and plummet to1962After the counterattack, it fully met our expectations for a major shock; We have been emphasizing that currently gold does not have a unilateral and wide range of fluctuations normalized. The current time has passed1Despite trading for over a month, gold still fluctuates widely! The reason for the broad volatility is mainly due to the current fundamentals, where both bearish and bearish sides are intertwined, and neither side has the initiative advantage, resulting in the current broad volatility pattern.
　　
Looking at the market, although the daily chart has broken our emphasis on2075~2015Connect to the top edge and suppress it1451~1668The daily convergence triangle oscillation range supported by the lower edge of the connecting line has not opened a unilateral market trend; The market is still operating within the range of major fluctuations!4Hour chart display, above2000The pressure at the gate is obvious, below1900The strong support of the major level forms a rectangular interval; Strictly speaking, gold is operating on2015~1992Connection and1862~1906The convergence triangle interval formed by the connection, we focus on breaking the interval!
　　
Next week's Super Week, we will welcome press conferences on the Bank of Australia interest rate resolution, Bank of Japan interest rate resolution, Federal Reserve interest rate resolution, and relevant central bank governors (chairpersons)! Therefore, we need to pay attention to the rectangular oscillation interval and the breaking of the convergence triangle, and still observe the operation of the triangle before breaking! At the beginning of this week, it fell first1906, further increase1967Afterwards, it fell back and rose again on Friday. At the beginning of next week, we will continue to pay attention to the trend of rising and falling, and be cautious of bottoming out and rebounding during the week; The trend of the US dollar index provides certain guidance for gold! In terms of operation, it is recommended to converge the wide range oscillation operation within triangular and rectangular intervals, and pay attention to breaking the interval and following a single wave on one side!
　　
[The above opinions and suggestions are for reference only, and trading risks are borne by oneself based on them. Specific orders are made according to real-time market conditions and guidance from He Qin.]
　　
(In need of spot gold)foreign exchangeFor guidance, please add Teacher He Qin on WeChat:hq99937）
　　
Silver market
　　
Like silver, since8At the beginning of the month29The above has experienced a rapid drop to22.4On the first line of rebound, we point out that silver will be trapped in a wide range of oscillations for a long time; So far, except for8month12Outside of the day,1Transactions20Silver has not been able to leave for several trading days8month11Ri this single rootKLine range, completely in line with our expectations!
　　
Next, we need to pay attention to the breaking of the current volatility. Currently, short-term silver and gold are operating similarly26Regional support29The area is a small rectangular interval for suppression, while running simultaneously on29.86~28.9The pressure formed by the connection is related to7month28Daily low point22.26~23.4Within the convergence triangle formed by connecting lines. We pay attention to the breaking of small rectangles and converging triangles. The operation last week was still a wide range oscillation operation within the range, and we will further follow up on breaking the range!
　　
[The above opinions and suggestions are for reference only, and trading risks are borne by oneself based on them. Specific orders are made according to real-time market conditions and guidance from He Qin.]
　　
If you need guidance on spot gold and foreign exchange, you can add Teacher He Qin on WeChat:hq99937）
　　
Establishing the Correct Trading Concept to Solve the Troubles of Gold Investment Losses
　　
Why do you always lose money when investing in gold among many investors? He Qin believes that among most people who lose money, the number of times they make money is greater than the number of times they lose money. However, because making money often involves making small amounts of money, losing money often involves losing large amounts of money. One loss offsets many profitable transactions, which means that the final loss is often caused by one or two large losses, which is the main reason for most people's losses. The reason for the big loss is that after the loss, they don't admit their mistakes in a timely manner, carry it on to the end, and even constantly increase and spread it out, blindly locking in positions! In the end, the loss reached an irreparable point. Therefore, not afraid of mistakes, just afraid of procrastination. Delaying and admitting mistakes is the root cause of losses, and timely admitting mistakes can help oneself get rid of passivity. This is an important aspect of successful trading psychology.
　　
What is investment? What is the meaning, do you really know? Investment is the pursuit of a situation with infinite potential under controllable risk. What is controllable risk? It means that you deeply know in your heart what the maximum loss you can bear from this attempt. Understanding this truth, even if you fall behind, you can still retreat completely, and from now on, you can occupy an active position in any market, without letting the market exploit you! Always avoid the occurrence of significant losses, and when the opportunity you are waiting for truly arises, you will be able to rise up against the wind.
　　
He Qin (guidance)VLetter:hq99937）More than ten years of technical analysis and judgment on short-term details. The central line is the main focus, and the short line is the auxiliary. I have in-depth and unique insights into major global financial markets such as the foreign exchange market, gold market, oil market, stock market, and bond market. This article was written by He Qin, who carefully wrote every analysis and conveyed valuable investment concepts. I hope the price is worth it, and the value is worth it; Due to the delayed nature of the article strategy; Consultation with He Qin Obtain the latest real-time market analysis.