王铭鑫：黄金反弹修复不攻则退 后市小心再次放量下行

gold做单不理想？做黄金经常亏损？做黄金拿不住利润？可以过来和王铭鑫聊聊，或许能给你帮助，王铭鑫相信，每一个正在交易的人都想盈利，这是毋庸置疑的，但前提你要找对方向，关于今日的操作，本人已经公布在朋友圈，准确率百分之九十以上，如需帮助可添加王铭鑫桅型kdj0866进行实时指导。全是免费。今日利润，你错过了吗？

Tonight8月的非农数据出炉，录得增加137.1万人，不及市场预期的增加140万人，前值则由176.3Revised to 10000 people173.4万人。令人意外的是失业率，失业率从7Of the month10.2％意外降至8.4％，比预期的9.8％还好，这是自3月以来首次降至个位数。数据公布后，现货黄金短线走高8美元到达1948后大幅下挫，一度跌破1930、1920Pass, lowest drop to1916.44USD, falling more than30美元。此前王铭鑫在晚间文章《王铭鑫：9.4黄金晚间非农操作布局主高空》中就对行情分析的清楚，若是对于今晚的非农行情看不懂的投资朋友可以去借鉴参考一下。　

　　对于现在的黄金行情来讲，自黄金从2075做顶回落下探1862区域，随后日线陷入收敛三角形内宽幅扫荡。目前已经走了两个震荡循环从1862-2015Probing down1902；其次为1902-1992So far1916位置。当前金价徘徊于收敛三角形下行支撑区域，短线进入抉择期！从大方向上来看，黄金2075做顶，二次确认压制2015，第三次确认压制1992位置，虽然此前金价没有向下形成放量，但高点逐步下移，意味着主流节奏上是偏向于偏空扫荡，最终向下放量只是时间上的问题。
  
　　而从短线节奏上看，目前金价保持低位盘整，同样高点逐步下移，低点虽然没有被破但反复被测试，同一个支撑被反复测试本身就是在弱化撑作用，横盘蓄势过后向下破位的风险就会随之增大。王铭鑫参考前面走势看，首次1862确认支撑形成快速探底反弹再到第二次反复测试1910-1902区域连续三次都出现快速探底反弹信号，而当前在触及支撑以后确并没有快速的弹开动作而是保持低位盘整，这就意味着多头动能已经逐步衰竭，不攻则退。所以后市的操作王铭鑫还是继续主高空在辅以低多策略进行！

　　在接下来的行情走势操作中王铭鑫分析认为本周五晚间黄金大幅下跌过后虽然出现了反弹修复，目前在1932-1916区域内震荡运行，但是高点却是在逐步的下移，所以王铭鑫认为周五晚间若是继续下破了回落的低点1916，那么黄金将会去测试1910、1907、1902这三个位置；若是不破低点1916位置黄金会出现小幅的反弹，上方我们就需要去关注1932-1935区域附近的压制，其次是1940-1942Near the area                                                                              
                                                                                                                                    
    crude oil消息面解析：尽管外界仍在猜测美国石油区的钻探活动是否已触底，但王铭鑫认为，石油行业已走上复苏之路。预计钻速将在9Month and10月开始回升，产量将在2021年第二季度开始回升。近30年来，futures价格的变化一般伴随着钻井的变化，平均延迟4-5个月，而产量变化通常发生在9-12个月后。鉴于5、6monthWTI原油价格上涨，目前部分钻井公司已恢复停产，并已在准备今年秋季的新钻井计划。尽管连美国能源影响评估对美国产量快速反弹的前景仍持否定态度，但中阳环球预计，拐点将出现在2021年第一季度末。随着欧佩克+和美国产油国都将产量带回市场，目前尚不清楚这些额外的桶是否有需求，或者新一波原油是否会导致新一轮价格暴跌。

　　美原油行情分析：原油昨日内回升43关口，测压至43.2一线，随后下调42.8一线，而后虽有回弹但无力突破，美盘时段原油下跌41.6，原油昨日继续延续近期窄幅震荡区间，最低回踩下探至42.8一线企稳震荡走高，小幅冲高触及43.5附近受制回落二次下探42.7区域企稳震荡收盘，由于日线录得带上下影线的小阴，近期呈现明显的震荡走势，布林带三轨走平，布林带上轨形成压力，布林带下轨形成支撑，K线形态受上轨受到压力之后，收出两根长上引线，区间上方压力较大，原油虽然API数据大幅利多原油，但是并未有所改变，短线还是以震荡回踩为主，暂时关注回踩力度。综合来看，原油下周短线操作短线思路上王铭鑫个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注41.0-41.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below39.5-39.0Frontline support.


Suggestions for crude oil operations next week:

　　1The rebound above the crude oil does not break41.0-41.2Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target39.8-39.6frontline;


　　2Unable to break under the crude oil39.0-39.2Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target40.0-40.2frontline;


　　3、行情千变万化、点位仅供参考，投资有风险、入市需谨慎，详情关注王铭鑫本人  

                                                                                                                                       
    goldKLine theory:
　　
The theory of relative position is goldKThe second largest theory of line theory. As the saying goes, oranges born in the south are called oranges, which are sweet and sweet;Born in the north, it is bitter and astringent, known as trifoliate orange. The same seeds, grown in different environments, have vastly different results. Same, exactly the sameKLines, if placed in different relative positions, have a completely different guiding effect on the future market.KThe position of the line is crucial for analysis and judgmentKLines are extremely important. goldKThe theory of relative position of lines includes the following two meanings:
　　
UsuallyKThe position of a line does not have an absolute high or low point, so we can only use relative position to represent it. This depends on an individual's judgment of the market height and requires a certain level of understanding, but we must make a simple distinction. It is generally divided into three positions: relatively high, relatively low, and halfway up the mountain. Because high and low points are not absolute, there is no need to overly demand accurate positioning, just give a rough distinction.
　　
It is generally divided into three types: upward trend, downward trend, and consolidation trend, also known as upward channel, downward channel, and horizontal consolidation. At a relatively high levelKSpecial attention should be paid to analyzing whether the main force needs to wash the market or if there is a change in the overall situation, and the main force needs to ship at a high level. Generally speaking, the main force washing the market will fluctuate sharply downwards, making it easy for people to be deceived;However, if the main force wants to ship at a high level, it will be very gentle, giving people a feeling of needing to adjust at a high level and continue to hit higher peaks. By observing and calculating the inflow and outflow of the main force's funds, it can be found. Nine out of ten retail investors compensate for this reason, always being deceived by technical data and confused by the main force. Relatively lowKGenerally, the line falls to a certain extent, so there will be a relatively low level, but whether the incoming buying is awesome depends on the subsequent trend. Low position long and short positions are usually fought back and forth, whenKThe smaller the amplitude of the line, the more reasonable the price range has been organized. At this time, the normal trading volume will be relatively low. If there is a continuous upward or downward long lead or cross star, and the trading volume starts to rise, it indicates that the market is about to change. At this moment, it is necessary to constantly pay attention. If the main funds are continuously entering but the price fluctuates little, then buy decisively, When the main force builds up their positions, they will give up suppressing prices and turn to aggressively entering the market to start pulling up, usually starting with a bullish candlestick. A sharp rise in prices is relatively important, but it should be combined withK线和成交量综合判断，价格不升不降不一定是坏事，是酝酿下一次的暴涨。关于今日的操作，本人将会在卫//letter( kdj0866)在线指导，同步龚重浩：王铭鑫 ，准确率百分之九十以上，王铭鑫 guidance(Every day, the Asian, European, and American markets provide timely analysis and direction), free guidance
　　
Fund management is one of the core contents of trading systems, and its essence is risk management. The core logic of financial markets is that potential returns are equal to risks. Pursuing higher profit goals will inevitably face greater risks. Trading is valuable in the long run, and trading operations should pursue a balance between attack and defense. All positions and significant losses are the result of heavy attacks and light defenses. Fund management mainly involves building positions, stopping losses and profits, increasing positions and reducing positions, and so on. Here is only a brief explanation of warehouse construction. Assuming you use a1000Using USD accounts for international gold trading（XAUUSD）Margin trading, current market price is1390USD, you are considering setting the stop loss at a new high and then moving back to the previous low1381Below the US dollar1380On the position of the US dollar, the target price is considered to reach a new high1440Below the US dollar, per transaction2%Loss rule (usually recommended for classic trading)1-2%(Small funds can be adjusted accordingly), what is the amount of loss you can bear20USD（1000USD x0.02）In this way, you can only pay the market price1390Establishment of US dollars0.02Buying multiple positions by hand（20÷10）The profit and loss ratio is approximately5:1. If you use1385Set a price limit for buying orders in US dollars, and positions can be set0.04Hand（20÷5）Profit loss ratio1：10Left and right. Of course, you can also adopt the fixed position method, using a secure fixed position for each order placed over a period of time.                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                   
　本文由王铭鑫（指导热线；kdj0866）Original submission, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and have in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the latency of online push, the above content is personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, the suggestion is for reference only. Any operation based on this is at your own risk!