Tan Xinsheng:9.4黄金走势三角收敛震荡 等待非农打破现有格局

Friday Beijing Time(9month4day)，市场的焦点将是美国8月份非农就业报告，也是本周五整日的焦点所在，因为鲍威尔已经强调将更加重视提振美国劳动力市场，表明非农数据将是美联储接下来几年内最关注的经济数据，也将是金融市场最关注的数据。经济学家对美国8月非农就业新增人数的预期中值由139Wan dropped to135万。市场预测美国8月季调后非农就业人口将新增140万人，低于前值的增加176.3Ten thousand people; United States8月失业率预计自3月以来将首次下滑至10%以下。目前市场上的投资者开始等待非农数据，预计在数据公布前不会有太大波动。考虑到初请数据和ADP就业数据的差异，非农数据并不容易预测，如果大幅好于预期，可能非常不利于goldPerformance.
　　
Gold from2075附近大跳水后陷入震荡，日线高点逐步下移，低点逐步上抬，走一个三角收敛震荡行情，这样的走势最后蓄势完成会再次爆发走出一波趋势行情，不过很难判断到时候方向，当然如果基本面没变化，那还是更倾向于向上的。黄金现报1933.66element/盎司，前一交易日一度失守1930关口冲击到1920关口止跌反弹。目前黄金短线仍维持1900-1992区间宽幅震荡。投资者可留意上周鲍威尔在全球央行会议讲话后引发金价上下测出的高低点，以对应的突破表现。若突破该区间，下方关注1862Support nearby, pay attention above2015附近阻力。近期现货黄金走势洗盘动作明显，将投机资本扫出后再度拉升可能性较高。
　　
　　日线线级别上，黄金日线收小阴线，目前处于短期线附近及下方运行，5Japan and Japan10日均线走平粘合，中期线仍偏向上运行，MACDRun down,KDJ向下运行，指标看跌。目前黄金下跌还在延续，不过动力减弱，目前下方遇到1920趋势线支撑，还有1910-1900关口支撑，短期可能还会探底，但预计空间有限，杀跌后企稳就是低多机会。

　　

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　　4小时级别上，黄金震荡探底继续震荡，目前处于短期线附近运行，短期线走平粘合，中期线走平无方向，MACD开始走平，KDJ金叉向上运行，指标方向不明显。黄金近期从1992附近震荡回落，昨天最低探底1920附近支撑，目前看还在低位震荡，还不能说已经企稳，仍有可能还会探底冲击新低，4小时整体还在一个三角收敛区间内运行。
　　
　　谭鑫晟分析，日内我们可先关注昨夜回落之后反弹的高点1945的压制，其次是1948-1951区域高点，但是在接下来的行情中没有突破周四高点1951一线的前提下，黄金难以突破大涨，还是要等待大非农数据后的行情表现。那么谭鑫晟日内的策略还是和昨日一样先看反弹修复之后守高位空。今天日内先关注1930、1925Support, followed by1920关口，如破位1920则下方看1910、1902前低支撑，支撑位企稳后就可能再次发力大幅拉升。
　　Market analysis strategy writing: Tan Xinsheng Weilian:txc296 I, Tan Xinsheng, have been involved in the financial industry for many years, with rich practical experience and unique trading concepts. I am skilled in interpreting world economic news, analyzing global investment trends, and focusing on goldTDAnalysis of the trend of precious metals such as gold. If you have never invested before and want to learn and understand, or if your orders are not smooth, your investment funds often shrink, and you want to learn technical analysis and market analysis, then you need to communicate more with me. The financial industry has diverse forms. What I hope for is to use my professional knowledge and years of experience to safeguard your funds. Please indicate the source when reprinting, the content of the article is for reference only. The article has lag and timeliness, and it is recommended to follow Tan Xinsheng's actual guidance in operation. You can follow "Tan Xinsheng" for communication and exchange