Zhang Jucheng;9.4黄金非农将触底反弹多头将开启盛宴？附黄金白银TD趋势策略建议分析。

The first button was wrong, but you didn't realize it until the last one. Some things are wrong at the beginning, but they only have to be admitted in the end. It's like1451reach2075The rise of strength leads to strength all the way, but if you don't carefully view it as weak, you will be completely wrong. Trading will not lower your standards due to your tears, and trends will not give you everything you want due to your fragility. No one cares about your downfall, no one loves your tears. Others only care about your abilities, whether you will succeed or not.

　　

　　goldMarket trend analysis;
　　
Message surface analysis; Friday（9month4日）市场的焦点将是今晚非农数据报告，也是未来一周的焦点所在，因为美联储主席鲍威尔已经强调将更加重视提振美国劳动力市场，表明非农数据将是美联储接下来几年内最关注的经济数据，也将是金融市场最关注的数据。张钜诚认为市场预期8月份非农新增就业人数为151.8万人，但整体仍比较乐观，如果符合预期或者好于预期，将有望给美元金价提供支撑。而这些并没有在过去两个月的非农数据中有明显的体现，而8月份的非农就业报告的统计截至日期是在8month12日左右。但6月美国疫情反弹，令多地放缓了复工脚步，一些地区甚至再次封锁，虽然复苏停滞的问题可能不会反映在7月报告中，但如果社会活动持续当前趋势，则肯定会给未来几个月的就业报告带来压力。经济复苏完全取决于能否成功控制病毒的传播。美国经济复苏的第二阶段将更具挑战性，在没有新的广泛而实质性财政计划的情况下，应当为就业和支出数据走弱做好准备。
　　
　　技术面分析；今天是非农数据，昨天的一切表现只是为了今天的数据行情，腾出时间，腾出空间。所以今天我们做好日内的布局。从技术走势图之中来看，4小时指标暂时低位的钝化和粘合，4HourlyBOLL支撑暂时没完全跌破，并且4小时的下降趋势通道的回档支撑还在支撑黄金，所以4小时这里还是有必要博弈多单。其次是周三的ADP数据，是利多向上，今天的非农数据可能会延续周三的ADP数据，偏向利多向上延续。最后就是日线图暂时是钝化的，偏向高位的区间震荡，暂时的小级别箱体是还是主要的框架运行；周线图这里暂时保持调整；今日重点关注晚间非农数据，所以综合分析操作上张钜诚建议回调做多为主，高空为辅。上方关注1950-1955A line of resistance.
　　
　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;
　　
　　消息面分析；随着美元走强，美原油futuresFalling to near1个月最低，美原油最低触及40.22dollar.Barrel, Brent crude hit its lowest point43.15dollar/桶，均为8month4日以来新低。伊拉克即将增加供应以及石油需求低迷都加剧了看跌情绪。随着美股创下近3个月来最大跌幅，投资者的风险偏好降温；美元走强也削弱了美元计价的大宗商品的吸引力。伊拉克表示，该国可能寻求将按照OPEC+协议执行额外减产的时间推迟两个月。不过，美原油期货盘中缩小跌幅，从200日移动均线的关键技术支撑位反弹，守住40美元关口。在连续四个月上涨后，美原油期货本月开局表现疲软，随着炼油厂开始季节性维护，原油需求料进一步减弱。
　　
　　技术面分析；原油昨日小阴线延续回落收低，跌破41.0之后收盘在此位之下，最低至40.20.如昨日晚盘预期一致，破位后反弹依托41.80短线顺势看空，昨日给出41.30短空看至40.30.局部短线操作问题不大，虽然伴随反复，但反弹只要不越过亚盘起跌点。短线还是先行看震荡回落，今日操作仍依托41.80做临界点反弹先空，在未突破41.80高点，局部先看弱势，若是突破则会转成震荡思路。届时再调整。张钜诚目前从4小时伴随连阴惯性的下探后出现双连阴反弹。由于均线指标还未拐头，所以短线迂回向下，目前看不像极弱的走法。周线收官仍存在反复。考虑到小周期暂时偏弱一些，日内短线亚欧盘先在41.80临界点之下反弹看空，阻力4130.若是上破41.80.届时盘中再回踩做反手。所以综合分析操作上张钜诚建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方关注43One line of resistance, pay attention below40Frontline support.
　　
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The market is constantly changing every day, and every order team teacher is very cautious in their thinking, ensuring that every order must make a profit and exit. Every order is made through thoughtful judgment, and a day or two is luck. What about a week? How about two weeks? Whether it's internal or group posting strategies, or major financial websites, team teachers are all asking for orders at current prices, with evidence to check and evidence to rely on! The operation of two to three orders every day does not require overnight wealth, only the safety of falling into the bag! The profit is very high, I take nine points alone, one point depends on luck, and eight points depends on strength! I am so confident. If you sincerely accompany me, I will do my best.

　　

Jucheng's message:
　　
The answer to all questions is never unique and unchanging. Whether the market is going up or down, you cannot control it yourself. Only by keeping up with the pulse of the market can you avoid being eliminated. The market cannot always go up or down, and what is certain is that it will always go right. Risk is an objective, inevitable, and under certain conditions, it also has certain regularity, so we should pay more attention to risk control in operation.
　　　　本文由张钜诚供稿，由于网络推送延迟性，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，仅供参考，风险自担，转载请注明出处。