Zhang Jucheng;9.1黄金高位承压能否冲破在上两千？最新操作建议策略。

The first button was wrong, but you didn't realize it until the last one. Some things are wrong at the beginning, but they only have to be admitted in the end. It's like1451reach2075The rise of strength leads to strength all the way, but if you don't carefully view it as weak, you will be completely wrong. Trading will not lower your standards due to your tears, and trends will not give you everything you want due to your fragility. No one cares about your downfall, no one loves your tears. Others only care about your abilities, whether you will succeed or not.(See contact information at the end of the article)

　　

　　goldMarket trend analysis
　　
Analysis of Gold News: Tuesday（9month1日）现货黄金收复1980The US dollar level reached its highest point1985.92dollar/盎司，为近两周新高，涨幅近1%；因美联储鸽派政策转变的预期使得美元续刷近两年半低位，因此推动黄金持续走高。美联储副主席克拉里达表示，对未来实施收益率曲线控制措施持开放态度，并称决策者可能会对“经济预测摘要”进行“调整”，这强化了美联储维持宽松的预期，因此使得美元刷新近两年半低位，并在周二进一步走低至91.9123。同时数据显示，市场对于美元投机性空仓规模升至9年最大水平。暗示美元的跌势可能仍未终止，这将继续支撑金价。同时疫情仍在全球范围内蔓延，加剧了经济下行的压力。数据显示，在防疫封锁措施影响下，欧洲消费者价格指数下滑，德国、意大利和西班牙的通胀率均在8月份跌至负值，这强化了市场对于欧洲央行扩大宽松的预期。不过即便基本面支持黄金继续走高，但是黄金的净多仓近几周持续下降，凸显黄金仍缺乏足够的买盘，这可能会限制黄金上涨的空间。
　　
　　黄金技术面解析：黄金日线录得实体柱较为强势阳线，短期金价涨至日线技术指标压力位价格1996附近，整体日线移动平均线成粘合缩口形态，日线技术指标形态并未表现出明显震荡摆脱迹象，关注短期高点区间维持，高点区间压力位反复将进一步巩固短期多头趋势。小时线显示，短期金价触底反弹再度企稳于小时线技术指标支撑位价格上方， 整体小时线技术指标呈较为规整向上发散偏多头排列，短期维持偏多头技术指标形态。当前报价高点区间整理将进一步巩固短期多头趋势。
　　
　　从整个盘面走势来看，黄金连续几次冲击1996一带的高位都没有形成有效的下破，而从1小时线和4小时线上显示出1996-1995一线排开形成多顶压制。若是黄金始终无法突破1995-1999的压制，那么黄金必然会有一波大的回落修整行情出现，而下方我们先关注1960、1950、1942这三个位置的支撑，若是黄金回调这三个位置附近企稳可以多单干进去。如果有效突破1995-1996这一水平，可能会敞开测试2000大关的大门。同时黄金已经是处于三角收敛形态末端了，本周将会较大概率选择方向。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上张钜诚建议高空为辅，低多为主。上方关注1995-2000One line of resistance, pay attention below1940-1935Frontline support.

　　

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis
　　
Analysis of crude oil news: United StatesWTI 10Monthly crude oilfuturesElectronic disk price Monday(8month31day)Closing down0.15USD, decline0.35%Report42.82dollar/桶。油价周一下跌，因全球需求仍低于新冠疫情前水平，而美国产量小幅上升。美联储更新其“长期目标和货币政策战略声明”，决定采取“灵活的平均通胀目标制”后，引发美元新一轮抛售，美联储新的政策框架目的是在就业明显稳固前，抑制加息预期，并通过对通胀上升加大容忍度，提高通胀预期，有助于经济复苏当中实际债券收益率维持在低水平。张钜诚认为，尽管在病毒疫情大流行的背景下燃料需求难以复苏，且供应依然过剩，但美元疲软支撑了油价，虽然未来油市可能仍面临阻力。
　　
　　原油技术面解析：原油日线收盘阳线十字星形态，高点破前高，低点没有破前低，出现了冲高回落走势，布林带收口向上发散，油价运行在中上轨。趋势指标上多头指标上穿空头指标出现了金叉走势。震荡指标同样运行在强势区域中。油价整体处于一个高位震荡中。原油四小时级别显示，原油在39.00水平得到支撑后出现了一波向上走势，随后在41.4-43.4区间震荡了两周多时间，本周油价在触及41.4位置低价后出现一波上涨给到43.74美元，突破了连续震荡走势格局，在理论上讲这波上涨改变了油价近期震荡走势格局，若油价回撤守住震荡箱体支撑大概率将出现延续走势。综合来看，今日原油短线操作思路上张钜诚个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注44.5-45.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below40.5-41.0Frontline support.
　　
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　　侥幸是加大风险的罪魁，犹豫则是错失良机的祸首。如果说长线是金，短线是银，那么波段操作就是钻石。耐心是致胜的关键，信心是成功的保障，好战者必不善战，善战者必不好战。希望张钜诚的文章能给你带来收获，在接下来的投资里顺风顺水，如果有不懂的地方，可以找我聊聊，我不仅是一位指导老师，也是你生活中值得一交的朋友，张钜诚以丰富的经验，精准的视角，敏锐的判断力来捕捉市场的瞬息万变！

　　

Message from Jucheng:
　　
The answer to all questions is never unique and unchanging. Whether the market is going up or down, you cannot control it yourself. Only by keeping up with the pulse of the market can you avoid being eliminated. The market cannot always go up or down, and what is certain is that it will always go right. Risk is an objective, inevitable, and under certain conditions, it also has certain regularity, so we should pay more attention to risk control in operation.
　　This article is provided by Zhang Jucheng. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Zhang Jucheng unloads online, returns losses, and provides one-on-one real-time guidance on WeChat:zjc8393Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.