Zhang Jucheng;8.31黄金多头气势强盛，能否再上2000？附趋势分析建议策略

When your talent cannot support your ambition, you need to calm down and learn. When your ability cannot control your goals, you should settle down and experience. Only through learning, trading, and summarizing, can you understand that you are truly not rejected by the market, just unwilling to change in the past. There are two types of investment: physiological investment, which is to solve food and clothing problems, and spiritual investment, which belongs to spiritual investment, It is about realizing the value of life, playing games and races against human greed and fear.
　　
　　投资是长久之计，不是一朝一夕，所以不可操之过急。就算你现在亏损了，那也没什么可怕的，只要选择正确，失去的都会再回来。对于经常被套 单的投资朋友张钜诚告诉你要切记以下5Taboos:1Heavy storage operation.2Without stop loss.3Reverse the trend operation.4Frequently doing Single.5Poor mentality and easy operation. The above is a summary of my years of experience. If investors have encountered similar problems in the past, please summarize, discover your own shortcomings, and make corrections. In the long run, you will always gain something - share with everyone!
　　
　　其实对于张钜诚来说，技术写的再多，你们看不懂也是索然无味，所以钜诚每次都会是最简单直白的分析给到你们，操作盈利的再准，你们不执行也是白费心思，人生就是如此，新手怕行情的波动过大，老手怕行情的震荡，世上没有两片一模一样的叶子，但是有一模一样的盈利，有一模一样的操作，有的人同样的点位做不同方向的单子，那么结果定是截然不同，与其说是这个市场，这个行情折磨你，不如说自己的修养不够，千万别灰心，没有谁永远不幸，千万别气馁，没有谁一帆风顺，经历过牛市，感受过熊市，接受过暴跌，跨越过暴涨，没有什么比这更可以让你变的强大，强大是需要积累，盈利同样也是，你不会永远亏损，别人也不会一直盈利，而我，就是你们扭亏为盈的重要开关。(See contact information at the end of the article)

　　

　　goldMarket trend analysis
　　
　　消息面分析；本周（8month31day-9month6日），美联储将公布经济状况褐皮书，市场也迎来澳洲联储利率决议，澳洲联储主席洛威出席众议院经济常设委员会会议。本周也有多位美联储官员发表讲话。另外，上周五日本首相安倍晋三宣布辞职后，日本方面的消息本周也需要留意。金价上周五大涨，现货黄金一度较日低回升逾50USD to1973.89dollar/盎司，美元指数大幅下滑，美联储宣布一项政策调整，允许通胀率比过去更高，暗示央行可能将低利率政策保持更长的时间。张钜诚认为“美元大幅下跌支撑了黄金，美联储表示，它可以让通胀在一段时间内超过2%的目标，似乎他们将保持极其宽松的货币政策，这应该有助于黄金。”另一方面，全球各国央行和政府纷纷向市场注入大规模刺激措施，以提振受到病毒重创的各国经济，推动金价今年上涨逾28%。
　　
　　技术面分析；张钜诚黄金日线结构上阴阳交错，多空转换频繁，这也彻底暴露了当前市场的风险性。上周五行情对20Daily line1970压力有刺破动作，但最终还是收在其下，不过今日开盘后黄金又再出现一波回弹，测压至1976/77附近，目前又回到1970下方运行，这样的状态表明20Daily line1970附近还是有一定的压制作用的，但如果市场基本面持续倾向于利多黄金，那么20日线迟早还会被突破。预期本周行情会需要一个下探确认支撑的过程，即下方重点关注5、10Daily moving average support1950附近回踩测试，如果此位能守住，技术上也会逐渐偏向于逆转看涨，但依然还是要注意基本面可能带来的不确定的影响。
　　
　　结合小时图走势，今日早间的高开走高，导致小时图级别出现顶部背离信号，本周初行情技术上也是倾向于先进行回修调整的，下方可先关注1960附近争夺，如果调整比较规范，则下方将有很大的概率回撤至1950附近，而此位也可以视作为本波回升行情能否延续的关键支撑位。至于上方压力位，因上周五以及今日早间均对1976有刺破，但又都未能延续上涨，所以1976后期会有很大的可能性会被突破，但如果1976后期不破也是存在这种可能性的，所以可将1976-85视作为今日暂时的压力带.综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上张钜诚建议高空为主，低多为辅。上方关注1990-1995One line of resistance, pay attention below1920-1925Frontline support.
　　
　　crude oilMarket trend analysis
　　
　　消息面分析；因石油库存居高不下。劳拉的目标直指美国能源业的心脏地带。墨西哥湾80%以上的石油产量，沿岸地区三分之一的炼油能力都已经停止运营。石油出口中断，人员被强制要求撤离。这将是2018年飓风Michael以来袭击墨西哥湾沿岸的第一个强风暴。劳拉飓风于8month25日接近德克萨斯州、路易斯安那州海岸。石油生产商(8month25day)关闭了156万桶的原油日产量，占墨西哥湾总产量的84%，并疏散了310处海上设施。九家炼油厂也进行关闭，这些炼油厂将近29010000 barrels/天的石油转化为燃料，约占美国处理能力的15%。中石油预计布伦特原油2020年平均价格为41-43dollar/桶，下半年国际原油市场预计需求仍将过剩，原油反弹仍面临很大不确定性。
　　
　　技术面分析；日线录得带上下影线的小阴，原油四小时走势图上来看，近期呈现明显的震荡走势，布林带三轨走平，油价在布林带上轨和下轨之间运行，布林带上轨形成压力，布林带下轨形成支撑；郭格从K线形态上看，油价在布林带上轨受到压力之后，收出两根长上引线，说明该区间压力巨大；从均线上来看，四小时级别的EMA144Mean Square andEMA169均线仍然为美原油的走势提供了支撑作用，并且最近两次的回落都恰好在均线处受到支撑，这说明美原油整体上还是偏向多头的，只是暂未启动而已。分别在关键位置为美原油画出了一条水平支撑线和一条水平阻力线，预计美原油若能回踩至支撑线，仍将获得支撑。综合来看，今日原油短线操作思路上张钜诚个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注44.5-45.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below40.5-41.0Frontline support.
　　
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The market is constantly changing every day, and every order team teacher is very cautious in their thinking, ensuring that every order must make a profit and exit. Every order is made through thoughtful judgment, and a day or two is luck. What about a week? How about two weeks? Whether it's internal or group posting strategies, or major financial websites, team teachers are all asking for orders at current prices, with evidence to check and evidence to rely on! The operation of two to three orders every day does not require overnight wealth, only the safety of falling into the bag! The profit is very high, I take nine points alone, one point depends on luck, and eight points depends on strength! I am so confident. If you sincerely accompany me, I will do my best.

　　

　　

      钜诚寄语：
　　
The answer to all questions is never unique and unchanging. Whether the market is going up or down, you cannot control it yourself. Only by keeping up with the pulse of the market can you avoid being eliminated. The market cannot always go up or down, and what is certain is that it will always go right. Risk is an objective, inevitable, and under certain conditions, it also has certain regularity, so we should pay more attention to risk control in operation.
　　This article is provided by Zhang Jucheng. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Zhang Jucheng unloads online, returns losses, and provides one-on-one real-time guidance on WeChat:zjc8393Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.