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兰格钢铁:铁矿石价格高位风险或将显现

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本周由于下游成材消费弱于预期,影响钢厂产量释放,铁矿石价格在上周大幅上涨后高位波动。铁矿石价格已创近几年的新高,价值处于高估状态。虽然国内铁矿石需求较为旺盛、矿石巨头的价值优先策略以及海外钢厂复厂等因素都对铁矿石价格形成支撑,但其高估值中包含需求预期及全球流动性极度宽松的因素,作为周期性商品,价格大幅偏离价值后总要回归,前期价格持续上涨使风险不断累积,如果成材旺季需求弱于预期,矿价压力也会显现。
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