黄金原油横盘爆冷，午间如何操作？梁乾东8.24午后走势预测附解套

　　一涨一跌引动市场风云，一阴一阳带起波澜壮阔，股市，汇市，gold，crude oilThe fate of the market is controlled by such a smallKIn the line chart, how many people are ecstatic or sad about its ups and downs, ups and downs? People outside the circle will never understand why such a small ghost like talisman is so magical, and people will never want to give up when they touch it. Because of its uncertainty, one yin and one yang are randomly arranged, and one rise and one fall are wayward. It is never possible to perfectly control each trend because of its imperfection, and the long and short trends constantly shuttle, One party is happy while the other is worried. After singing from multiple parties, the empty side appears, presenting a colorful scene. Perhaps this is why we are attracted by it and willing to put in energy for it. Even if we cannot obtain the desired profit, we are unwilling to give up time and are unwilling to give up, right?
　　
　　回归初心，你在市场摸爬滚打不过是为了一个“利”字，我在盘前兢兢业业却是因为一个“缘”字，有缘自能相见，无缘天涯路远，君行千里我相送，君到跟前我相助，市场利润十分，我愿倾尽全力为你独取九分，实力让我有此底气，青海长云暗雪山，不破楼兰终不还。六月已经拉开序幕，机会稍纵即逝，先来看看午间的交易思路吧


　　现货黄金午间行情解读：

　　

Message surface;本周黄金走势重点关注美联储主席鲍威尔讲话，美联储主席鲍威尔将就货币政策的评估发表讲话，这可能是黄金的下一个重要催化剂。如果美联储主席鲍威尔释放出对通胀高于目标水平的容忍度加大的信号，实际债券收益率将进一步下滑，美元将出现新一轮的抛售，黄金可能会重拾涨势，并重新升至2075dollar/盎司的纪录高位。如果美联储主席鲍威尔没有提供清晰的指引，美元的超卖反弹可能会集聚动能。在这种情况下，黄金可能会跌至五个月涨势的趋势线下方。因此，黄金增添暴涨暴跌的隐蔽行情随时引爆……黄金后续的行情只是时间等待的问题而已、但投资者也要注意投资风险，不要盲目追高追跌。
　　
　　技术面：黄金从日线图来看，头肩顶技术形态完美，前期构造2015右肩后开始下跌最低触及1911反弹，二次回落是不是见底，我们看下前一次的调整也是日线出现十字展开反弹，本次1911也是收盘无非阴十字，那么下周依然复制走势还有反弹机会，毕竟第一轮大阴后反弹当日K线三分之二才开始下跌，那么本次1911rebound2006ofK线三分之二位置应该1980附近，而且从右肩2015区域你可以清楚看到，右肩又在构造一个小的头肩顶，顶部2015区域，左肩1966区域，右肩是1976下跌，还是1955直接下跌现在都是未知，但是根据上次反弹幅度和经验，那么再次反弹下跌应该1976上更完美，那样下跌空间大，要不依然每天这样震荡也是无趣。当然对称走势周初反弹二到三天触及1976遇阻回落那是更完美。
　　
　　梁乾东从黄金4小时图来看，走势完美。而且5浪下跌也是工整，上周五反弹预期之内，毕竟1920是前期历史新高再次触及必有反弹。目前压力集中依然1955所以周初关注1955位置，如果破位那就是20美金上行1975区域空，这个和日线的1976相吻合，而且1976也是第一次2015闪崩下跌次低点，顶底转换也是变成压力。
　　
Gold from1小时线来看，上周五在破位1924一线后试探1911一线附近后快速拉升收回，而且在2次回测以后再次收盘1940区域位置，显然经过突破回测夯实了1920区域，目前预示后期还有反弹，小时的双底出现那周初参与反弹即可。综合来看，黄金今日短线操作思路上梁乾东个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1955-1960Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1920-1915Frontline support.
　　
Latest operating suggestions for gold:
　　
　　1The rebound above the gold does not break1955-1957Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1932-1930frontline;
　　
　　2Under the gold, it cannot be broken by stepping back1920-1922Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1932-1934frontline;
　　
　　futures原油午间行情解读：

　　

　　消息面：据美国国家飓风中心，热带风暴“马尔科”已升级为飓风，将于当地时间周一登陆墨西哥湾沿岸，预计给墨西哥湾沿岸部分地区带来风暴潮和飓风级风力。热带风暴“劳拉”也在逐步接近，且风力略微增强，可能给多米尼加共和国、海地、古巴和牙买加带来大雨和洪水。两场风暴将在间隔24-36小时的时间内登陆，这是前所未有的情况。得州到阿拉巴马州的海岸将受到广泛破坏，为防范风暴，墨西哥湾沿岸的炼厂已经开始减少原油生产活动。美国安全和环境执法局(BSEE)预计，风暴导致墨西哥湾区关停57.6%的原油产能和44.6%的天然气产能。墨西哥湾区原油产量减少约106.5610000 barrels/日，天然气产量减少约12.05Billion cubic feet/日。根据离岸运营商报告的数据，目前已有114个海上平台撤离员工，占比17.73%(Total643个平台)。其中英国石油公司已开始关闭其在墨西哥湾的四个钻井平台的生产。英国石油公司表示，已开始疏散平台上的工作人员，并确保海上设施的安全。壳牌同样“在工作活动和条件允许的情况下”，开始撤离部分离岸设施的非必要人员。目前石油生产没有受到影响，正在努力确保钻井作业的安全。受此影响，周一WTI原油高开并一度短线拉升。
　　
　　技术面：原油整体来看维持在震荡向上的格局，只要价格整体维持在40The idea of maintaining a long position above remains unchanged. Currently, there are no suitable positions to participate in long positions, and we can only wait for the price to adjust before engaging in long positions. Looking at the daily trend, Brin is running slightly upwards with a contraction,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average runs to the right with stickiness, and the long period moving average runs with multiple heads arranged below to form support,KThe line intersects between the upper tracks in Bolin,MACDThe fast and slow lines are located above the zero axis and run smoothly,KDJThe third line shows a gentle upward trend with a narrow golden fork, and the overall performance of the daily chart market is fluctuating and leaning towards a bullish trend. Currently40.5一线成为今日重要支撑区域，梁乾东4From an hourly perspective, yesterday crude oil began to rise and fall, piercing the upper track in the short term and then falling below the middle track. The current market is in a rebound, but it is hindered by the middle track, and the Bollinger Belt is currently in an opening period,MAThe moving average is about to break out of its double dead cross,KDJRandom indicator three line forward, reaching oversold,MACD指标绿色动能柱持续放量，快慢线死叉向下，经过大幅下跌后短线反弹。梁乾东综合来看，今日短线操作思路上梁乾东建议以反弹高空为主，上方短期重点关注43.3-43.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below41.8-41.5Frontline support.
　　
Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:
　　
　　1The rebound above the crude oil does not break43.3-43.5Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target42.6-42.4frontline;
　　
　　2Unable to break under the crude oil41.5-41.7Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target42.6-42.8frontline;
　　
Qian Dong's message: For friends who want to learn about spot knowledge, I strongly agree. I personally believe that investment friends should improve their abilities during the investment process, use their technical knowledge to analyze and operate, and enjoy it, falling in love with this investment rather than fear. Fear is due to lack of strength and judgment. I quite admire those who gradually learn and master commonly used technical indicators (moving averagesMACD、KDJCombining fundamentals to analyze market trends and specific operating points, gradually improving one's comprehensive analysis ability and exercising one's mentality. Gradually grow up, after all, investing is a long-term process. So I, Liang Qiandong, and my investment friends also follow this principle: teaching fish is better than teaching it to fish. I will teach you to start from the most basic.
　　　　本文由梁乾东供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，解析全球大众商品、贵金属、现货黄金、期货原油等投资大趋势，对黄金、原油、foreign exchange有深入的研究，由于网络推送延迟性，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，仅供参考，风险自担，转载请注明出处。