High normal operation8.23-8.24黄金原油周一走势分析及操作策略附多空解套

　　高常运前言：无论行情暴涨，暴跌，单边还是震荡，你是不是总是没把握住？就是所谓的一买就跌，一跌就割，一割就涨，一涨就追，一追又套，一套再割，这就像一个死套。资金不断的缩水，过程一直在循环。如果你处在这样的循环中，请停下来好好想想，总结一下经验和教训，整装再发。臻东一直都说，我不是神，也会有错误，但是虽不能保证你单单都盈利，却会用认真负责的态度，精准的点位判断，稳健的做单方式来保证你整体长期获利。
　　
　　过去的已经成为历史，成为怀念，无论昨天多么的精彩，赚钱再多，也不能成为今天放肆的资本，现货市场每一天都是一个新的挑战，每一次的入场都是一次对水平的考验。我最痛恨抱怨行情的人，这个市场没钱不投资观望并不可悲，可悲的是有钱不知道如何运用，赚了不知道理由，亏了不明白原因，总是认为市场对不起自己。其实，别那么累，你根本没有太多观众。来了，市场欢迎，走了，其实没人知道你曾经来过。既然投资，就静心认真，资本市场玩的就是心理，博的就是方向，盈的就是态度
　　
Spotgold近期影响因素：
　　
Friday(8month21day)Gold prices fell, and spot gold plummeted at one point1.83%, refresh8month12Since the low point of the day1911.62dollar/Ounces, expected to appear6For the first time since January, it has fallen for two consecutive weeks as the US dollar has strengthened and US economic data has been stronger than expected, easing market concerns about the pace of economic recovery. However, with the decline of the US dollar index and the decline in US bond yields, spot gold has rebounded nearly from its daily low30USD, currently traded in1940Around the US dollar. U.S.A7月份二手房销量高于预期，因抵押贷款利率下降继续推动住宅市场的发展，楼市正在成为经济复苏的关键动力之一。美元攀升，还因为欧元区经济意外失去动能。高常运认为经济数据改善将开始影响黄金的走势，当经济复苏达到一定程度时，美联储将感到是时候取消一些支持了，显然，我们距离这个阶段还有很长的路要走--Most economies, including the United States, are far below their pre pandemic levels of economic activity. Although the popularity of the gold market has been quite strong, many analysts say that the market is about to enter a consolidation phase. At the beginning of this month, gold continued to hit record highs, rising from the beginning of the year36%above. Some analysts have suggested that gold prices may fall back to every ounce1800The US dollar will remain bullish in the long term.
　　
Analysis of the price trend of spot gold:
　　
Gold fell again on Friday,1956Under the suppression of the first line, the bullish gold market continues to be weak. Under this trend, the market itself is4The hour rebounded, but1Hour after hour, the market continued to be weak, and on Friday, the US market saw gold fall below1920After the first line, it quickly rebounded, which is a typical step back. because1920It is a historical high in the early stage, and after falling below it, the market trend will further weaken. But don't follow the trend and chase the sky! Because after breaking the limit, a rebound correction is required, as bearish positions do not fall in a waterfall pattern, but rather in a volatile form. meanwhile1The support of the Bollinger Line for hours is still there,4The hourly random indicator has once again turned to a golden cross, indicating that at least this downward trend of volatility has almost finished. And in the4In the hourly chart, the Bollinger line supports the rebound in gold prices,1956-1965这里依旧是多空的强弱分界点！所以下周一操作上高常运官微：gcy8527It is recommended not to break through the range of high selling and low buying. Attention to resistance above the short line1960-1955First line, support attention from below1910-1906frontline.
　　
　　crude oil近期影响因素：
　　
　　8.21油价跌逾1%，因为从欧洲到亚洲一些主要经济体经济复苏步履蹒跚的迹象有可能令需求反弹推迟。周五公布的一项调查显示，欧元区经济从有记录以来最严重下滑中的复苏本月步履蹒跚，尤其是服务业，因上月解除新冠疫情封锁而释放的被压抑的需求在本月有所减少。与此同时，日本的一个服务业指标下降，继续预示服务业处于萎缩状态。利比亚国家石油公司表示，可能重启石油出口，此前国际公认的该国政府在的黎波里宣布停火，该消息令油价进一步承压。高常运认为这是一个无法再吸收任何额外石油供应的市场，虽然我为他们达成和平协议感到高兴，但对全球供应形势而言，这是个问题，这是今天出现抛售的一个主要原因。”能源服务公司贝克休斯表示，本周美国活跃油气钻机数增加，为3For the first time since the beginning of the month, this is an indicator indicating future supply.
　　
　　原油价格走势解析：
　　
Overall, crude oil maintains a fluctuating upward pattern, as long as the overall price remains at40The idea of maintaining a long position above remains unchanged. Currently, there are no suitable positions to participate in long positions, and we can only wait for the price to adjust before engaging in long positions. Looking at the daily trend, Brin is running slightly upwards with a contraction,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average runs to the right with stickiness, and the long period moving average runs with multiple heads arranged below to form support,KThe line intersects between the upper tracks in Bolin,MACDThe fast and slow lines are located above the zero axis and run smoothly,KDJThe third line shows a gentle upward trend with a narrow golden fork, and the overall performance of the daily chart market is fluctuating and leaning towards a bullish trend. Currently40.5一线成为重要支撑区域，4From an hourly perspective, yesterday crude oil began to rise and fall, piercing the upper track in the short term and then falling below the middle track. The current market is in a rebound, but it is hindered by the middle track, and the Bollinger Belt is currently in an opening period,MAThe moving average is about to break out of its double dead cross,KDJRandom indicator three line forward, reaching oversold,MACD指标绿色动能柱持续放量，快慢线死叉向下，经过大幅下跌后短线反弹。综合分析下周一原油操作上高常运个人建议以回撤做多为主，高空为辅，短线上方关注43.0-43.5One line of resistance, pay attention below41.5-41.0一线支撑。由于笔者高常运不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的可单线本人（官微：gcy8527)
　　
　　关于套牢：
　　
　　对于套牢之后的减仓或斩仓，以我的经验来看，投资者在做这样的操作时，下手必须要狠要果断，特别是在下跌趋势中。很多投资的都有这样的操作经历，套牢之后天天盼解套，终于等到有一天解套了，又不甘心了。我都拿了这么多天了，怎么也要赚一些钱。结果错过了最好的平仓机会，当市场重新进入下跌，又再次被套。最终彻底绝望，丧失信心割肉出局。这是下跌趋势中最忌讳的。
　　
　　套牢之后，无论如何处理都是被动的操作，解套固然是投资者必须掌握的基本功，但是投资者更应该把精力放在套牢之前，想办法提高分析技巧和买卖水平，尽可能减少被套牢的次数，始终占据资金和心态的主动。
　　
The market situation is difficult to predict. In daily operations, many friends who engage in hedging may come to seek solutions. Hedging is basically the most common problem among investors nowadays, especially during the big market, when the direction of gold and crude oil's sudden rise and fall is difficult to predict. It is important for investors to control risks and take measures to stop profits and losses. We may sweep losses due to misjudgment, but once hedging occurs, So what follows closely is taking on orders or even cutting the flesh. Even if we unwind, we cannot expect to make a profit. The final loss is much more than the initial sweep loss. Therefore, we hope everyone remembers that when investing, we must first learn to control risks, and then profit.
　　This article is written by Gao Changyun (official WeChat account:gcy8527---公众号：高常运）分析师独家原创，本人一直热衷于黄金、原油市场，由于网络推送延迟性，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，仅供参考，风险自担，转载请注明出处