8.22-8.23黄金原油下周一走势分析及操作策略附多空解套

　　gold面，周五(8month21day)Gold prices fell, and spot gold plummeted at one point1.83%, refresh8month12Since the low point of the day1911.62dollar/Ounces, expected to appear6For the first time since January, it has fallen for two consecutive weeks as the US dollar has strengthened and US economic data has been stronger than expected, easing market concerns about the pace of economic recovery. However, with the decline of the US dollar index and the decline in US bond yields, spot gold has rebounded nearly from its daily low30USD, currently traded in1940Around the US dollar. U.S.A7月份二手房销量高于预期，因抵押贷款利率下降继续推动住宅市场的发展，楼市正在成为经济复苏的关键动力之一。美元攀升，还因为欧元区经济意外失去动能。王起名认为经济数据改善将开始影响黄金的走势，当经济复苏达到一定程度时，美联储将感到是时候取消一些支持了，显然，我们距离这个阶段还有很长的路要走--Most economies, including the United States, are far below their pre pandemic levels of economic activity. Although the popularity of the gold market has been quite strong, many analysts say that the market is about to enter a consolidation phase. At the beginning of this month, gold continued to hit record highs, rising from the beginning of the year36%above. Some analysts have suggested that gold prices may fall back to every ounce1800The US dollar will remain bullish in the long term.
　　
　　crude oil面，油价跌逾1%，因为从欧洲到亚洲一些主要经济体经济复苏步履蹒跚的迹象有可能令需求反弹推迟。周五公布的一项调查显示，欧元区经济从有记录以来最严重下滑中的复苏本月步履蹒跚，尤其是服务业，因上月解除新冠疫情封锁而释放的被压抑的需求在本月有所减少。与此同时，日本的一个服务业指标下降，继续预示服务业处于萎缩状态。利比亚国家石油公司表示，可能重启石油出口，此前国际公认的该国政府在的黎波里宣布停火，该消息令油价进一步承压。王起名认为这是一个无法再吸收任何额外石油供应的市场，虽然我为他们达成和平协议感到高兴，但对全球供应形势而言，这是个问题，这是今天出现抛售的一个主要原因。”能源服务公司贝克休斯表示，本周美国活跃油气钻机数增加，为3For the first time since the beginning of the month, this is an indicator indicating future supply.
　　
Gold Technology Analysis:
　　
　　现货黄金现收于1940美元附近，由于美国初请失业金人数再次突破100万，且美联储重申对经济复苏的担忧及投资人持有黄金的必要性，对金价起到一定提振作用。不过有调查显示，基金经理们认为黄金做多交易过于拥挤，这会限制金价上行空间。整体来看，金价中长线仍偏向多头，但短线料多空相对焦灼，或维持高位震荡。
　　
　　黄金从日线级别上来看，高位震荡；布林带收口，金价徘徊中轨附近。MACDDead forks and green pillars have strong kinetic energy,KDJAdhesion, index at50下方。从技术面看，黄金短线偏震荡走低。下方初步支撑先留意1925.00Nearby, this was tested on Wednesday and Thursday of this week; Strong support, pay attention to key points1900Gateway. If it falls below, it will boost bearish sentiment in the market, and gold prices may step back8month12Daily low point1863. On the upward side, pay attention to the intraday high first1955.93; If broken, pay attention20Daily moving average1976.00Looking at Tuesday's high on further resistance level2015.59。
　　
Gold from4On an hourly level, it oscillates widely; The Bollinger Belt's three tracks are leveling out, and gold prices are hovering between the middle and lower tracks.MACDThe energy of the dead fork and green column decreases slightly,KDJPreliminary Golden Cross, Index at30Nearby. From the perspective of the trend, gold is anxious in both long and short positions, and remains volatile in the short term. On the upward side, pay attention to the middle track of the Bollinger Belt first1968.14This is also related to2075.47-1863.16This wave of decline50%The retreat position is similar. Looking at further resistance2000.00Pass, this is an important psychological pass; If there is a breakthrough, the material will be tested and the Brin belt will be put on the track2022.77. Preliminary support below, pay attention to Wednesday's low point first1924.94Nearby, with strong support, take a look at the Bollinger Belt and lower the track1913.55。综合来看，黄金下周一短线操作思路上王起名官微：w q m 9 6 4 5My personal suggestion is to focus on rebounding from high altitude, supplemented by a pullback and taking long positions, with a focus on the short-term above1955-1960Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1920-1915Frontline support.
　　
Technical analysis of crude oil:
　　
Overall, crude oil maintains a fluctuating upward pattern, as long as the overall price remains at40The idea of maintaining a long position above remains unchanged. Currently, there are no suitable positions to participate in long positions, and we can only wait for the price to adjust before engaging in long positions. Looking at the daily trend, Brin is running slightly upwards with a contraction,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average runs to the right with stickiness, and the long period moving average runs with multiple heads arranged below to form support,KThe line intersects between the upper tracks in Bolin,MACDThe fast and slow lines are located above the zero axis and run smoothly,KDJThe third line shows a gentle upward trend with a narrow golden fork, and the overall performance of the daily chart market is fluctuating and leaning towards a bullish trend. Currently40.5一线成为重要支撑区域，4From an hourly perspective, yesterday crude oil began to rise and fall, piercing the upper track in the short term and then falling below the middle track. The current market is in a rebound, but it is hindered by the middle track, and the Bollinger Belt is currently in an opening period,MAThe moving average is about to break out of its double dead cross,KDJRandom indicator three line forward, reaching oversold,MACD指标绿色动能柱持续放量，快慢线死叉向下，经过大幅下跌后短线反弹。综合分析下周一原油操作上王起名个人建议以回撤做多为主，高空为辅，短线上方关注43.0-43.5One line of resistance, pay attention below41.5-41.0一线支撑。由于笔者王起名不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的可单线本人（官微：w q m 9 6 4 5)
　　
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