Fan Chenjie:8.22黄金震荡待突破，下周行情走势分析

    周末愉快！在这一周工作日各位都经历了一次过山车一样的行情，无论多好做的行情，比如震荡还是单边，总会有人亏损。究其原因不在于市场，或许是点位没有抓住，还是我实时给出的点位没有用及时跟进，那就要找找自身的原因了，很多投资者都是怀着资金翻倍的梦想进入这个市场的，然后想着像滚雪球一样，越滚越大。可真正做起来后，才发现是亏损越滚越大。为什么会是这样的情况？因为“贪婪”二字在作祟。你想不断的抓住行情的波动，想最高点做空，最低点做多，想一次拿几十上百点的利润。于是你开始频繁的交易，不愿错过任何有利润的机会，哪怕风险比较大。于是在操作中不断的加大仓位，单子方向做反后，誓必要拿回利润才肯平仓。最后这样操作下来，回头看看你的交易历史，总是亏损多于盈利，而且每次的亏损额也都大于盈利额。这样的操作，不亏钱都难，何谈赚钱二字？

    goldMarket trend analysis

    Friday(8month21day)现货黄金走低，现货黄金一度触及1955.84美元，但随后下跌后开始横盘，因欧元区经济数据不佳，引发欧元重挫，而美元指数大幅反弹。较日高跌超25美元。跌破1930关口。目前谢尔顿的政策立场被视为鸽派，存在降息倾向，若顺利成为美联储理事，可能会再度增强市场对美联储货币政策的鸽派预期，进而令美元进一步承压。但是，从目前的情况看，她的提名遭到高达38位前联储要员的反对，未来上任之路恐多有波折。若谢尔顿最后不能成功进入美联储，有望消除美元面临的一个潜在利空因素。

    黄金从日线级别看，本周上涨的两根阳线被周三收盘的的一根实体大阴线完全吞没，美指的强势拉升，令黄金价格大幅跳水超过50US dollars; Daily chartKThe line structure completes the secondary exploration of high pressure and falls back to lower pressure, in conjunction with the weekly collection method. Yesterday's bearish candlestick closed at a low level. The oversold rebound of the US index will continue, and gold will further weaken and fall under pressure. The weekly and daily charts will continue to deepen the adjustment space, and the rebound at the beginning of the week can be regarded as a correction, which is to drive the indicator down. gold4Yesterday, the hourly chart experienced a series of consecutive negative and unilateral declines, and there has not yet been a correction for the small bullish rebound, making the extremely weak unilateral continuation space uncertain. We are waiting for further updates4After a bullish rebound during the hour, it is necessary to enter a short position, while a rapid decline requires a rebound correction to further pull the indicator,4Waiting for a rebound in hours. In terms of trends:4I completed the second height exploration in an hour, so2015It is highly likely to be the falling high point of the double shoulder top structure. I'm afraid there may still be some downside in the future market1862低点的可能。综合来看，黄金下周短线操作思路上个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1950-1945Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1905-1900Frontline support.

    crude oilMessage surface parsing:

    Friday（8month21日），美油走高，料第三周上涨，因需求复苏初露端倪，但疫情仍令前景蒙上阴影，同时对供应过剩的担忧升温。截止当前，油价报42.64dollar/桶，本周累计上涨约1.00%。周一，油价飙升至5个月以来的最高点，这是由于美国两党经济刺激计划的僵局有缓和迹象，而建筑商信心指数也升至1998年以来的最高点。不过，美联储和OPEC对新冠疫情引发的需求前景的悲观评论冲淡了乐观情绪，而美国上周失业救济意外增加。油价自低于零的涨势在6月初停滞在近40dollar/桶，但最近开始走高，尽管许多国家在努力遏制疫情的爆发。本周的OPEC会议传递出的信息是，市场仍然脆弱，需求前景不确定，在兑现减产承诺方面，那些偷销配额的人面临新的压力。

    技术分析来看：原油从4小时上看，隔日原油短线刺破下轨后展开震荡上行回升，并在刺破上轨后小幅回落，但仍运行于5日均线之上，当前布林带处于开口期，MAThe moving average moves out of the double golden cross,KDJThe three lines of random indicators are downward,MACD指标红色动能柱持续放量，快慢线平行向前，原油目前处于回落需求，但仍有上行趋势。下方低点在上移，高点始终在冲高蓄势，本周还是要重点关注破位量能。目前由于日线收盘在高位，留意亚欧盘能否完成突破。突破43.50后再顺势看多，不破继续看区间44.0-42.0震荡。综合来看操作思路上樊辰杰建议以反弹高空为主，上方短期重点关注43.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below41.2-41.0一线支撑。文章只能给你一时的方向和思路，至于具体进场的点位和止盈时机，樊辰杰会实时给出，欢迎关注！添加【FCJ66886688】咨询樊辰杰获取实时指导提示。

    Message from Chen Jie————

    如何成为一名成功的投资者达到持续稳定盈利的状态？由三个重要部分组成=Trading ideas/idea+Trading ideas(skill)+Trading sentiment(Market sentiment and personal sentiment)我们先简单的讲一讲交易思想/Concept, we will discuss trading sentiment in the future. The most crucial point in trading is to find the key point of your life and enter the market. How can you find this point? This can be applied to stage pricing algorithms! How to avoid so many trend traps? This needs to rise to trading thinking, which is your subjective understanding of trading. The inherent law of market fluctuations is the result of the game between the long and short sides, which is interactive. Trading ideas and concepts are important, skills are not important. The ideology is correct, the skills are natural.

    writing/Fan Chenjie