Zhang Jucheng;8.19黄金走势上演“过山车”，附走势操作建议策略。

The first button was wrong, but you didn't realize it until the last one. Some things are wrong at the beginning, but they only have to be admitted in the end. It's like1451reach2075The rise of strength leads to strength all the way, but if you don't carefully view it as weak, you will be completely wrong. Trading will not lower your standards due to your tears, and trends will not give you everything you want due to your fragility. No one cares about your downfall, no one loves your tears. Others only care about your abilities, whether you will succeed or not.(See contact information at the end of the article)

　　

　　goldMarket trend analysis;
　　
　　黄金面，近几日美元继续保持弱势，重回之前低点92.50一线，因市场担忧美国下一轮财政刺激计划的谈判进展，美元走低。目前美国大选仍是市场关注的焦点，川普支持率为41%，拜登支持率为53%，这一方面的变化需密切留意。由于大选临近，川普为拉选票，承诺减税以使制造业回归美国，誓言在10个月创造1000万个就业机会，通过将制造设备从中国迁回美国的公司进行税收抵免另一方面，巴菲特持有黄金的消息提振黄金多头的信心。目前美国经济和政策方面，市场仍有较强的担忧情绪，虽然就业市场有所好转，但每周仍有数十万新增病例，失业率仍是年初的三倍。另外消费者信心指数小幅下滑，且仍低于2月份的水平。在各种不确定性之下，黄金再度触及2007The position of the US dollar.
　　
　　黄金呈现慢涨模式开启，也迎来的主升浪走势，直接上来2000美金上方，最高去到2007，日线图以大阳线收场。大周期从2075reach1862的杀跌，是回落到1670-2075The Golden Section of0.5附近，已经回调到位。并且从1862进行的上涨，不但冲破并站稳了周线的5周均线，更是承接于日线的5日均线进行上扬。从1862reach1999function137美金，那么行情就不再是反弹，而是反转。4小时周期运行的多头趋势保持完好，从1862Going up, after1950-1906、1966-1929的两次回调，之后突破1966，迅猛拉涨到1999位置。低点和高点的逐步抬高，价格经历了正常的回调后加速上涨，操作上就顺势做多。昨日是碎阳后放量大阳拉涨，今日阶段同样也是碎阳拉高，也要警惕大阳直接向上加速。目前市场的主要支撑，首先是1990-1985区域，是昨日上涨的小高点和刚刚30分钟周期回调的临近低点附近。其次要关注1966前期的顶底转换支撑。只要守住1990-1987不破位，行情将运行极强式多头去2025-2030区域。综上所述今日操作上张钜诚认为，主多头趋势延续，守住1990-1985不破，将运行极强式多头去看2025-2030Goal.

　　

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;
　　
　　美油延续近期窄幅震荡走势，波幅受限，因市场多空消息拉锯仍在延续。短线来看，横盘行情可能还会持续几周。重点留意周三的OPEC+联合部长级会议，由于从8月开始各产油国放松产量限制，但是疫情反弹和全球经济下行风险高企，市场寄希望OPEC+能够采取其他措施来防止供应过剩局面再度发生。另一方面，虽然全球疫情继续出现缓和苗头，投资者却对疫苗研发前景仍然顾虑有加，并且消息显示航空业前景面临进一步恶化，这都令原油需求端也疑云笼罩，因而，近期油价也缺少持续走强进一步上行的动能。技术分析来看：原油周线继续以高位十字KReporting and daily support40The pass presents an interaction of yin and yang, with the highest penetration during the week43.0The first line is under pressure and falls back, and the lower part is stepped down and explored3日均线企稳强势回升，张钜诚认为由于底部回升后指标还未完全拐头向上，使得周线处于中性位置中震荡蓄势，日图则延续星K线整理，虚破区间后回归区间整理，布林道紧紧收口当中，依旧看在区间内窄幅震荡。
　　
　　技术面，日线上看，隔日原油自中轨附近支撑展开上涨，并在触及上轨后受阻回落，延续之前走势，收得带上影线的中阳，日线上，今日原油徘徊于上轨及5日均线之中，有望冲击43.485前期高点，但顶部依然存在压力，继续震荡的可能性依旧较大；4小时上看，隔日原油短线刺破下轨后展开震荡上行回升，并在刺破上轨后小幅回落，但仍运行于5日均线之上，当前布林带处于开口期，MAThe moving average moves out of the double golden cross,KDJThe three lines of random indicators are downward,MACD指标红色动能柱持续放量，快慢线平行向前，综合来看，原油目前处于回落需求，但仍有上行趋势，但顶部前期高点依旧存在于压力，今日操作上张钜诚建议高空低多进行布局，上方关注44-43.5One line of resistance, pay attention below41.5-41Frontline support.
　　This article is provided by Zhang Jucheng. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Zhang Jucheng unloads online, returns losses, and provides one-on-one real-time guidance on WeChat:zjc8393  Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.