孙奕臣；8.19黄金白银还会跌吗?原油实时点位分析及操作解套

　　如果你对行情把握不准，不要再盲目操作导致亏损越做越大，找到孙奕臣本人一切迎刃而解。最及时的操作策略，最全面的市场宏观趋势分析，最轻松的解套，解锁攻略，都可以加本人了解。实力解单，拒绝马后炮，你来我便让你见证实力！理性和判断力是投资与建仓最基本的能力，投资最重要的不是你一次能够赚取多少，而是你能不能控制风险，落袋为安，长久的立足生存。


Spotgold，伦敦金，黄金走势分析【添加孙奕臣本人指导微信；syc475】可获取每日crude oil操作建议，黄金市场，黄金每日分析，最新策略、


Analysis of Gold Market Trend


　　消息面分析：周二（8month18Japanese goldT+DClosing up2.70%to429.67element/克，创一周新高；白银T+DClosing up4.90%to6385element/千克。日内美元指数大跌，创2018year5Since the beginning of the month27个月新低至92.4698，美元的贬值成为利多黄金的最重要因素，同时，美国大选所带来的不确定性也加剧了美元的颓势。一方面，全球疫情不确定性继续发酵，德国单日新发患者数量创4月份以来新高，而疫苗研发的进程却仍然迷雾重重，因此避险黄金买需在此推动下仍然走强。另一方面，美国民主党代表大会释放出的措辞并不令华尔街投资者感到满意，选情变数之下未来财政及经济监管政策不确定性大幅发酵，令美元和美股stock market indexfutures一同遭到抛售，从而令美元计价的贵金属价格更加水涨船高。


　　技术面分析：黄金日线上来看，黄金收长下影线十字星，上引线极短，受阻于2015On the first line, after a strong decline, it eventually regained its lost ground but did not close positive. During the day, inertia fell and repeated, and the sentiment of long and short vying rose, reaching the lowest position1980On the front line and quickly rebounded, blocked above2020This indicates that the resistance at this point is very strong. Without breaking through the resistance at this point, it is still possible to test the low point again as the main trend is empty1865On the front line and at the daily level, a double bottom is formed, forming a periodic low point and continuing to rise. In terms of technical indicators,MACDThe green energy column of the indicator is increasing and the double line is still downward, without significant depletion,RSIA higher indicator indicates a high bullish sentiment. At present, the gold price has been in the lower part of the Bollinger Belt's middle track, indicating the establishment of a weak pattern that has not reversed. The pressure on the middle track is2030On the first line, after breaking through the medium track, establish a phased bottom and take advantage of the trend to be bullish. Looking at the hourly line, the Bollinger band is contracting, and the market is at the end of triangular convergence with decreasing amplitude, indicating a demand for breaking positions,5Daily moving average and10The daily moving average winds around,60The daily moving average continuously descends and passes through the Bollinger Belt to form the upper part of the track2020Short term resistance on the front line, looking at the market, there is significant downward demand2015明显阻力难以突破，届时黄金大概率向下运行。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上孙奕臣建议高空为主，低多为辅。上方关注2020-2025One line of resistance, pay attention below1980-1975Frontline support.


Analysis of crude oil market trend


　　消息面分析：周二（8month18日）美原油小幅回落。根据OPEC+消息人士和一份草案报告显示，7monthOPEC+减产协议执行率在95%to97%之间。由于疫情导致石油需求锐减，产油国实行创纪录规模的减产，以削减全球库存。OPEC+stay8月将减产幅度从之前的97010000 barrels/Daily decrease77010000 barrels/日。同时近期美元的持续走弱提供部分支撑，因为国际油价以美元计价，美元走弱增强了非美对于原油的购买力。但是油市也面临很多的利空因素，包括炼厂利润率下滑导致的炼厂关闭潮可能导致炼厂的原油需求下滑，同时原油期货的跨期买卖逐渐朝着期货溢价的结构发展，也凸显需求复苏和库存下滑可能不及市场预期的那么强劲。总体而言，市场多空因素交杂，美原油仍总体维持在40美元上方震荡，因此市场的落脚点仍在于需求前景。尽管各国逐渐的解除限制措施提振了原油需求，但是原油需求仍总体疲软，这也是近期油市持续震荡的原因，因此市场仍在寻找需求出现明显复苏的信号。分析师预期，在2020年四季度预计才会出现供应赤字的情况，在此之前预计油价维持震荡。


Technical analysis: crude oil weekly continues to show a high crossKReporting and daily support40The pass presents an interaction of yin and yang, with the highest penetration during the week43.0The first line is under pressure and falls back, and the lower part is stepped down and explored3日均线企稳强势回升，孙奕臣认为由于底部回升后指标还未完全拐头向上，使得周线处于中性位置中震荡蓄势，日图则延续星KLine sorting, after breaking through the interval and returning to interval sorting, Bollinger Road tightly closed its mouth and still saw narrow fluctuations within the interval. From a technical perspective40The support signal near the checkpoint is obvious, and there has been no effective breakthrough in both short and long periods. However, at present, the daily level major cycle is still in a fluctuating upward rhythm, with the moving average sticking high and paying attention below the short term39.0Regional support strength, this position is in the early stage4Support area at the neck line of the hour, while touching from above42.3-43.9区域出现明显承压信号，看震荡回落，短线延续高位震荡格局节奏是关键，重点看当日的震荡波幅。综合来看，今日原油短线操作思路上孙奕臣个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注43.5-44.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below40.0-40.5一线支撑。行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略，可直接添加本人指导交流微信【syc475】本人孙奕臣将尽量为您解决一切问题。


　　多数投资者开始交易不久就进入亏损状态，交易亏损到百分之五十是很容易的事情，但是，你将百分之五十的亏损打回来就没那么容易了，因为你要将剩余资金实现百分之百的盈利，才能将之前的亏损打回，实现盈亏平衡。更重要的是，亏损之后就会开始背负沉重的心理负担，交易的首要任务变成了如何能够将亏损的资金赚回来，之后每笔交易都因不希望出现亏损而过早结束这笔交易，这种不健康的心态是交易中的最大敌人，你从此不能正确地面对亏损的交易，那你就离实现交易的盈利越来越远。


Wen/孙奕臣
​