High normal operation8.19黄金还会暴跌吗？今日行情趋势分析及操作建议

　　本文大纲:8.19Investment Internationalgoldcrude oilsilverTDHow to analyze the market situation? Today's Gold, Crude Oil, SilverTDWhat do you think when you're free?8.19How to recover losses from investing in spot gold? Gold and SilverTDHow to operate the short line? What are the current gold resistance and support levels? Novice investing in gold and silverTDHow should I make the order? Will London gold prices continue to rise today? silverTDWill it still fall? What recent news will affect gold and silverTDTrend? What is the impact of the rise and fall of the US dollar on gold? Gold, crude oil, silverTDAnalysis of today's market trend and operational suggestions, will spot gold continue to rise today? US crude oil silverTDWill it still fall? International Gold and SilverTDHow to operate today?
　　
　　《易经》向人们传递了趋吉避凶的理念，如何趋吉避凶呢？就是正确地认识宇宙的客观规律，并尊重这一客观规律，从规律中找到人与天地自然的和谐轨迹，然后化险为夷、趋吉避凶。其实投资也是如此，在投资中要充分认识到金融市场的规律，要找准自己的站位，当国际市场的大鳄们纷纷出来寻食的时候，投资者首先想到的不应该是赚钱，而是要从沼泽地中快速逃离，要避免成为鳄鱼的口中餐。
　　
　　现货黄金近期影响因素：
　　
　　金价周二剧烈震荡，现货黄金创近一周新高至2015.59dollar/盎司，不过随后大幅跳水30美元，但又迅速回升，重新站上2000dollar/盎司关口；虽然部分投资者锁定获利，但美元指数跌至两年低点，美债收益率小幅走低，令金价回落幅度有限。人们在关注美元指数，其崩溃程度相当令人担忧，我们看到黄金和白银等硬资产同步上涨，我们将回到历史高点，黄金市场进行了健康的调整，许多看跌黄金的投资者最终将逆转其押注。在危机时期，美元通常被视为避险资产，但自从美联储在新冠大流行期间干预金融市场以维持流动性以来，美元下跌。美联储的计划已将风险资产推至纪录高位，并令对避险资产的需求降低，尽管经济数据描绘了一幅美国复苏的黯淡图景。
　　
　　【现货黄金价格走势解析】
　　
　　黄金具有货币、金融、商品的三重属性，其价格变化的周期规律明显。在1984Year and2001年的黄金牛市中，对黄金价格影响最大的长周期均处于加速上升的阶段，中周期则处于顶部区域，推动价格序列以较高的速度增长。
　　
　　黄金在低位1930获得支撑后开始强势拉升，目前已经破位前高点1966一线，打破了近期的区间震荡，从技术角度来看：KDJ死叉，随机指导开始向上勾头，MACD死叉，绿色能量柱缩减，指示黄金跌势放缓，接下来黄金有望继续上涨，不过5Daily moving average underpass10日均线依然是死叉的存在，谨防高位出现回落。从黄金4小时来看：黄金破位区间延续涨势，均线成多头排列，KDJ金叉向上，指数也高于80，MACD金叉，红色能量柱扩大，指示黄金涨势得到强化，接下来有望继续上涨，上方重点关注2015关口的阻力，破位继续看2030上方，下方关注的支撑点是1970一线也是5日均线位置，所以综合分析操作上高常运建议回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅；上方关注2015One line of resistance. Follow Below1970-1962一线支撑，如果你仓位上有黄金、白银多空单的朋友可以关注高常运，行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略及解套策略，可直接添加本人一对一指导交流微信【gcy8527】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.
　　
　　原油近期影响因素：
　　
Tuesday(8month18day)，美油跌近1%，本月OPEC+增产、美国上周API库存大增令油价承压；石油输出国组织(OPEC)And its allies8月将减产幅度从此前的97010000 barrels/Daily decrease77010000 barrels/Day;OPEC+将于周三召开部长级委员会会议。预计OPEC+会传达他们要求所有成员国严格遵守协议的要求，并为迄今为止措施的成功而欢呼。尽管如此，肆虐了数月的冠状病毒大流行并没有减弱的迹象。据高常运了解，对新冠的担忧犹在，对国会未能就刺激方案达成协议的担忧也挥之不去。
　　
Beijing Time8month19In the early morning of the day, the American Petroleum Institute(API)According to published data, as of8month14Day and WeekAPIReduction in crude oil inventory426.4Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease200Ten thousand barrels; Increase in gasoline inventory499.1Ten thousand barrels; Reduced inventory of refined oil96.4Ten thousand barrels; After the data was released, the US oil company quickly declined in the short term and closed the report42.55dollar/Barrel, decline0.79%。
　　
　　【原油价格走势解析】
　　
　　日线上看，隔日原油自中轨附近支撑展开上涨，并在触及上轨后受阻回落，延续之前走势，收得带上影线的中阳，日线上，今日原油徘徊于上轨及5日均线之中，有望冲击43.485前期高点，但顶部依然存在压力，继续震荡的可能性依旧较大；4小时上看，隔日原油短线刺破下轨后展开震荡上行回升，并在刺破上轨后小幅回落，但仍运行于5日均线之上，当前布林带处于开口期，MAThe moving average moves out of the double golden cross,KDJThe three lines of random indicators are downward,MACD指标红色动能柱持续放量，快慢线平行向前，综合来看，原油目前处于回落需求，但仍有上行趋势，但顶部前期高点依旧存在于压力，操作上高常运/官微【gcy8527】建议高空低多进行布局，上方关注44.6-43.5One line of resistance, pay attention below41.5-41Frontline support.
　　
How to quickly unwind the investment in gold and crude oil?
　　
　　（1）Lock in position and price difference method: After being covered, it indicates that our judgment direction is wrong. The market and our prices in the opposite direction are moving, and when they rebound or fall to a certain height, it is estimated that they will reach a short-term high. We need to continuously increase the funds in the lock in position to ensure that the lock in position is greater than the position in the lock in position. By using this technique of taking advantage of the situation to increase the price difference earned by locking orders, and finally waiting for the total funds to make up for the loss, completing the removal of the bedding and making a profit, and then selling all of it?
　　
　　（2）Bottom adding method: After being covered, one should be patient and dare to lock in the position, because of the characteristics of the product, some prices and bottom signals may appear, especially in large cycles such as the weekly chartKWhen there is a rebound signal or a bottom signal on the line, it will be very stable. As long as there is a bottom signal in the large cycle, it is necessary to boldly unwind, buy continuously on dips, increase positions, and once the large cycle rebounds, it can be resolved.
　　
　　（3）Lowering the average price method: After being trapped, if you are trapped at a relatively low point in history, there is no need to worry, as there is bound to be room for rebound. At this time, you need to constantly buy on dips and increase positions to buy on dips15%的空间加仓一次，降低平均的价格，这样等黄金原油产生一波反弹，就可解出局。这种技巧也有人称它为金字塔法。
　　
　　（4）Single stop loss method: When you feel that your direction and trend are wrong and there are really no opportunities left, choose a certain rebound space for single stop loss. The gold market is very large on one side, especially when the opposite direction of high or low orders is trapped, you need to make a decisive single stop loss. Single stop loss is the most effective solution technique, because you can redo the order and ensure the principal.
　　
　　高常运今日寄语：所以我常常给予投资者的不是多么高明的方法论，而是苦口婆心地告知投资者们风险在哪里，投资市场难道不是避过风雨才能见到彩虹吗？因此我给贵金属投资者近期的建议是：以静制动，尽量减少操作，不与沼泽与鳄鱼为伍。
　　This article is written by Gao Changyun (official WeChat account:gcy8527）Exclusive and original by an analyst. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online posts, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting