孙奕臣；8.18黄金原油晚间最新操作建议

Trading always brings happiness when approaching profitability, but worries about gains and losses when making profits. For trend investors: the market is always right, it depends on whether you can grasp it. For value investors: the market is all wrong, it depends on whether you can detect it. Judging right from wrong is not important, what matters is how much profit one gains when correct and how much loss one loses when wrong.


　　goldLatest Market Analysis


　　周二亚市早盘，金银延续上一交易日强势走势，美元继续走软，截止发稿，金价又一波急涨刺破1997USD,2000美元已经近在咫尺。刚刚公布的澳联储决议偏鸽派，支撑了金价上涨。与此同时，周二亚市早盘，贵金属板块全面走强，板块内赤峰黄金涨逾7%，盛达资源涨逾4%，紫金矿业、中金黄金等涨逾3%. stay6月底的议息会议上，土耳其央行终于暂停降息，在通胀前景恶化和投资者回报率下降的情况下，此举出人意料地让市场松了一口气，但加息似乎还远不在议程之上。汇率波动的传导性极强，不管是土耳其里拉还是阿根廷比索，任何一个国家法定货币的崩溃都有可能在国际汇市上掀起惊涛骇浪，并通过金融体系进一步传导。由此来看，黄金作为避险资产，需求仍有可能进一步爆发。


　　黄金从日线来看，黄金在低位1930获得支撑后开始强势拉升，目前已经破位前高点1966一线，打破了近期的区间震荡，从技术角度来看：KDJ死叉，随机指导开始向上勾头，MACD死叉，绿色能量柱缩减，指示黄金跌势放缓，接下来黄金有望继续上涨，不过5Daily moving average underpass10日均线依然是死叉的存在，谨防高位出现回落。黄金从4小时来看，黄金破位区间延续涨势，均线成多头排列，KDJ金叉向上，指数也高于80，MACD金叉，红色能量柱扩大，指示黄金涨势得到强化，接下来有望继续上涨，目前已经强势破位2000关口的阻力，破位继续看2030上方，下方关注的支撑点是1965一线也是5日均线位置。综合来看，黄金今日短线操作思路上孙奕臣个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注2016-2020Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1990-1985一线支撑。行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略，可直接添加本人指导交流微信【syc475】本人孙奕臣将尽量为您解决一切问题。


　　crude oilLatest Market Analysis


　　原油延续近期窄幅震荡走势，波幅受限，因市场多空消息拉锯仍在延续。短线来看，横盘行情可能还会持续几周。重点留意周三的OPEC+联合部长级会议，由于从8月开始各产油国放松产量限制，但是疫情反弹和全球经济下行风险高企，市场寄希望OPEC+能够采取其他措施来防止供应过剩局面再度发生。另一方面，虽然全球疫情继续出现缓和苗头，投资者却对疫苗研发前景仍然顾虑有加，并且消息显示航空业前景面临进一步恶化，这都令原油需求端也疑云笼罩，因而，近期油价也缺少持续走强进一步上行的动能。


　　原油技术分析来看：原油周线继续以高位十字KReporting and daily support40The pass presents an interaction of yin and yang, with the highest penetration during the week43.0The first line is under pressure and falls back, and the lower part is stepped down and explored3The daily moving average has stabilized and rebounded strongly. Due to the fact that the indicator has not fully turned upwards after the bottom rebounded, the weekly chart is in a neutral position and is expected to fluctuate and accumulate momentum. The daily chart continues with a star chartKLine sorting, after breaking through the interval and returning to interval sorting, Bollinger Road tightly closed its mouth and still saw narrow fluctuations within the interval. From a technical perspective40The support signal near the checkpoint is obvious, and there has been no effective breakthrough in both short and long periods. However, at present, the daily level major cycle is still in a fluctuating upward rhythm, with the moving average sticking high and paying attention below the short term39.0Regional support strength, this position is in the early stage4Support area at the neck line of the hour, while touching from above43.9区域出现明显承压信号，看震荡回落，短线延续高位震荡格局节奏是关键，重点看当日的震荡波幅。综合来看，原油今日短线操作短线思路上孙奕臣个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注43.5-44.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below42.0-41.5一线支撑。行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略，可直接添加本人指导交流微信【syc475】本人孙奕臣将尽量为您解决一切问题。


　　对于普通投资者来说，大部分时间应该以观望为主，耐心等待最好的机会出手，避免频繁交易是公认的致胜秘籍之一。不要企图抓住全部的波动，也不要奢望把握每一段行情。判断行情，只是做交易的一个部分而已，投资者还需要对市场有敬畏之心，牢记交易纪律，同时对仓位做严格的把控，减少贪婪，克服恐惧，尽量保持一个平常心做交易。


Wen/孙奕臣
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