Zhang Jucheng;8·17Analysis of the layout trend of gold prediction and strategic suggestions. Suggestions for opening operations, with crude oil operation strategy attached.

The first button was wrong, but you didn't realize it until the last one. Some things are wrong at the beginning, but they only have to be admitted in the end. It's like1451reach2075The rise of strength leads to strength all the way, but if you don't carefully view it as weak, you will be completely wrong. Trading will not lower your standards due to your tears, and trends will not give you everything you want due to your fragility. No one cares about your downfall, no one loves your tears. Others only care about your abilities, whether you will succeed or not.(See contact information at the end of the article)

　　

　　goldThis week, gold prices experienced a significant retreat and peaked at a high point last week2075Afterwards, it began to decline and fall back, with consecutive intraday dips2000and1900Lowest touch of the level1860On the first line, however, the overall decline did not continue, and prices rebounded after bottoming out at the end of the week. In the short term, the continuous trend of retreat was temporarily contained and returned1900Above; Before this wave of retreat, gold7The month ushered in a new round of unilateral rise. After the continuous weak fluctuations in the early stage, a unilateral outbreak was uncontrollable. In fact, as early as the dormant period in May and June, it had already laid the groundwork for this rise. After the continuous fluctuations, there is a high probability that the trend will continue. When the price has not broken the bottom support of the range in the previous period, once it breaks through the resistance level above the stabilization, it is the beginning of a unilateral outbreak; Overall, there were not many surprises, and the epidemic did not slow down. In addition, various disasters have caused the global economy to remain sluggish, so gold, as a good safe haven asset, will usher in a new peak in this situation, and this peak is expected to continue in the near future.
　　
Let's analyze the recent trend again. Gold saw a pullback at the end of last week and the beginning of this week, and it plummeted during Tuesday's session130There are still some points left, but after bottoming out and rebounding on Wednesday, a positive cross star was recorded, and the high sun continued on Thursday, and the price also returned1900Above the checkpoint, there is a rising star pattern in the daily structure. Although prices are under pressure the next day, in the short term, this wave of short-term pullback has converged and is plummeting200The reason why we still treat it as a pullback adjustment after the remaining points is because the continuity of the decline is not strong. Although the magnitude is large, the occurrence of a rebound after the pullback does not constitute a reversal condition. Therefore, we should not blindly confirm the structural reversal after reaching the peak in this round of decline. If we adjust, there is still a possibility of a rebound continuing the upward trend in the future.
　　
There is no doubt that the overall trend remains bullish and unchanged. After the sharp rise, there have been more than one large-scale pullback this year, and whether it is the weekly or daily trend, the overall trend is still maintaining the upward trend. The primary focus for the short term next week is to focus on1950The stability of this position and1990The resistance level is suppressed, and if the price can effectively stabilize at the beginning of the week1950If so, the short line will be tested upwards1990Stable1990Then it can be confirmed that there is a secondary increase; Below, focus on1900The support of the checkpoint does not break through the oscillation, and if it falls below, we will see the strength of the exploration.

　　

　　crude oilCompared to the surging waves of gold, crude oil is much calmer. However, from the daily chart, the overall trend of crude oil shows a fluctuating and upward trend, with low points slowly rising and high resistance constantly seeking breakthroughs. Overall, the oil price has been relatively stable, so we will pay attention to it from the top next week43.3The resistance suppression situation at this position is expected to maintain the current volatile trend of oil prices in the short term, while the overall trend continues to be bullish.
　　This article is provided by Zhang Jucheng. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Zhang Jucheng unloads online, returns losses, and provides one-on-one real-time guidance on WeChat:zjc8393  Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.