Zhang Jucheng;8·15黄金下周走势策略分析，原油操作策略建议。钜诚实时在线指导解套。

Don't always think that the market has let you down. In this market, no one lives easier than anyone else. Trading is simple but charming;Often, many market trends are like this, and when you deliberately pursue them, they will run very fast;When you abandon superficial mundane thoughts, focus on executing every market trend for strategy and planning, some profits can be easily obtained. Wherever your attention is, the results are there. The more you express, the less you lack. When your mindset and execution continue to improve, money is just a gift. Attitude determines hardship and joy, concept determines success and failure, and the simpler a person is, the more peaceful their trading becomes. Many times, you would rather be killed in battle against the tide than reflect on yourself. A drop of ink can stain a glass of water, but it is difficult to muddy a river because a generous heart can accommodate it;One sentence can ruin a temporary mood, but it is difficult to determine a person's life, because fate is in one's own hands;An accident can make your footsteps heavy and difficult to erode your persistent pursuit, because you are "alive" in the market, and because you are strong, the road is ahead. Don't easily stop walking.(See contact information at the end of the article)

　　

　　goldMarket trend analysis

　　

　　黄金行情解读：周五（8month14Japanese goldT+DClosing up0.84%to416.42element/Gram; silverT+DClosing up2.56%to6078element/千克。美元指数依旧弱势，黄金在此前多头获利了结之后，再度陷入多空博弈中。张钜诚认为长期内美元将走软，原因为美联储已经转移到零利率政策，由于病毒的影响，美国经济增长的表现可能不及其他主要经济体，不确定性上升，不断增加的美国预算赤字将需要外国资本融资；美联储已表示在可预见的未来，将把利率维持在接近零水平。欧元区第二季度季调后GDP符合预期，但欧元区第二季度季调后就业人数季率录得-2.8%, creating1995年有记录以来新低。美国劳动力市场的压力略有减轻，但随着失业补助到期，这一降幅也支撑了美国失业救济可能进一步收紧。目前贵金属价格或仍暂时陷于震荡格局之中，但由于目前低利率以及大力度的量化宽松政策导向依然不会轻易改变，故此未来贵金属走势依然相对可期。

　　

　　黄金技术面：黄金昨日白盘在1942一线承压后，金价一直维持在该位置下方震荡，在美盘时段下调触及1920一线，随后突破1950一线压力最高触及1965附近，上涨幅度45美金，目前已有所回落。从当前趋势来看，目前处于大跌后的修正阶段，昨日经过一番激励的多空争夺后，波动行情多空超150美金的大波动，最终微涨，录得一根阳十字星，这整体对今日的黄金价格较为有利，但多头方面还需进一步确认，因为1965and1975的承压，上破这两个关口后才有望回到牛市中，MACD绿色能量柱缩量，快慢线于超买区死叉，KDJThree line dead cross diffusion,J线于超卖区拐头向上，整体日线上金价偏多，从4小时来看，昨日下方一根大阳反弹，实现了一阳包二阴，同时也终结了4小时中的7连阴，但上方也止步于1965，没有继续上攻，今日金价围绕1945徘徊，止步上MACD绿色能量柱缩量，快慢线于超卖区拐头，KDJ三线金叉扩散，金价震荡。综合来看，黄金短线操作思路上张钜诚徽芯zjc8393建议高空为主，低多为辅。上方关注1990-1995One line of resistance, pay attention below1910-1900Frontline support.

　　

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis

　　

　　原油行情解读：周五（8month14The price of crude oil in Shanghai fell. Main contract2009To282.3element/Bucket closing, down1.4Yuan, with a decrease of0.49%。国际能源署和OPEC本周都下调了原油需求预期，同时消息称俄罗斯能源部长诺瓦克认为下周将举行的OPEC+联合部长级监督委员会会议不会修改和调整减产协议，这限制油价进一步上涨的空间。同时美国刺激方案陷入僵局也打击了市场的乐观情绪。8month18dayOPEC+将举行会议，届时将对油市作出评估。国际能源署(IEA)Downregulation2020年石油需求预估，警告称病毒疫情导致航空旅行减少，将使今年的全球石油需求减少81010000 barrels/日。石油输出国组织(OPEC)在月度报告中表示，今年全球石油需求将下降90610000 barrels/The predicted decrease a month ago is89510000 barrels/日。总体而言，无论是OPEC月报还是IEA的消息，似乎都没有对石油市场产生太大影响，油市仍主要关注风险偏好的持续增强，对美国援助计划缺乏进展也不太在意。根据俄罗斯多家新闻机构周四报导，俄罗斯能源部长诺瓦克认为由于油市已经稳定下来，本月稍后将举行的OPEC+Joint Ministerial Supervisory Committee(JMMC)会议不会就减产做出任何“变动很大的”决定。

　　

On the technical side of crude oil: Looking at the daily crude oil level, the Bollinger Bands are slightly upward in contraction,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average runs to the right with stickiness, and the long period moving average runs with multiple heads arranged below to form support,KThe line intersects between the upper tracks in Bolin,MACDThe fast and slow lines are located above the zero axis and run smoothly,KDJThe third line shows a gentle upward trend with a narrow golden fork, and the overall performance of the daily chart market is volatile and bullish; Crude oil in38.7After the position was supported, there was a wave of rise, with the highest43.5The position was obstructed and subsequently retreated, giving rise to a percentage increase in this wave50Retreat position41.0The position stops falling, further demonstrating the willingness of crude oil bulls to rise, if the oil price holds41-41.5位置支撑，大概率油价有望出现进一步上探的概率。综合来看，原油短线操作思路上张钜诚个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注43.5-44.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below40.0-40.5Frontline support.

　　

This article is provided by Zhang Jucheng. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Zhang Jucheng unloads online, returns losses, and provides one-on-one real-time guidance on WeChat:zjc8393  Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.