郝承斌：黄金震荡不休，开启窄幅整理或将继续上行？

    goldTechnical analysis:


    8month12day(Wednesday)金价反弹，再度呈现狂野走势；在周二创下七年来最大单日跌幅后，现货黄金一度下跌2.6%，刷新近三周低点至1863，后急剧反弹，最高触及1949，因黯淡的经济数据突显出市场对大流行病引发的经济放缓的担忧。在连番过山车行情，金价曾于上周五创下纪录新高，后又跌破了每盎司1900美元。面对如此剧烈波动的行情，投资者对黄金后市走向看法有所分歧。继今年以来飙升逾30%之后，随着美国债券收益率走高，黄金的涨势突然停止。但是在全球持续宽松以及经济下行的背景下，市场又缺乏足够的理由；许多黄金交易商都在“寻找锁定利润的借口”，而周二俄疫苗获得批准后找到了抛售黄金的理由，这使得黄金遭遇大幅的抛售，同时美元在持续走低创出逾两年低位后有所企稳，此外作为黄金重要推动因素的黄金ETF持仓近期出现一些抛售，近几个交易日累计下降10吨，尽管总量不大，但是为3月以来最大的抛售力度，凸显市场对于持有黄金兴趣下降，不过，仍需要留意逢低买盘的支撑情况。


    黄金昨日迎来快速破位探底回升修复，早间开盘延续空头弱势下行快速下破1900Integer level, ultimately down to1860Regional stabilization, volatility, and rebound, with prices rebounding continuously in the afternoon and breaking through the early decline opening1900一线，亚欧盘迎来震荡上行回升，欧盘价格快速冲高触及1949The first line is under pressure and the price is rapidly declining1920The checkpoint stabilized and fluctuated repeatedly, ultimately causing prices to run at night1920-1950Interval cyclical fluctuations, early morning prices once again constrained1950关口阻力出现连续性回撤下破1920First line, stabilizing before the closing of the morning1907附近震荡收盘，日线以震荡十字KReported that after experiencing a significant decline in volume the previous day, the overall recovery was mainly in a volatile state yesterday,1900下方短线支撑较强，日线上看，布林带三轨朝上运行，MA5Under the moving averageMA10The moving average runs in a dead cross downward direction,KLine intersection between tracks in BolinMA20Near the moving average,MACDThe fast and slow lines show a dead cross and gradually release green kinetic energy downwards,KDJThe three-line dead cross runs upwards and diverges, but the overall market is still operating in a downward trend;4On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Belt runs downward with three tracks,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average crosses the golden cross upwards,KLine intersection between Bolin lower tracksMA5Near the moving average,MACDThe fast and slow lines appear as a dead cross, with green kinetic energy showing a decrease,KDJ三线呈金叉向上运行，金价短线有一定的上行势能，日内短期操作上建议可以低多为主。


    短期策略分享：


    1927Nearby, stop loss5USD, look up1935-1940。


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