Liang Qiandong8.13午夜现货黄金、期货原油走势分析附解套

Life is always about making choices and waiting for results. The road cannot always be smooth, there will always be obstacles, mediocrity is not the goal that everyone pursues. The investment market is also the same, it cannot be smooth sailing, and windfall profits are everyone's dream, but there are always various temptations and traps along the way. Accustomed to unilateral behavior, one is always stifled by shocks and washes, which is the law of the market. In the face of life, we are making choices. We can't make a detour, we can't make a river, we always have to resort to other methods. And the market, too, should not blindly pursue operation. Some markets may see profits, but they may not necessarily be able to earn profits.
　
International SpotgoldMarket analysis:
　　
　　8month12日，现货黄金创三周新低至1863附近，目前最高回升1949美元，黄金过快的涨势使得黄金陷入严重的超买，从技术面上看黄金亟需进行回调，但是在全球持续宽松以及经济下行的背景下，市场又缺乏足够的理由；许多黄金交易商都在“寻找锁定利润的借口”，而周二俄罗斯冠状病毒疫苗获得批准后找到了抛售黄金的理由，这使得黄金遭遇大幅的抛售，同时美元在持续走低创出逾两年低位后有所企稳，此外作为黄金重要推动因素的黄金ETF持仓近期出现一些抛售，近几个交易日累计下降10吨，尽管总量不大，但是为3月以来最大的抛售力度，凸显市场对于持有黄金兴趣下降。不过，仍需要留意逢低买盘的支撑情况。
　　
　　黄金从日线上来看，昨日日线大幅跳水，日线收成实体大阴线且收在低位，暗示弱势仍将延续，指标上MACD死叉、绿柱能量增加，KDJDead cross, index at60附近，从技术面看，黄金短线同样有下行风险。下方首先关注1862早间回落低点支撑，一旦跌破，黄金将会试探布林带下轨1780。反之，上方还是先看中轨1935关口，进一步看MA5/10Daily moving average adhesion point1993。四小时来看，早间金价延续昨日跌势继续下行，跌破布林带下轨至1862，随后一根大阳柱反弹近80美金，但仍承压于MA10Below the moving average,KDJ三线开口向上，但是MACD仍死叉，绿柱能量强劲，短期均线也死叉向下发散，所以黄金短线有下行风险。今日依托MA10、MA20average1955/1993阻力看空！综合来看操作思路上梁乾东个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1955-1960Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1925-1920Frontline support
　　
Internationalcrude oilLatest Market Analysis
　　
Wednesday Beijing time(8month12day)In the early morning, the American Petroleum Institute(API)According to published data, as of8month7Day and WeekAPIReduction in crude oil inventory401.1Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease320Ten thousand barrels; Reduced gasoline inventory121Ten thousand barrels; Reduced inventory of refined oil294.9Ten thousand barrels; After the data was released, the US oil company quickly rose in the short term and closed the report41.61dollar/Barrel, decline narrowed to0.79%. Market expectations for the United StatesAPICrude oil inventories have fallen for the third consecutive week, with actual reported declines exceeding expectations. Prior to the release of the data, Meiyou was hovering around41.50美元左右，并在公布后温和上涨。梁乾东认为，石油不能忽略贵金属的大幅修正。梁乾东认为，欧佩克内部仍然存在悬而未决的状况，还有大量的闲置产能。
　　
　　原油日线级别收线中阴线，高点破前高，低价没有破新低，出现了区间宽幅震荡，没有延续原油收阳线延续走高，而是继续维持区间震荡中。近期原油表现可以看出，原油就是维持一个窄幅震荡中，若进一步上破后有望出现新一波趋势行情，原油在四小时级别上看，原油一直延续在6month25日，原油触及37.2位置得到支撑后上涨的趋势线上方，若后市回撤继续守住在该位置支撑，大概率原油将出现延续上涨概率，就原油上方阻力位首先需要考验43.9Horizontal position resistance, further upbreak will test45.0美元阻力；若原油下行支撑位，首先需要关注39.5Position support, and then further testing38.0水平位置支撑。所以综合分析操作上梁乾东建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方关注43.2-43.5One line of resistance, pay attention below41-41.5Frontline support.
　　
Qian Dong's message: For friends who want to learn about spot knowledge, I strongly agree. I personally believe that investment friends should improve their abilities during the investment process, use their technical knowledge to analyze and operate, and enjoy it, falling in love with this investment rather than fear. Fear is due to lack of strength and judgment. I quite admire those who gradually learn and master commonly used technical indicators (moving averagesMACD、KDJCombining fundamentals to analyze market trends and specific operating points, gradually improving one's comprehensive analysis ability and exercising one's mentality. Gradually grow up, after all, investing is a long-term process. So I, Liang Qiandong, and my investment friends also follow this principle: teaching fish is better than teaching it to fish. I will teach you to start from the most basic.
　　　　本文由梁乾东供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，解析全球大众商品、贵金属、现货黄金、futures原油等投资大趋势，对黄金、原油、foreign exchange有深入的研究，由于网络推送延迟性，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，仅供参考，风险自担，转载请注明出处。