黄金原油本周空头，下周能否绝地反击？梁乾东8.8周一走势预测附解套

Life is always about making choices and waiting for results. The road cannot always be smooth, there will always be obstacles, mediocrity is not the goal that everyone pursues. The investment market is also the same, it cannot be smooth sailing, and windfall profits are everyone's dream, but there are always various temptations and traps along the way. Accustomed to unilateral behavior, one is always stifled by shocks and washes, which is the law of the market. In the face of life, we are making choices. We can't make a detour, we can't make a river, we always have to resort to other methods. And the market, too, should not blindly pursue operation. Some markets may see profits, but they may not necessarily be able to earn profits.

Spotgold、伦敦金最新行情解读：
　　
Message: Friday（8month7日）现货黄金最高至2075.47；黄金上行动能依旧强劲，早盘一度触及2075，但随着更多全球贸易摩擦的消息出现，一度跌至2047附近，回落近30美元，亚洲股市大跌，分析师指出，如果股市下跌，这次黄金可能会承压。而美元回升至93上方，黄金短期吸引力有所降温，多头可能选择获利平仓，而进一步观察黄金的基本面和动能情况，此外，关注晚间的美国非农数据，如果数据不佳，黄金可能获得有限的支撑。由于债券实际收益率跌至负值，ETF投资者大量涌入、美元走软以及全球经济的不确定性，今年金价大涨了36％。预计各国政府和央行进一步推出刺激措施将使债券收益率保持低位，并使金价保持高位。最关键的，不是有没有新的利多因素出现，而是能影响金价走势的下行因素还没有出现。但这样的涨幅令人担忧，因为这使得黄金市场可能会回落盘整，之后才有真正的突破。
　　
　　技术面：黄金昨日延续破高收高。延续周初慢涨逼空走走法，伴随一步一回头的震荡上扬，过程迂回向上。昨晚触及2070附近承压回测2049一线启稳.黄金本周持续性上涨，很显然，多头的趋势没有结束，即使短线下跌，也仅仅是调整，而经过目前这种极强大涨，即使短线快速下跌调整，也是最好的多头上车机会，而不是追空或做空，这一点强调了很多遍。4小时短线而言，都是顺势做多为主，日内操作上，分两步去走，第一，按照目前的节奏，盘中只有小回踩，没有大调整，所以，要多，就只能在盘中的短周期找拐点直接跟进，早盘出现一波小幅度跳水，最低测试2049一线，依然是回调后上涨。综合来看，下周一短线操作思路上梁乾东个人建议以回调做多为主，上方短期重点关注2055-2060Frontline resistance, short-term focus below2020-2015Frontline support.
　　
　　futurescrude oil、美原油最新行情解读；
　　
　　消息面；周五(8month7day)，国际油价继续承压，市场担忧新冠疫情反弹将放缓能源需求复苏，而且美国的新刺激方案仍然停滞不前，大多数地区的实货原油疲软和炼厂利润率低迷打压了价格。但梁乾东认为沙特和伊拉克两国强调，两国充分致力于OPEC+减产协议的执行，这限制了油价跌幅。不过这两大原油期货价格本周上涨逾3%，有望创下7month3日当周以来的最大单周涨幅，受益于美元指数大幅走软，美指最近四周下跌逾6%。新冠感染病例反弹仍是油市面临的主要问题，梁乾东认为，美国科罗拉多、俄亥俄和弗吉尼亚等州的新增病例不断增加。因为疫情变化将决定燃料需求反弹的速度。
　　
　　技术面；原油继续回归区间震荡，突破42.5After failing to stabilize above this level, the previous range has not been effectively broken through, and the daily line still falls back to the inner oscillation of the Bollinger track. CurrentlyK线形态较为混乱，冲高后回调的得空间比较大，短线多头持续性不足，仍有点震荡的迹象，只是区间稍微上移了一些，目前留意多空延续，看能否再次收复失地。目前原油油价反复拉锯震荡当中，梁乾东4小时来看，布林带三轨朝上运行，MA5Under the moving averageMA10Moving average cross dead cross downward,KTransit between tracks in BolinMA5MA20Between moving averages,MACDThe initial intersection of the fast and slow lines has a dead cross, and the downward green kinetic energy is emerging,KD三线呈死叉继续向下发散运行，油价短线表现震荡偏强形态，所以综合分析操作思路上梁乾东个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方关注42.5-43.0One line of resistance, pay attention below40.5-40.0Frontline support.
　　
Qian Dong's message: For friends who want to learn about spot knowledge, I strongly agree. I personally believe that investment friends should improve their abilities during the investment process, use their technical knowledge to analyze and operate, and enjoy it, falling in love with this investment rather than fear. Fear is due to lack of strength and judgment. I quite admire those who gradually learn and master commonly used technical indicators (moving averagesMACD、KDJCombining fundamentals to analyze market trends and specific operating points, gradually improving one's comprehensive analysis ability and exercising one's mentality. Gradually grow up, after all, investing is a long-term process. So I, Liang Qiandong, and my investment friends also follow this principle: teaching fish is better than teaching it to fish. I will teach you to start from the most basic.
　　　　本文由梁乾东供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，解析全球大众商品、贵金属、现货黄金、期货原油等投资大趋势，对黄金、原油、foreign exchange有深入的研究，由于网络推送延迟性，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，仅供参考，风险自担，转载请注明出处。