Fan Chenjie: 8.7黄金接连新高预防洗盘非农怎样布局，原油黄金晚间走势分析

    现在是投资行业兴起的时代，相信投资者也在迷茫之中。比如投资什么品种，选什么平台，放多少资金，资金安不安全，能不能获利等等疑问当中，蒋哲浩近几年以来看到过太多客户的经历，有一年翻几倍的，有一个月就损失一半的等等什么样的都有。我不会选择去改变什么，也改变不了什么，市场就是这样，我能做的就是让自己更努力些，坚持做好自己的交易，不愧对客户对我的信任。给你保证的太多，得到的又是相差万里，人与人之间的信任就这样慢慢丧失，我要做的并不是一次性的交易，更希望长久共赢的良好关系。
    Message interpretation:
    gold面，周三小非农让市场大失所望，但昨晚公布的另外几项就业数据就传递了复杂和矛盾的信号。一方面，美国至8month1Record of initial claims for unemployment benefits for the current week118。6Ten thousand people, creating3month14Recently, it has reached a new low. From the United States to7month25Record of the number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the current week1610。7Ten thousand people, creating4month11Recently, it has reached a new low. On the other hand, the United States7The number of layoffs in the monthly challenger company also confirms this point. This data is26。2649Ten thousand people, the third highest level on record. Analysis indicates that although the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the United States has decreased, it is still at a relatively high level. This indicates that the labor market is still at a standstill due to the rebound of the epidemic. Among them, some severe areas in the western and southern United States have experienced a wave of business stoppages, such as Oklahoma, Montana, and Missouri17州感染率仍大幅上升。
    对于近期持续走软的美元，恐怕连非农也无法逆转其颓势。毕竟6The revised number of non farm workers in the month is480However, this data can only temporarily delay the decline of the US dollar and has not been able to reverse it. If the non agricultural data released this time falls short of expectations, it may further exacerbate the downward trend of the US dollar and support the rise of gold and silver.
    crude oil面，原油面，原油的表现就没有那么亮眼了，整体偏向震荡，周三（8month5日）突破了42。50美元的高点至43。49美元的位置，但最终未能站稳，重回此前的震荡区间。目前原油的基本面变化主要集中在需求方面，因近期疫情在全球形势仍旧严峻，对原油需求的担忧挥之不去。这也是近期限制油价上涨的最重要因素。
    另外，伊拉克计划减产提振了油价，据相关报道，伊拉克将在8月额外减产约4010000 barrels/日，以补偿之前未达标的部分，从而完成OPEC减产协议规定的额度，这将利好油价。综合来看，原油近期需求担忧的情绪限制原油的涨幅，与美股走势的密切度依然很高。
    Gold Technology Analysis:
    黄金本周持续性上涨，很显然，多头的趋势没有结束，即使短线下跌，也仅仅是调整，而经过目前这种极强大涨，即使短线快速下跌调整，也是最好的多头上车机会，而不是追空或做空，这一点强调了很多遍。短线而言，都是顺势做多为主，日内操作上，分两步去走，第一，按照目前的节奏，盘中只有小回踩，没有大调整，所以，要多，就只能在盘中的短周期找拐点直接跟进，早盘出现一波小幅度跳水，最低测试2049一线，今天很显然，将悬念留给了非农，但预计总体上非农对黄金本身趋势的影响力极为有限，所以，早盘跳水，仅仅只能看做是调整，而一旦下午持续企稳2049上方，还是多头格局。
    那么晚间非农如何布局呢？
    若晚间非农数据利空跌破2049，也是看做调整。目前的操作思路上，一旦非农出现大幅度下跌，还是多单上车机会的思路不变。具体操作上，关注回踩2040一线支撑得失，触及企稳短线仍然可多，小止损，以跌破2035为止损即可，继续博非农上升。另一种情况，若非农继续暴跌，直接跌破2000附近，企稳依旧择机多单进场，具体位置看盘中的力度和幅度再决定，总之，一旦出现调整，企稳二次多的思路不变。
    做空方面，日内不排除出现洗盘暴跌的可能性，但这个是纯投机行为，即使盘中做了空单投机成功，也仅仅是快进快出为主，一旦跌幅达到一定幅度，就要及时离场，因为任何快速的行情，都不具备延续性。日内如果白盘长时间震荡不破高的情况下，欧美盘2065——2070区域内可尝试博一次空单，就是博今天主力会反杀多头暴跌，目标看30美金左右。此策略同样适合非农。所以日内操作上樊辰杰建议回撤做多为主，高空为辅。
    Technical analysis of crude oil:
    原油昨日先抑后扬继续探底回升震荡运行，早间开盘42。1Limited by a small surge on the front line42。4The region has rapidly declined, and prices have continued to decline in the afternoon41。6Nearby stabilizing, fluctuating and rebounding, with the evening hour line breaking through the morning opening with a continuous positive trend42。4Continuing to rise on the front line, eventually encountering obstacles42。6The region fell back and operated again before closing42Near the checkpoint, there are repeated oscillations, and the daily line is closing at the oscillating crossKPrices continue to stabilize41。5Running above the checkpoint, the bull pattern remains intact, and the daily level is continuous3After a strong daily fluctuation and upward trend, there was bearish fatigue,43There is a certain deviation pattern above the checkpoint, and short-term prices are expected to enter a narrow range of fluctuations again. Yesterday evening, prices did not break through overnight43Barrier resistance, but relying on41。5brace42。6Resistance fluctuates back and forth, and currently, it is normal for prices to continue to fluctuate within this range in the short term. Trading time for space will be the norm, with the three tracks of the daily chart moving upwards,MA5On the moving averageMA10The moving average crosses the golden cross upwards,KTransit between tracks in BolinMA5Above the moving average,MACDThe speed line is located above the zero axis and runs in a dead cross to the right. The green kinetic energy gradually decreases,KDJThe third line diverges upwards with a golden cross, and the overall performance of the daily chart market is somewhat strong;
    4On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Belt runs three tracks upwards,MA5Under the moving averageMA10Moving average cross dead cross downward,KTransit between tracks in BolinMA5\MA20Between moving averages,MACDThe initial intersection of the fast and slow lines has a dead cross, and the downward green kinetic energy is emerging,KD三线呈死叉继续向下发散运行，油价短线表现震荡偏强形态，日内操作上樊辰杰建议回落低多为主！短线上方关注42。5-43。5First line pressure, following below41。5-41。0Frontline support.
    每天朋友圈会更新趋势分析和操作思路，需要考察实力的可以去看，需要看建议的自行去看就可以了，非本人实盘客户本人提供方向和大的预期，又不收费，你考虑好了就跟实盘操作，觉得我帮不了你或者你有疑问你就再继续考察，免得耽误大家彼此的时间，毕竟时间是宝贵的，不是用来浪费的。
    以上文章由金融分析师樊辰杰独家编撰，更多黄金原油投资经验，交易操作策略，详情消息面技术面解读，提醒建仓点位以及平仓点位，樊辰杰老师在线指导！
    writing/Fan Chenjie 指导微（fcj66886688）