Chen Zhaoxi8.7黄金原油非农收官看涨看跌？日内行情分析及操作

　　陈召锡文章摘要：8.7Investment Internationalgoldcrude oilsilverTDHow to analyze the market situation?8.7Today's Gold, Crude Oil, SilverTDWhat do you think when you're free?2020.8.7How to recover losses from investing in spot gold?8.7Gold and SilverTDHow to operate the short line? What are the current gold resistance and support levels?8.7Novice investing in gold and silverTDHow should I make the order? Will London gold prices continue to rise today? silverTDWill it still fall?8.7What recent news will affect gold and silverTDTrend? What is the impact of the rise and fall of the US dollar on gold?8.7Gold, crude oil, silverTDAnalysis of today's market trend and operational suggestions8.7Will spot gold continue to rise today? US crude oil silverTDWill it still fall? International Gold and SilverTDHow to operate today?


　　每一个偶然背后都有着其必然性,所以没有绝对的偶然,金银投资即是如此,可能会有一次两次的不小心获利,但是除非是不因为这获利而动,坚定的离开市场再不交易,否则市场必定会证明错误的永远都是投资者.投资的成功都是指一个过程,而非固定的一次两次的交易.投资者可能会一次交易而失去再战之力,但是却不可能因为一次交易而大富大贵.所以且行且珍惜。


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Analysis of the trend of gold market;


Message surface analysis; Friday（8month7Spot gold has hit a record high for six consecutive trading days, reaching its highest point2075.47USD, distance2100美元只有一步之遥。目前有所回落，现报2068.90USD, increase0.26%。周四美国上周初请失业金人数有所下降，但7The total number of people receiving unemployment benefits in mid month reached an astonishing level3130万，暗示美国劳动力市场复苏陷入停滞。同时尽管美国两党在救助方案上仍存在分歧，但市场预期最终将出台一项刺激措施，对于美国持续扩大刺激的预期使得美元刷新逾两位低位也推动黄金进一步走高。加1014611571免费指导服务，独家风控方案为你投资之路保驾护航。世界黄金协会认为持续的宽松将推高通胀，经通胀调整后的黄金价格应该是2800USD, while2020last year7Monthly Global GoldETFThe scale has increased21%This trend will continue. It is worth mentioning that this year's total demand for gold68%From investment demand, consumption and other demands only account for32%Last year, this demand accounted for as much as86%，对于投资需求的激增抵消了实物需求不足的影响。而美国周四突然采取行动对加拿大铝产品征收关税，加剧了市场对于国际紧张关系的担忧情绪。


　　技术面分析；从盘面形态上来看，日线连阳走高低点及高点逐步上移，均线勾头向上布林带呈现开口向上状态多头格局。当然任何形态的延伸过程中都伴随着修正动作，特别是在当前行情较大波幅的情况下在修正幅度上力度也不会太小，即布局上主多的同时要去留意修正时间和放量时间点的转换。黄金在新一轮攀升中参考顶底转换位置作为分界支撑，每一次的加速冲刺都会有回踩借力的动作，回踩空间15-20Around the US dollar, it then rose to break through the high before charging in large quantities, while after breaking through the top and bottom conversion, it first turned into a correction for volatility, and then entered a sideways decision, breaking through the limit to release volume. In summary, gold volume rose above a new high before the US market last night, and then fell back and corrected to2050关口附近再反弹冲击破位新高，那么根据我们上面所讲的，黄金每一次的上涨破位都会伴随着回落修正，所以综合分析操作思路上陈召锡个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方关注2075-2080One line of resistance, pay attention below2045-2040Frontline support.


Analysis of the trend of crude oil market;


　　消息面分析；美国上周首次申请失业救济人数令人惊讶地下降，但燃料需求低迷仍令投资者感到担忧，且美国防疫救济法案前景存在不确定性。美国众议院议长佩洛西表示，就新的防疫援助方案进行的谈判正在取得进展。但双方在周五最后期限前仍存在重大分歧。许多人认为这是夏季驾驶季节尾声阶段刺激美国需求的最后希望。同时，伊拉克在8月份将额外减产石油4010000 barrels/天，以弥补先前几个月未能达到的减产目标。油价正在测试其近期交易区间的上限，纽约原油futures一直无力升至大幅高于每桶40美元的水平。美元指数跌0.06%to92.79；盘中在上涨0.2%And decline0.3%之间摆动；在初请失业金人数数据公布后，美元指数大多数时间走势震荡。该数据显示上周美国初请失业金人数减少，但7月中旬有3130万人领取失业救济，暗示美国就业市场处于停滞状态。


　　技术面分析；美原油4From the hourly cycle chart, the trend of US crude oil is more volatile, breaking through a key point on Monday41.35Afterwards, Meiyou once surged to43.60As of now, it has fallen back to42.30, still in a normal downward trend. From a moving average perspective,EMA144Mean Square andEMA169The moving averages provide support for US crude oil, while at the same time,MA60The moving average has also formed support after being breached upwards. From the perspective of the current correction in the Asian session, US crude oil should continue to be bullish. Combined with the gradual rise of US crude oil lows in the previous period, the daily level has charged three consecutive positive points. On Monday and Tuesday, the consecutive positive points came under pressure and support before the US market, and the US market began to break through new highs. On Wednesday, a different trend was sent, that is, the US crude oil rebounded higher before the US market, and then fell under pressure after the US market, The same thing is that they all ended up with the positive lines, but the positions of the shadow lines were different. For today's crude oil, it should be noted that due to the early morning decline, the European market did not break through and return to the lifeline of the hour chart40.5Above, short line internal rupture42The checkpoint will continue to be explored and searched for41.3-41.0区域，所以综合分析操作思路上陈召锡个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方关注43.5-44One line of resistance, pay attention below41.2-41.0Frontline support.


　　亏损是以下几个因素造成的：


　　一、执迷不悟型：方向选择失误，不能当机立断，心怀侥幸，死撑到底，直到爆仓，把全部资金都搭进去，才不得不被强制平仓，不撞南墙不回头。商业社会，生存是王道，要先学会保存资本，而后才能从长计议。


　　二、仓位太重型：属于过度交易的范畴。这是爆仓的主要原因，很多投资者可能资金限制，往往操作上都是重仓操作，所以一旦亏损，就没有回旋余地。合理持仓，严格止损是任何时候都不可缺少的。


　　三、不设止损：一般分析师在给出操作建议时基本都会提醒止损点位，可是很多人还是因为没有止损而中招暴仓。在陈召锡看来主要体现在投资者存有严重的侥幸心理。投机和运气不可能永远伴随着你，要想稳定获利，严谨的逻辑思维和严格的操作方式。市场是有一定的规律可循，但不会以任何人意志为转移的，当然我们也不能完全否认，在打穿止损之后，价格回头也在行情中偶尔出现。但陈召锡在这建议大家，遵循市场的二八原则为上策。


　　学会合理分配和计划人生。不要盲目的预判自己的实力和路途的艰辛，任何时候，都要做好防备。明白合理规划的重要性。转到交易当中，很多人对自己的预判过于乐观，导致最后一败涂地。特别相信自己行情的分析，满仓操作，结果却无药可救。更有很多人，把这个市场，当作暴利市场，不断的加钱，借钱来做交易，而往往当自己认识到市场可怕的时候，回头却发现没有退路了。所以合理规划和认识自己，选择，很重要。

Wen/Chen Zhaoxi