Chen Zhaoxi;8.6黄金多空博弈，晚间黄金走势分析及策略建议

　　大家好，趁着目前市场行情波动不大之际，抽时间给大家分析分析最近的gold的走势，如果你对近期的走势不是很明白或者看不懂，那么可以花几分钟好好看看，相信对你还是会很有帮助的；如果你手中有持仓，或者说是套的比较深，那么只需要把仓位截图发给我，具体的仓位具体分析；对于低位持空的朋友，大致思路，黄金现在陷入盘整阶段，未来是涨是跌，最近几个交易日很重要，如果继续上破，那么可以考虑直接抛掉空单，反手中线多单；如果是下破，那么继续持仓就好，陈召锡在线指导官微【1014611571】




Analysis of the trend of gold market;




　　消息面分析；周四（8month6日）亚洲时段，美元指数保持弱势，北京时间14:00将迎来英国央行利率决议，英国央行看起来周四将暂时不采取进一步行动帮助英国经济度过疫情冲击，央行正等待观察预期中的失业增加的幅度。日本首相安倍晋三表示当前暂时无需重启全国性紧急状态措施。现货黄金势不可挡，利多黄金的基本面因素仍在强化。本交易日主要关注英国央行利率决议，及英国央行行长讲话，晚间关注美国初请失业金人数。

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　　技术面分析；现货黄金表现依旧强劲，周三一度上涨1.81%To reach a new historical high2055.78dollar/盎司，因美国新冠救援计划陷入僵局导致美元走软、且美债收益率下降促使投资者囤积避险黄金，美元贬值也使黄金对持有其他货币买家来说更便宜。从日线级别来看：持续冲高；布林带开口，金价延续涨势，前一交易日上破2050USD to2055.78Continuing to reach historical highs, bulls still show a strong position.MACDThe energy of the Golden Fork and Red Pillar continues to be strong,KDJHigh level bonding, index at90附近。从技术面看，金价仍维持乐观看涨，但需要警惕短线可能会有回调风险。上行方面，目标位先关注历史高位2055.78，这同时与布林带上轨近乎重合，压制性较强。一旦该点位被突破，将进一步打开上行空间，料为后续测试2100美元关口积累动能。需要注意，由于金价强势持续刷新历史高位，四小时级别来看，金价续刷纪录高点后小幅回落，目前承压布林带上轨。综合分析操作思路上陈召锡个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方关注2060-2065One line of resistance, pay attention below2025-2020Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operation strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance for communication on WeChat【1014611571】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.




　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;




　　消息面分析；亚盘时段，国际油价高位震荡，美油现报42.27dollar/Barrel, increase0.19%; Brent crude oil current report45.51dollar/Barrel, increase0.51%；美油重返42dollar/桶关口；市场在消化了黎巴嫩大爆炸和美国飓风等突发灾害事件影响后，短线缺少进一步推动油价走强的动能，因投资者对于全球实际需求前景仍然充满疑虑，市场当前正在等待美国就业数据给出需求领域的进一步指引。

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　　技术面分析；原油日线收盘倒锤头线，高点破前高，低点没有破前低，出现出头走势，但是尾盘没有守住高价出现回落，进一步表明了油价多头不够坚决。布林带开口向右，出现走平迹象。均线系统运行在油价下方形成支撑，日线级别出现了四连阳，多头趋势线出现向上形成金叉延续迹象，整体表现了区间震荡中。如图所示，原油在触及38.717美元位置后出现了一波上涨给到41.210美元，随后调整后再次出现了上涨，最高给到了43.470美元，进一步接近了前期跳空缺口位置，完成了一波上涨三浪格局，若今日回踩不出现加速大概率将出现上涨的五浪概率。就油价下行支撑位首先关注41.9位置，然后是41.4美元支撑。综合分析来看操作思路上陈召锡个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方关注43.5-44One line of resistance, pay attention below41.5-41.0Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operation strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance for communication on WeChat【1014611571】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.




What are the precautions for novice spot gold and crude oil investment?




1、 Avoid 'guessing the top and bottom'. There are many factors that affect the price of gold. In the current global inflation situation, the hedging function of gold has been strengthened, leading to an increase in gold demand and an increase in gold prices. Due to the fact that the lowest point can be encountered but not sought, it is recommended to buy when the gold price is relatively stable or low. In addition, when buying and selling gold, one should not focus solely on short-term gold prices, while ignoring the trend of whether gold prices are in a "big bear" or "big bull". However, from historical experience, there is a seasonal demand for gold. Due to the Indian wedding festival at the end of the third quarter each year, there is a strong demand for spot gold in the market. Therefore, gold prices usually rise at the end of the third and fourth quarters of each year.




2、 Avoid 'fast in and fast out'. As an unprofessional ordinary investor, wanting to speculate and profit through fast forward and fast out methods may end in disappointment. Inexperienced investors, after buying or selling a certain product at the beginning of the trading, immediately think of closing the market to collect money as soon as they see a profit. Making profits and closing positions may seem easy, but capturing the timing of profits is a discipline. Experienced investors will determine the time to close their positions based on their own judgment of price trends. If he believes that the market situation will further develop in a favorable direction for him, he will be patient, knowing that it is beneficial but not making a profit, and let the price develop in a more favorable direction as much as possible, thus continuing the profit.




3、 Avoid "too many configurations". Gold is an investment tool for the medium to long term, and investors should have the psychological preparation to invest and collect in the long term. They should not look too much at short-term trends and should not have a mentality of taking chances. During the investment process, when the price of gold has risen significantly, investors must be cautious about whether to make large purchases. Although gold has the characteristic of long-term risk resistance, its investment return rate is relatively low, and the proportion of gold investment in personal investment portfolios should not be too high.




　　召锡赠言：每次写分析，我都希望看到的朋友能有所收获，在这个市场上，平静的表现下其实暗波汹涌，很多投资朋友轻易的进入，往往遍体鳞伤，每天都有很多朋友找到我，寻求帮助，然而更多的只是看完分析后迅速的找到下一篇继续看。我希望我能帮助更多的人，就犹如我自己对这份工作的定位是服务一样，人与人之间是相互的，信任是合作的开始。



　　本文由陈召锡（微信；【1014611571】---公众号：陈召锡）供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资大趋势，对原油、黄金、白银等大宗商品等有深入的研究，由于网络推送延迟性，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，仅供参考，风险自担，转载请注明出处。